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Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 122-117
33-31 31-25 25-31 33-30
Position#18
Record18-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game120.7
vs
Position#22
Record19-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game113.7
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Phoenix Suns
12 Feb 2027
ATL v PHX
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
ATL110
PHX103
14 Jan 2025
ATL122
PHX117
02 Feb 2024
ATL129
PHX120
09 Feb 2023
ATL116
PHX107
03 Feb 2022
ATL124
PHX115
05 May 2021
ATL135
PHX103
14 Jan 2020
ATL123
PHX110
23 Feb 2019
ATL120
PHX112
04 Mar 2018
ATL113
PHX112
28 Mar 2017
ATL95
PHX91
05 Apr 2016
ATL103
PHX90
07 Apr 2015
ATL96
PHX69
24 Mar 2014
ATL95
PHX102
15 Mar 2013
ATL107
PHX94
06 Feb 2012
ATL90
PHX99
07 Nov 2010
ATL114
PHX118
15 Jan 2010
ATL102
PHX101
25 Jan 2009
ATL99
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-128
112
128
-16
111avg 109
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
117-104
117
104
+13
117avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
141-133
141
133
+8
141avg 109
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-110
120
110
+10
123avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
136-107
136
107
+29
125avg 109
A29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
120-139
120
139
-19
111avg 109
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
102-119
102
119
-17
82avg 109
A04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-131
105
131
-26
100avg 109
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
124-121
124
121
+3
120avg 109
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
115-123
115
123
-8
110avg 109
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-43
22-30
27-27
36-28
35-19
17-36
30-30
35-19
21-33
32-31
38-44
50-25
35-28
26-30
32-26
27-26
35-25
29-33
40-24
32-25
33-40
38-34
24-41
25-24
28-31
29-34
29-31
16-23
28-29
26-45
22-24
29-33
36-32
29-30
28-27
31-32
31-38
41-30
20-30
23-25
240.7Avg total
119.2Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)117.9120.7238.6-2.850%
Season at home (17)119.4120.6240.1-1.259%
Season away (19)116.6120.7237.3-4.142%
Last 10 (10)119.2121.5240.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)113.2126.6239.8-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)114.0120.9234.9-6.945%
vs Similar ◀ (14)120.5121.1241.6-0.643%
vs Weaker (4)121.0113.5234.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
106avg 109
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
89-98
89
98
-9
78avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
105-109
105
109
-4
92avg 109
A29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-117
112
117
-5
103avg 109
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
108-126
108
126
-18
107avg 109
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
109-99
109
99
+10
111avg 109
A07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
104-115
104
115
-11
95avg 109
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
123-115
123
115
+8
126avg 109
H10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
114-106
114
106
+8
106avg 109
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 109
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-34
20-22
27-22
25-22
25-28
14-27
25-17
25-26
27-34
38-27
22-21
18-27
26-36
29-33
31-22
26-26
29-30
27-26
28-40
24-30
16-23
26-23
36-27
31-26
29-22
17-37
37-29
21-27
38-31
30-41
30-20
25-23
31-27
34-27
22-25
27-27
28-34
34-28
31-36
27-15
219.2Avg total
109.4Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.3113.7226.1-1.450%
Season at home (21)113.3111.5224.8+1.862%
Season away (17)111.2116.5227.6-5.335%
Last 10 (10)109.4109.8219.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)114.0109.6223.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)108.7116.7225.5-8.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.3110.5220.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (7)119.0117.9236.9+1.157%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Atlanta HawksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-73
49
73
-24
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/01
NBA
124.9Avg total
59.8Scored
65.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.661.6120.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.260.5118.7-2.350%-
Last 30 away (18)58.862.3121.1-3.439%-
Last 10 (10)59.865.1124.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)63.868.6132.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)54.364.5118.7-10.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.661.6124.2+0.957%-
vs Weaker (4)59.255.2114.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H28/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H13/01
NBA
114.6Avg total
55.6Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.657.6115.2+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.859.6117.4-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)57.455.3112.7+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)55.659.0114.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.6115.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.058.9115.9-1.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.055.7110.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker (7)63.058.9121.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 119.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.327.4
55.6%
54.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.315.3
38.0%
35.9%45.9
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
77.8%18.5
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.328.8
55.1%
54.3%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.9
34.9%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.1
80.5%
77.8%16.1
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLLWWWWL
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLLLLW
#18
League position
#22
-2.2
Net rating
-0.4
113.4
Offensive rating
111.4
115.6
Defensive rating
111.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.0%
3-point %
34.9%
71.4%
Assist %
69.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 111.4Defence115.6 · 111.8Shooting56.2% · 54.0%3-point %38.0% · 34.9%Ball care14.1% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.9% · 22.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25APhoenix Suns115-123
08/01/25AUtah Jazz124-121
05/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-131
04/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers102-119
02/01/25ADenver Nuggets120-139
29/12/24AToronto Raptors136-107
28/12/24HMiami Heat120-110
27/12/24HChicago Bulls141-133
24/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves117-104
22/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies112-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HCharlotte Hornets120-113
11/01/25HUtah Jazz114-106
10/01/25HAtlanta Hawks123-115
08/01/25ACharlotte Hornets104-115
07/01/25APhiladelphia 76ers109-99
05/01/25AIndiana Pacers108-126
01/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies112-117
29/12/24AGolden State Warriors105-109
28/12/24HDallas Mavericks89-98
26/12/24HDenver Nuggets110-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLWWW59%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %50%59%42%
Points / game117.9119.4116.6
Allowed / game120.7120.6120.7
Point differential-2.8-1.2-4.1
Avg total238.6240.1237.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %50%62%35%
Points / game112.3113.3111.2
Allowed / game113.7111.5116.5
Point differential-1.4+1.8-5.3
Avg total226.1224.8227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3934587%122.3111.4+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3731684%116.3103.5+12.7
3 Boston Celtics39281172%118.0108.7+9.3
4 Houston Rockets36251169%114.4107.7+6.6
5 New York Knicks40261465%117.7110.8+6.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies40251562%122.9115.2+7.7
7 Denver Nuggets38231561%120.4116.1+4.2
8 Dallas Mavericks38221658%116.4111.7+4.7
9 Orlando Magic40231757%104.7103.0+1.7
10 Los Angeles Clippers38211755%108.9108.1+0.8
11 Los Angeles Lakers37201754%111.6114.3-2.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves39211854%109.6107.6+2.0
13 Indiana Pacers41221954%115.3115.2+0.0
14 Miami Heat38201853%110.8109.3+1.5
15 Detroit Pistons40211952%112.4113.3-0.9
16 Milwaukee Bucks35181751%112.7111.8+0.9
17 Sacramento Kings39201951%116.2113.5+2.7
18 Golden State Warriors38191950%111.6111.2+0.4
19 San Antonio Spurs38191950%111.7111.5+0.1
20 Phoenix Suns38191950%112.3113.7-1.4
21 Atlanta Hawks36181850%117.9120.7-2.8
22 Chicago Bulls39182146%118.2120.8-2.7
23 Philadelphia 76ers38152339%107.3110.8-3.6
24 Portland Trail Blazers38132534%108.2116.4-8.2
25 Brooklyn Nets39132633%107.3113.7-6.4
26 Utah Jazz38102826%110.9117.6-6.7
27 Toronto Raptors4093122%111.0118.8-7.8
28 Charlotte Hornets3682822%106.2112.4-6.2
29 New Orleans Pelicans4083220%107.7117.2-9.4
30 Washington Wizards3863216%108.3122.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks33312533122
Phoenix Suns31253130117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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