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Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#19
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.2
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Atlanta Hawks
14 Dec 2026
PHX v ATL
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PHX122
ATL124
09 Jan 2025
PHX123
ATL115
21 Mar 2024
PHX128
ATL115
01 Feb 2023
PHX100
ATL132
06 Nov 2021
PHX121
ATL117
30 Mar 2021
PHX117
ATL110
14 Nov 2019
PHX128
ATL112
02 Feb 2019
PHX112
ATL118
02 Jan 2018
PHX104
ATL103
30 Nov 2016
PHX109
ATL107
23 Jan 2016
PHX98
ATL95
13 Mar 2015
PHX87
ATL96
02 Mar 2014
PHX129
ATL120
01 Mar 2013
PHX92
ATL87
15 Feb 2012
PHX99
ATL101
23 Feb 2011
PHX105
ATL97
19 Feb 2010
PHX88
ATL80
13 Jan 2009
PHX107
ATL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 101
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 101
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 101
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
230.9Avg total
112.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Season at home (7)116.9116.6233.4+0.357%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.4226.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (11)110.4111.4221.7-1.036%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 108
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 108
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 108
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 108
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 108
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 108
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
234.7Avg total
115.9Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.2116.2234.4+2.158%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (6)116.2109.3225.5+6.867%
Last 10 (10)115.9118.8234.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar (6)121.2114.8236.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)125.2113.2238.4+12.082%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
Phoenix SunsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
55.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.1116.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.561.4117.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.3114.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (11)58.757.6116.4+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
120.1Avg total
58.9Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.5118.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.658.4115.0-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)63.458.6122.0+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.2120.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)65.062.8127.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (6)61.756.2117.8+5.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)65.558.0123.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.8
56.4%
54.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.0%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
76.8%15.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.8
55.5%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.313.3
32.2%
35.0%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.8%16.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLLLWL
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWWLWLLL
#19
League position
#14
-4.4
Net rating
-9.0
110.8
Offensive rating
109.8
115.2
Defensive rating
118.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.7%
3-point %
32.2%
61.9%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 109.8Defence115.2 · 118.7Shooting55.8% · 52.3%3-point %36.7% · 32.2%Ball care14.5% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game112.8116.9103.3
Allowed / game118.1116.6121.7
Point differential-5.3+0.3-18.3
Avg total230.9233.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game118.2120.3116.2
Allowed / game116.2123.0109.3
Point differential+2.1-2.7+6.8
Avg total234.4243.3225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
10 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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