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Petrol Olimpija vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-75
16-28 21-11 15-25 20-11
Position#18
Record1-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game70.2
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Valencia
07 Dec 2016
POL72
VAL75
30 Oct 2013
POL67
VAL64
17 Nov 2010
POL72
VAL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
97-67
97
67
+30
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H05/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-16
17-18
16-20
17-11
19-26
23-15
29-19
11-19
21-26
22-22
20-17
25-22
17-21
20-14
14-15
20-14
14-19
22-19
26-16
24-28
17-15
15-25
11-17
17-21
19-28
14-21
19-11
25-16
22-20
30-15
20-16
23-31
16-28
27-12
21-31
16-16
21-21
23-10
19-17
155.4Avg total
78.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.980.7152.6-8.914%
Season at home (3)71.377.7149.0-6.333%
Season away (4)72.283.0155.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)78.377.1155.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.879.8159.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.282.9157.2-8.715%
vs Similar (10)82.482.8165.2-0.440%
vs Weaker (7)83.170.0153.1+13.1100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H30/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H02/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/11
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A09/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H13/11
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A16/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A19/11
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A23/11
Eurocup
Real Betis
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H27/11
ACB
Bilbao
#10
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
22-17
21-15
29-20
24-16
22-16
15-14
26-28
20-21
13-16
19-14
16-22
17-17
16-17
21-13
19-17
17-16
24-16
27-26
31-33
24-9
21-25
22-15
19-11
23-23
21-21
16-23
24-19
21-11
23-22
13-27
29-24
14-16
28-16
18-15
6-9
23-16
13-14
28-13
19-18
153.1Avg total
82.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.070.2154.2+13.883%
Season at home (3)86.371.0157.3+15.367%
Season away (3)81.769.3151.0+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.071.1153.1+10.980%
Last 5 (5)81.069.4150.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.086.8164.8-8.825%
vs Similar (5)81.277.8159.0+3.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.071.1154.1+11.976%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Petrol OlimpijaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/12
ABA League
79.6Avg total
37.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.379.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.141.179.2-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.479.4-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.179.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.842.077.8-6.215%-
vs Similar (10)39.742.782.4-3.040%-
vs Weaker (7)40.037.977.9+2.157%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/11
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/11
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A19/11
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/11
Eurocup
Real Betis
#16
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/11
ACB
Bilbao
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H03/12
ACB
73.7Avg total
40.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.176.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.134.974.9+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)39.837.277.0+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.573.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.676.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.540.277.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (5)37.235.072.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.035.676.6+5.567%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.2
52.3%
54.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.0%
34.3%28.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.2
76.4%
75.3%17.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Petrol Olimpija wins
2
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto79-64
03/12/16ACedevita87-102
02/12/16ALTH Castings97-67
30/11/16AHapoel M. Jerusalem69-81
28/11/16HCrvena zvezda67-85
25/11/16HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek82-68
23/11/16HUlm76-72
20/11/16ABuducnost74-84
18/11/16HTajfun Sentjur88-71
16/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban64-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/16HBilbao83-61
27/11/16HReal Betis66-56
23/11/16AHapoel M. Jerusalem86-84
19/11/16AJoventut Badalona84-86
16/11/16AUlm86-60
13/11/16HBaskonia99-91
09/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban73-64
05/11/16AFuenlabrada68-73
02/11/16HPetrol Olimpija87-74
30/10/16HMoraBanc Andorra88-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game71.971.372.2
Allowed / game80.777.783.0
Point differential-8.9-6.3-10.8
Avg total152.6149.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game84.086.381.7
Allowed / game70.271.069.3
Point differential+13.8+15.3+12.3
Avg total154.2157.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria65183%96.580.3+16.2
2 Valencia65183%84.070.2+13.8
3 Khimki M.75271%89.979.7+10.1
4 Bayern75271%80.173.9+6.3
5 Cedevita75271%84.980.3+4.6
6 Zenit Petersburg64267%87.083.2+3.8
7 Hapoel M. Jerusalem64267%83.781.3+2.3
8 Murcia74357%82.983.1-0.3
9 Ulm74357%80.382.7-2.4
10 Unicaja63350%79.775.3+4.3
11 Rytas63350%89.887.7+2.2
12 Fuenlabrada63350%88.788.0+0.7
13 Nizhny Novgorod63350%83.088.5-5.5
14 Lietkabelis73443%79.080.9-1.9
15 Alba Berlin73443%87.794.3-6.6
16 Lokomotiv Kuban62433%75.878.8-3.0
17 Bilbao62433%78.385.3-7.0
18 Petrol Olimpija71614%71.980.7-8.9
19 MZT Skopje6060%77.391.2-13.8
20 Buducnost6060%68.783.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1621152072
Valencia2811251175
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