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FMP Beograd vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-79
20-21 20-20 14-15 35-23
Position#9
Record8-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#10
Record9-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2016
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Petrol Olimpija
04 Mar 2019
FBE64
POL63
03 Mar 2018
FBE81
POL86
11 Feb 2017
FBE89
POL79
08 Nov 2009
FBE67
POL79
03 Jan 2009
FBE82
POL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H16/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H29/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A04/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
14-24
16-25
16-19
19-24
17-26
26-19
27-27
25-23
18-21
25-19
26-14
22-18
17-26
14-16
19-16
20-15
19-14
14-15
25-16
27-22
19-11
23-27
15-14
20-24
21-20
26-18
25-23
19-24
18-30
19-19
14-24
19-21
26-20
22-13
17-21
16-26
16-14
17-22
26-13
162.7Avg total
80.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.479.8156.2-3.438%
Season at home (10)80.376.2156.5+4.160%
Season away (11)72.983.1156.0-10.218%
Last 10 (10)80.682.1162.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.283.8166.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.983.8157.7-9.921%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.481.0159.4-2.642%
vs Weaker (4)79.569.0148.5+10.575%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A08/01
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
93-65
93
65
+28
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H15/01
ABA League
LTH Castings
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A21/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H29/01
ABA League
Sencur
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
18-27
22-19
16-25
21-13
23-14
23-22
26-16
24-16
14-17
8-20
28-15
19-12
24-17
29-23
18-18
18-21
21-23
16-12
24-12
13-26
14-17
26-8
22-24
24-23
18-28
29-23
21-23
21-33
29-27
31-14
15-18
12-16
21-26
15-23
24-26
18-18
19-19
29-17
13-17
163.6Avg total
83.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.581.5161.0-2.043%
Season at home (11)78.779.7158.5-1.055%
Season away (10)80.383.5163.8-3.230%
Last 10 (10)83.580.1163.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)85.887.4173.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.980.5153.4-7.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.880.3160.1-0.650%
vs Weaker (10)84.771.0155.7+13.7100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
FMP BeogradPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/02
ABA League
81.6Avg total
38.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.679.6-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.240.280.5+0.054%-
Last 30 away (17)36.242.778.9-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.881.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.943.680.5-6.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.241.780.8-2.542%-
vs Weaker (4)38.234.572.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A08/01
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/01
ABA League
LTH Castings
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A21/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H29/01
ABA League
Sencur
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
80.0Avg total
38.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.378.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.440.380.7+0.139%-
Last 30 away (12)35.140.275.3-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.580.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.684.4-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.043.880.8-6.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.741.276.9-5.625%-
vs Weaker (10)42.436.378.7+6.170%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
51.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.3%15.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.6%
51.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.113.9
62.9%
73.3%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWLWWWLWLL
Petrol Olimpija
WLWLWWWWWL
#9
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
+1.6
99.9
Offensive rating
104.3
101.4
Defensive rating
102.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
21.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
33.5%
70.8%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 104.3Defence101.4 · 102.7Shooting50.5% · 51.0%3-point %34.1% · 33.5%Ball care21.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
4
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/17AKarpos81-88 OT
29/01/17HCibona84-75
21/01/17APartizan70-97
15/01/17HMornar Bar92-85
10/01/17AIgokea84-74
03/01/17HKK Krka Novo mesto78-60
25/12/16AMega Bemax72-76
16/12/16HZadar94-77
11/12/16HCedevita89-96
05/12/16ACrvena zvezda62-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/17HHelios Domzale79-71
05/02/17HMZT Skopje72-91
01/02/17HSencur96-92
29/01/17HKarpos92-97
25/01/17AZlatorog Lasko90-86 OT
21/01/17ACibona79-68
17/01/17HLTH Castings90-70
15/01/17HPartizan74-68
11/01/17APortoroz93-65
08/01/17AMornar Bar70-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game76.480.372.9
Allowed / game79.876.283.1
Point differential-3.4+4.1-10.2
Avg total156.2156.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game79.578.780.3
Allowed / game81.579.783.5
Point differential-2.0-1.0-3.2
Avg total161.0158.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2120195%86.068.4+17.6
2 Partizan2116576%80.174.0+6.1
3 Buducnost2216673%82.175.5+6.6
4 Cedevita2115671%89.380.7+8.6
5 Cibona21111052%80.880.1+0.6
6 Igokea21101148%74.577.6-3.1
7 Petrol Olimpija2191243%79.581.5-2.0
8 Karpos2291341%75.479.8-4.4
9 FMP Beograd2181338%76.479.8-3.4
10 Mega Bemax2171433%80.382.7-2.4
11 MZT Skopje2171433%77.782.8-5.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2171433%72.180.3-8.2
13 Mornar Bar2271532%77.178.2-1.0
14 Zadar2271532%77.987.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2020143589
Petrol Olimpija2120152379
← all games of the day
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