PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Petrol Olimpija vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 57-72
17-26 14-13 14-17 12-16
Position#40
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 11
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Mega Bemax
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H05/01
ABA League
Polzela
#7
W
104-98 OT
104
98
+6
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Bayreuth
#17
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A10/01
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A13/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H15/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
15-18
29-19
14-23
29-31
18-27
25-24
24-15
31-21
16-24
14-21
20-20
18-16
19-24
19-22
20-18
21-9
28-25
16-25
21-6
18-15
18-15
18-19
15-27
21-27
25-20
23-23
20-19
23-17
22-20
14-16
20-25
23-18
18-33
21-25
19-25
16-20
23-19
19-14
23-22
166.7Avg total
83.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.379.4153.7-5.140%
Season at home (5)71.676.0147.6-4.440%
Season away (5)77.082.8159.8-5.840%
Last 10 (10)83.183.6166.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)82.885.6168.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.879.4155.2-3.742%
vs Similar (9)80.983.4164.3-2.644%
vs Weaker (9)83.977.1161.0+6.856%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A31/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
H04/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
A07/01
ACB
Olimpico
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H08/01
Liga A
Strasbourg
#16
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H09/01
Champions League
Quilmes
#17
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
A13/01
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H14/01
ACB
Atenas
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A15/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A17/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-27
24-22
26-28
20-25
23-21
18-21
20-14
13-22
15-9
22-30
29-18
20-21
19-16
25-20
27-23
22-13
29-17
15-13
15-22
21-23
22-23
20-16
31-16
15-20
20-22
30-22
18-19
22-16
21-18
16-21
22-17
14-25
13-17
24-19
20-26
20-23
26-26
16-24
27-24
174.9Avg total
88.2Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.176.9157.0+3.258%
Season at home (6)78.374.7153.0+3.767%
Season away (6)81.879.2161.0+2.750%
Last 10 (10)88.286.7174.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)84.686.0170.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.584.8164.4-5.318%
vs Similar (16)85.280.7165.9+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.088.7174.7-2.733%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
Petrol OlimpijaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Mega Bemax
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H05/01
ABA League
Polzela
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Bayreuth
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A10/01
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/01
Liga Nova KBM
84.1Avg total
42.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.379.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.176.8+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.982.9-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.984.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.140.578.6-2.433%-
vs Similar (9)36.840.777.4-3.933%-
vs Weaker (9)43.439.783.1+3.878%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A31/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/01
ACB
Olimpico
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/01
Liga A
Strasbourg
#16
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H09/01
Champions League
Quilmes
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/01
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/01
ACB
Atenas
#4
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A15/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A17/01
Liga A
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.079.3-0.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.977.6+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.481.2-3.514%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.141.377.4-5.20%-
vs Similar (16)41.639.280.8+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.739.378.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.4
46.8%
52.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.8
39.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
73.8%12.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
52.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.6
31.4%
34.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.4
74.0%
73.8%15.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WLWWLWLLLL
Estudiantes
LLWLWWWLWL
#40
League position
#14
-9.3
Net rating
-0.8
100.3
Offensive rating
108.0
109.6
Defensive rating
108.8
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.1%
3-point %
31.4%
65.8%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 108.0Defence109.6 · 108.8Shooting51.1% · 50.0%3-point %39.1% · 31.4%Ball care17.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds22.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
0
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
31/10/17Estudiantes v Petrol Olimpija75-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/18HZlatorog Lasko81-75
13/01/18AMornar Bar81-101
10/01/18ABayreuth79-78
07/01/18APolzela104-98 OT
05/01/18HMega Bemax69-76
04/01/18HHelios Domzale86-65
02/01/18ACrvena zvezda76-80
29/12/17HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
28/12/17AHelios Domzale96-97
23/12/17HCibona78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/18AInstituto de Cordoba89-97
15/01/18AAtenas71-87
14/01/18HMoraBanc Andorra81-72
13/01/18AArgentino88-96 OT
10/01/18HQuilmes94-78
09/01/18HStrasbourg81-65
08/01/18HOlimpico91-80
07/01/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza97-102 OT
04/01/18HJoventut Badalona101-94 OT
31/12/17AReal Madrid89-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
Champions League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game74.371.677.0
Allowed / game79.476.082.8
Point differential-5.1-4.4-5.8
Avg total153.7147.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Estudiantes
Champions League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.178.381.8
Allowed / game76.974.779.2
Point differential+3.2+3.7+2.7
Avg total157.0153.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco11110100%86.165.0+21.1
2 Ludwigsburg1715288%83.868.6+15.2
3 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
4 Tenerife119282%81.564.8+16.7
5 Besiktas118373%79.673.9+5.7
6 Banvit107370%78.274.1+4.1
7 Nanterre128467%82.476.5+5.9
8 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
9 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
10 Oldenburg117464%86.481.7+4.6
11 Nymburk117464%82.580.0+2.5
12 Murcia117464%81.279.4+1.8
13 Karsiyaka138562%86.184.7+1.4
14 Bayreuth106460%82.379.5+2.8
15 Venezia106460%82.282.3-0.1
16 Estudiantes127558%80.176.9+3.2
17 Neptunas116555%84.480.0+4.4
18 AEK Athens116555%81.779.1+2.6
19 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
20 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
21 Avellino105550%76.273.8+2.4
22 Strasbourg105550%76.775.7+1.0
23 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
24 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
25 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
26 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
27 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
28 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
29 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
30 Chalon/Saone115645%74.174.5-0.4
31 Ventspils115645%73.275.8-2.6
32 PAOK115645%73.777.1-3.4
33 Bonn125742%77.577.1+0.4
34 Petrol Olimpija104640%74.379.4-5.1
35 Oostende104640%69.174.7-5.6
36 Aris104640%67.474.2-6.8
37 Juventus135838%80.986.7-5.8
38 Sassari114736%78.382.7-4.5
39 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
40 Zielona Gora103730%75.879.6-3.8
41 Hapoel Holon113827%80.886.9-6.1
42 Gaziantep113827%73.085.8-12.8
43 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
44 Capo d'Orlando1331023%65.974.4-8.5
45 Enisey112918%72.583.0-10.5
46 HydroTruck Radom1321115%74.280.2-6.1
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1714141257
Estudiantes2613171672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.