Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 May 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 97-73

19-14 22-14 29-22 27-23

Position#1

Record8-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game73.9

Mornar Bar 🏆

Sutjeska

Position#3

Record18-8

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game71.8

Prva A LigaPrva A Liga - Semi-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Sutjeska

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutjeska winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

80-72

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

83-85

-2

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

100-77

100

+23

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

79-81

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

66-60

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

96-62

+34

H06/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

75-71

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

102-79

102

+23

H12/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

74-70

A15/05

Prva A Liga

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

23-19

19-24

18-13

20-16

20-24

17-21

24-14

22-26

17-22

27-25

37-15

19-15

22-20

19-23

15-12

23-26

18-14

14-14

19-18

15-14

21-11

22-15

31-18

22-18

17-15

16-23

22-16

20-17

22-22

22-28

38-14

20-15

17-27

23-11

24-19

10-13

159.9Avg total

86.0Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.0	73.9	159.9	+12.1	80%
Season at home (5)	93.0	77.8	170.8	+15.2	60%
Season away (5)	79.0	70.0	149.0	+9.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	73.9	159.9	+12.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	68.4	151.0	+14.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	85.5	161.8	-9.2	50%
vs Similar (8)	87.1	81.5	168.6	+5.6	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	87.6	73.7	161.2	+13.9	83%

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutjeska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

68-76

-8

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

75-61

+14

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

85-75

+10

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

92-84

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

81-79

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

71-79

-8

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Tivat

76-71

A06/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

86-72

+14

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

90-81

A12/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

70-74

-4

H15/05

Prva A Liga

14-15

21-26

21-22

12-13

17-11

23-22

9-19

26-9

25-26

21-15

16-15

23-19

22-22

30-21

28-23

12-18

20-22

23-19

12-15

26-23

15-13

16-19

19-27

21-20

11-25

18-6

21-20

26-20

19-24

27-13

19-15

21-20

22-18

25-27

23-18

20-18

27-17

11-23

19-24

13-10

154.6Avg total

79.4Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.2	71.8	154.0	+10.4	69%
Season at home (13)	82.5	73.8	156.3	+8.6	62%
Season away (13)	81.9	69.7	151.6	+12.2	77%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	75.2	154.6	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	75.4	154.0	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.2	80.0	153.2	-6.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	78.9	75.9	154.8	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker (12)	86.5	65.5	152.0	+21.0	92%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarSutjeska

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.4	41.7	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.5	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	19.7	40.5	+1.0	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	18.9	42.8	+5.0	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	23.4	44.1	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.3	24.0	41.3	-6.7	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.9	16.0	35.9	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	13.6	32.3	+5.2	89%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-43

-1

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-45

-8

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-47

-3

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-43

-2

H30/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

32-28

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

43-26

+17

H06/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

33-38

-5

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

44-50

-6

H12/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

40-38

A15/05

Prva A Liga

81.6Avg total

41.1Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	42.1	83.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	42.4	86.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	41.8	80.5	-3.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.0	74.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.6	46.2	83.8	-8.6	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.1	41.2	83.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.1	39.2	82.2	+3.9	58%	-

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

35-41

-6

A18/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

40-33

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

46-41

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

52-43

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

43-41

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

31-32

-1

H03/05

Prva A Liga

Tivat

29-31

-2

A06/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

46-37

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

47-45

A12/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

38-40

-2

H15/05

Prva A Liga

79.1Avg total

40.7Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.2	35.5	76.7	+5.6	65%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	35.4	76.9	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.6	35.7	76.4	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.4	79.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.8	39.8	77.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.2	36.4	77.5	+4.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	32.4	75.1	+10.2	78%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	15.9	39.4	+7.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	15.8	40.8	+9.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	17.0	43.8	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.1	16.8	41.8	+8.3	92%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	58%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.9	41.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	21.2	38.8	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.3	17.9	42.2	+6.4	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.4	32.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	58%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.9	37.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	17.2	36.7	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	36.8	79.1	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	35.0	81.1	+11.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	38.4	77.4	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	33.4	78.3	+11.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	32.4	76.6	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.7	39.3	78.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	37.2	80.8	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.5	34.5	79.0	+10.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	38.7	78.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.1	36.8	76.9	+3.3	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.8	75.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	40.2	75.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.8	35.1	78.9	+8.7	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Sutjeska wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	70-74
30/04/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	79-81

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/18	A	Sutjeska	74-70
12/05/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	102-79
09/05/18	A	Buducnost	75-71
06/05/18	H	Ulcinj	96-62
03/05/18	A	Tivat	66-60
30/04/18	H	Sutjeska	79-81
27/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	100-77
24/04/18	H	Buducnost	83-85
21/04/18	A	Ulcinj	80-72
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82

Sutjeskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/18	H	Mornar Bar	70-74
12/05/18	A	Ulcinj	90-81
09/05/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	86-72
06/05/18	A	Tivat	76-71
03/05/18	H	Buducnost	71-79
30/04/18	A	Mornar Bar	81-79
27/04/18	H	Ulcinj	92-84
24/04/18	A	Lovcen Cetinje	85-75
21/04/18	H	Tivat	75-61
18/04/18	A	Buducnost	68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	80%	60%	100%
Points / game	86.0	93.0	79.0
Allowed / game	73.9	77.8	70.0
Point differential	+12.1	+15.2	+9.0
Avg total	159.9	170.8	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	60%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sutjeska

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	69%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	LWWWW	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	69%	62%	77%
Points / game	82.2	82.5	81.9
Allowed / game	71.8	73.8	69.7
Point differential	+10.4	+8.6	+12.2
Avg total	154.0	156.3	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	46%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	11	10	1	91%	86.6	69.5	+17.1
2	Mornar Bar	10	8	2	80%	86.0	73.9	+12.1
3	Sutjeska	26	18	8	69%	82.2	71.8	+10.4
4	Lovcen Cetinje	27	18	9	67%	81.9	77.2	+4.6
5	Ulcinj	26	14	12	54%	83.0	78.7	+4.3
6	Tivat	26	13	13	50%	80.2	75.8	+4.4
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	19	22	29	27	97
Sutjeska	14	14	22	23	73

← all games of the day

Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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