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Mornar Bar vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-83
18-25 27-23 24-19 18-16
Position#4
Record6-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax
28 Oct 2018
MBA80
MBE84
30 Dec 2017
MBA87
MBE83
22 Feb 2017
MBA81
MBE89
02 Nov 2016
MBA87
MBE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#22
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A23/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-16
18-12
14-17
16-23
25-17
18-21
24-18
20-27
19-19
14-6
26-15
15-18
19-23
17-23
22-32
16-21
23-19
16-27
23-15
16-21
16-11
20-31
19-16
21-13
13-19
18-19
17-25
24-6
29-19
15-28
12-19
18-16
19-17
13-23
22-19
19-9
7-25
30-25
31-19
30-24
153.4Avg total
76.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.281.7158.8-4.546%
Season at home (6)79.279.8159.0-0.750%
Season away (7)75.483.3158.7-7.943%
Last 10 (10)76.177.3153.4-1.260%
Last 5 (5)78.676.6155.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.682.0152.6-11.412%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.475.8152.1+0.659%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.5144.2+5.275%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H15/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A21/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H28/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A05/11
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H11/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A17/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A09/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A18/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H25/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
24-23
22-15
9-23
19-20
14-22
17-19
14-23
14-17
12-9
30-15
21-40
32-14
25-22
13-17
22-23
23-21
21-30
16-22
29-29
22-19
27-33
18-23
21-21
21-24
14-21
19-11
17-17
28-20
26-14
17-25
18-23
24-23
19-23
21-28
29-21
25-24
13-27
21-15
26-24
169.0Avg total
82.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.985.6169.5-1.731%
Season at home (7)83.684.3167.9-0.729%
Season away (6)84.387.2171.5-2.833%
Last 10 (10)82.586.5169.0-4.020%
Last 5 (5)85.287.2172.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.786.1163.8-8.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.484.0169.4+1.444%
vs Weaker (11)88.381.2169.5+7.182%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
Mornar BarMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#22
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/12
ABA League
75.6Avg total
35.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.339.475.8-3.138%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.677.3+0.157%-
Last 30 away (15)34.140.274.3-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.640.075.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.479.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.644.577.1-11.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.837.475.2+0.456%-
vs Weaker (4)36.535.271.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H15/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H28/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A05/11
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H11/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A09/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A18/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/12
ABA League
85.6Avg total
42.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.384.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.782.5-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.985.8-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.185.6-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.689.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.843.279.0-7.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.642.987.4+1.756%-
vs Weaker (11)44.641.586.2+3.145%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
74.4%15.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.620.6
47.2%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
74.4%16.3
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WWLWWLLWWL
Mega Bemax
LLWLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
-4.0
Net rating
-5.2
106.4
Offensive rating
101.4
110.4
Defensive rating
106.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
29.6%
54.3%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 101.4Defence110.4 · 106.6Shooting51.6% · 46.2%3-point %33.3% · 29.6%Ball care17.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mornar Bar wins
4
Mega Bemax wins
DateGameScore
07/10/17Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar91-70
22/02/17Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax81-89
21/12/16Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar60-53
19/11/16Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar93-87
02/11/16Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax87-85
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/17APartizan98-93
20/12/17HSzolnoki Olaj73-68
17/12/17HCrvena zvezda74-82
10/12/17AMZT Skopje72-69
06/12/17HKataja76-71
03/12/17HCibona78-82
18/11/17ACedevita74-99
15/11/17HKapfenberg Bulls74-58
13/11/17HIgokea87-83
08/11/17AFC Porto55-68
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/17HCrvena zvezda85-90
18/12/17ACibona93-95
09/12/17AIgokea89-82
04/12/17HZadar71-73
17/11/17AFMP Beograd88-96
11/11/17HPartizan89-102
05/11/17AMZT Skopje92-76
28/10/17HCedevita77-81
21/10/17ABuducnost64-84
15/10/17HPetrol Olimpija77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game77.279.275.4
Allowed / game81.779.883.3
Point differential-4.5-0.7-7.9
Avg total158.8159.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game83.983.684.3
Allowed / game85.684.387.2
Point differential-1.7-0.7-2.8
Avg total169.5167.9171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1311285%87.978.8+9.2
2 Buducnost1311285%82.373.5+8.8
3 Cedevita1310377%84.176.7+7.4
4 Zadar147750%84.483.9+0.4
5 Partizan136746%92.190.1+2.0
6 FMP Beograd136746%80.278.5+1.7
7 Cibona136746%81.684.2-2.6
8 Mornar Bar136746%77.281.7-4.5
9 Igokea135838%83.285.9-2.7
10 Petrol Olimpija135838%78.582.8-4.3
11 Mega Bemax134931%83.985.6-1.7
12 MZT Skopje1421214%79.191.8-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1827241887
Mega Bemax2523191683
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