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Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 74-76
14-28 20-16 19-20 21-12
Position#11
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game94.7
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record6-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game92.5
LithuaniaLKL· Pieno zvaigzdziu arena (Pasvalys)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Nevezis
23 Mar 2024
PZV74
NEV76
03 Mar 2024
PZV91
NEV101
16 Nov 2023
PZV80
NEV92
08 Apr 2023
PZV98
NEV88
01 Dec 2022
PZV86
NEV85
26 Nov 2022
PZV84
NEV93
10 Jan 2022
PZV87
NEV88
03 Dec 2020
PZV89
NEV71
18 Apr 2020
PZV v NEV
upcoming
03 Nov 2019
PZV87
NEV66
30 Mar 2019
PZV91
NEV85
05 Jan 2019
PZV92
NEV67
17 Mar 2018
PZV87
NEV84
09 Dec 2017
PZV82
NEV75
11 Feb 2017
PZV89
NEV88
03 Dec 2016
PZV92
NEV72
16 Jan 2016
PZV79
NEV54
19 Dec 2015
PZV85
NEV61
22 Nov 2014
PZV99
NEV70
28 Sep 2014
PZV84
NEV95
18 Feb 2014
PZV73
NEV60
07 Jan 2014
PZV79
NEV62
08 Dec 2012
PZV70
NEV76
23 Mar 2012
PZV73
NEV59
08 Dec 2011
PZV73
NEV53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
63avg 74
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 74
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
72-115
72
115
-43
54avg 74
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
64avg 74
A15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
58avg 74
H23/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
H27/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 74
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 74
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
78-119
78
119
-41
63avg 74
A10/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
62avg 74
A17/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
27-24
12-26
19-29
17-30
21-20
18-14
33-20
25-30
21-29
13-23
13-33
18-14
20-23
22-34
14-29
22-22
19-25
16-29
14-22
20-14
17-25
16-26
25-19
17-31
24-21
20-21
18-21
28-23
19-28
23-22
21-28
17-26
25-37
14-29
22-27
14-25
20-28
23-23
20-21
177.9Avg total
78.6Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.494.7179.1-10.323%
Season at home (11)85.292.5177.7-7.418%
Season away (11)83.696.9180.5-13.327%
Last 10 (10)78.699.3177.9-20.710%
Last 5 (5)80.699.0179.6-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)84.695.5180.1-10.917%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 78
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-106
74
106
-32
60avg 78
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 78
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 78
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 78
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
46avg 78
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 78
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 78
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
H18/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
32-23
22-19
27-26
19-25
14-38
19-25
22-18
20-30
19-32
15-21
24-16
27-22
24-29
16-16
25-19
19-25
28-24
20-18
10-18
26-22
18-17
21-21
21-26
18-30
15-35
15-23
16-25
23-28
28-19
22-23
28-21
15-23
22-26
16-17
19-17
22-22
23-28
21-21
22-22
179.0Avg total
84.8Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.892.5175.3-9.726%
Season at home (12)85.288.8174.0-3.742%
Season away (11)80.396.5176.8-16.39%
Last 10 (10)84.894.2179.0-9.440%
Last 5 (5)84.294.4178.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.096.1178.1-14.113%
vs Similar (9)84.885.3170.1-0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)95.291.0186.2+4.267%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Pieno ZvaigzdesNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H23/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H27/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A10/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A17/03
LKL
90.7Avg total
41.0Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.647.791.3-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.389.4-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)43.150.193.3-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.049.790.7-8.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.251.691.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)43.348.091.3-4.728%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/03
LKL
96.1Avg total
43.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.047.292.3-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.246.792.9-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.647.991.5-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)43.752.496.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.050.092.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.050.192.1-8.127%-
vs Similar (9)47.345.292.6+2.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.243.092.2+6.283%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
55.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.5
29.0%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.117.4
72.2%
73.2%17.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.5
55.7%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
34.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.017.2
71.7%
73.2%17.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLLLLLLWL
Nevezis
LLWLWLWLLW
#11
League position
#9
-26.3
Net rating
-13.7
96.1
Offensive rating
112.9
122.3
Defensive rating
126.6
47.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.0%
3-point %
35.8%
51.3%
Assist %
51.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 112.9Defence122.3 · 126.6Shooting47.0% · 54.9%3-point %29.0% · 35.8%Ball care21.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds28.5% · 35.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Pieno Zvaigzdes   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
6
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-97
10/03/24AJuventus78-119
03/03/24HNevezis91-101
03/02/24ABC Wolves79-94
27/01/24HLietkabelis78-84
23/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas71-98
15/01/24AMazeikiai74-100
08/01/24HSiauliai72-115
16/12/23AJonava89-84
09/12/23HRytas77-101
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HJuventus88-93
07/03/24HMazeikiai72-83
03/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes101-91
10/02/24ARytas64-113
04/02/24HNeptunas96-92 OT
28/01/24ASiauliai77-85
13/01/24HJonava92-86
06/01/24HBC Wolves78-99
29/12/23AJuventus74-106
17/12/23HLietkabelis106-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%18%27%
Points / game84.485.283.6
Allowed / game94.792.596.9
Point differential-10.3-7.4-13.3
Avg total179.1177.7180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL26%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%42%9%
Points / game82.885.280.3
Allowed / game92.588.896.5
Point differential-9.7-3.7-16.3
Avg total175.3174.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2220291%86.072.0+14.0
2 Rytas2218482%93.679.1+14.5
3 BC Wolves2316770%84.578.0+6.4
4 Juventus2214864%89.380.0+9.3
5 Lietkabelis2113862%83.882.8+1.0
6 Neptunas23111248%83.784.5-0.8
7 Mazeikiai23111248%79.682.4-2.8
8 Jonava2391439%82.485.0-2.7
9 Siauliai2361726%81.487.2-5.7
10 Nevezis2361726%82.892.5-9.7
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%84.494.7-10.3
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes1420192174
Nevezis2816201276
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