Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 May 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 70-74

27-17 11-23 19-24 13-10

Position#3

Record18-7

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game71.7

Sutjeska

Mornar Bar 🏆

Position#1

Record7-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game74.3

Prva A LigaRound 10

Other2017-18

Meetings · Sutjeska v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutjeska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulcinj

88-93

-5

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

68-76

-8

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

75-61

+14

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

85-75

+10

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

92-84

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

81-79

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

71-79

-8

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Tivat

76-71

A06/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

86-72

+14

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

90-81

A12/05

Prva A Liga

22-22

20-19

22-22

24-30

14-15

21-26

21-22

12-13

17-11

23-22

9-19

26-9

25-26

21-15

16-15

23-19

22-22

30-21

28-23

12-18

20-22

23-19

12-15

26-23

15-13

16-19

19-27

21-20

11-25

18-6

21-20

26-20

19-24

27-13

19-15

21-20

22-18

25-27

23-18

20-18

158.3Avg total

81.2Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	82.7	71.7	154.4	+11.0	72%
Season at home (12)	83.5	73.8	157.3	+9.7	67%
Season away (13)	81.9	69.7	151.6	+12.2	77%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	77.1	158.3	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	76.4	157.2	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	74.3	82.0	156.3	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (14)	78.9	75.9	154.8	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker (13)	86.6	66.8	153.5	+19.8	92%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

80-72

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

83-85

-2

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

100-77

100

+23

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

79-81

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

66-60

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

96-62

+34

H06/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

75-71

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

102-79

102

+23

H12/05

Prva A Liga

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

23-19

19-24

18-13

20-16

20-24

17-21

24-14

22-26

17-22

27-25

37-15

19-15

22-20

19-23

15-12

23-26

18-14

14-14

19-18

15-14

21-11

22-15

31-18

22-18

17-15

16-23

22-16

20-17

22-22

22-28

38-14

20-15

161.2Avg total

85.5Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.3	74.3	161.7	+13.0	78%
Season at home (5)	93.0	77.8	170.8	+15.2	60%
Season away (4)	80.2	70.0	150.2	+10.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	75.7	161.2	+9.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	70.6	154.2	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	85.5	161.8	-9.2	50%
vs Similar (9)	87.1	81.7	168.8	+5.4	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	88.8	74.0	162.8	+14.8	82%

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SutjeskaMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.6	40.4	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	20.2	41.2	+0.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.0	19.5	43.5	+4.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.5	41.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.8	16.6	36.3	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.5	36.4	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	16.7	36.2	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.5	14.6	33.1	+3.9	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.3	24.0	41.3	-6.7	10%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	36%	-

SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulcinj

42-41

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

35-41

-6

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

40-33

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

46-41

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

52-43

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-41

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

31-32

-1

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Tivat

29-31

-2

A06/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

46-37

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

47-45

A12/05

Prva A Liga

79.6Avg total

41.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.3	35.9	77.2	+5.4	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	35.1	76.9	+6.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.7	36.8	77.5	+3.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.5	79.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.7	39.7	77.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.2	36.4	77.5	+4.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.5	34.1	76.6	+8.4	70%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-43

-1

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-45

-8

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-47

-3

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-43

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

32-28

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

43-26

+17

H06/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

33-38

-5

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-50

-6

H12/05

Prva A Liga

82.7Avg total

40.8Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	42.8	86.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	42.0	80.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.9	82.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.6	46.2	83.8	-8.6	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.4	39.3	82.6	+4.1	55%	-

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.5	18.1	42.6	+6.4	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	16.1	39.7	+7.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	15.5	40.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	15.6	40.6	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	80%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	18.1	39.6	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	25.2	16.5	41.7	+8.6	91%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	58%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.7	37.9	78.6	+2.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	39.1	79.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.7	36.6	77.2	+4.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.7	42.3	79.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	35.0	79.1	+9.1	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	36.9	79.5	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	35.0	80.9	+10.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	38.9	78.1	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	33.8	78.5	+10.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	33.6	78.6	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.7	39.3	78.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.3	37.0	80.3	+6.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.5	34.7	80.2	+10.7	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutjeska wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	79-81

Sutjeskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/18	A	Ulcinj	90-81
09/05/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	86-72
06/05/18	A	Tivat	76-71
03/05/18	H	Buducnost	71-79
30/04/18	A	Mornar Bar	81-79
27/04/18	H	Ulcinj	92-84
24/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	85-75
21/04/18	H	Tivat	75-61
18/04/18	A	Buducnost	68-76
24/03/18	H	Ulcinj	88-93

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	102-79
09/05/18	A	Buducnost	75-71
06/05/18	H	Ulcinj	96-62
03/05/18	A	Tivat	66-60
30/04/18	H	Sutjeska	79-81
27/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	100-77
24/04/18	H	Buducnost	83-85
21/04/18	A	Ulcinj	80-72
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	72%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LWWWW	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	72%	67%	77%
Points / game	82.7	83.5	81.9
Allowed / game	71.7	73.8	69.7
Point differential	+11.0	+9.7	+12.2
Avg total	154.4	157.3	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	50%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	78%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	78%	60%	100%
Points / game	87.3	93.0	80.2
Allowed / game	74.3	77.8	70.0
Point differential	+13.0	+15.2	+10.2
Avg total	161.7	170.8	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	10	9	1	90%	86.0	70.5	+15.5
2	Mornar Bar	9	7	2	78%	87.3	74.3	+13.0
3	Sutjeska	25	18	7	72%	82.7	71.7	+11.0
4	Lovcen Cetinje	26	18	8	69%	82.7	76.6	+6.1
5	Ulcinj	26	14	12	54%	83.0	78.7	+4.3
6	Tivat	26	13	13	50%	80.2	75.8	+4.4
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sutjeska	27	11	19	13	70
Mornar Bar	17	23	24	10	74

← all games of the day

Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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