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Nevezis vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-83
15-23 22-26 16-17 19-17
Position#9
Record6-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#7
Record9-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v Mazeikiai
11 May 2025
NEV109
MAZ80
07 Dec 2024
NEV93
MAZ87
15 Oct 2024
NEV89
MAZ71
07 Mar 2024
NEV72
MAZ83
28 Apr 2015
NEV82
MAZ98
09 Oct 2014
NEV69
MAZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 79
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 79
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 79
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-106
74
106
-32
60avg 79
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 79
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 79
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 79
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-113
64
113
-49
46avg 79
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 79
A03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
31-26
29-35
22-24
25-23
32-23
15-37
26-19
25-26
32-23
22-19
27-26
19-25
14-38
19-25
22-18
20-30
19-32
15-21
24-16
27-22
24-29
16-16
25-19
19-25
28-24
20-18
10-18
26-22
18-17
21-21
21-26
18-30
15-35
15-23
16-25
23-28
28-19
22-23
28-21
186.8Avg total
89.9Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.193.0176.0-9.929%
Season at home (10)86.289.0175.2-2.850%
Season away (11)80.396.5176.8-16.39%
Last 10 (10)89.996.9186.8-7.050%
Last 5 (5)86.093.4179.4-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.696.6178.2-14.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.485.6172.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (6)95.291.0186.2+4.267%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 72
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
48avg 72
H02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
62avg 72
H17/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 72
H30/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
96avg 72
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
94avg 72
H15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
61avg 72
A28/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
96-87
96
87
+9
96avg 72
A03/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 72
H10/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 72
H02/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-21
17-17
22-12
18-18
20-27
14-17
8-15
17-18
17-15
23-23
13-12
13-21
21-19
24-18
15-20
15-18
30-21
24-24
24-19
14-18
23-20
34-22
29-14
14-20
17-29
24-31
20-23
30-22
28-27
21-20
17-18
22-25
18-13
13-16
35-32
25-21
13-23
19-20
16-20
161.0Avg total
80.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.682.5161.1-3.945%
Season at home (11)76.577.4153.8-0.945%
Season away (9)81.288.8170.0-7.644%
Last 10 (10)80.580.5161.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)86.486.8173.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.184.5159.6-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.182.3167.4+2.856%
vs Weaker (4)89.582.2171.8+7.275%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.4+1.4
NevezisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-65
33
65
-32
A10/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A03/03
LKL
98.7Avg total
47.4Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.147.292.3-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.546.492.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.648.191.7-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)47.451.398.7-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.250.295.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.850.191.8-8.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.644.893.4+3.950%-
vs Weaker (6)49.243.092.2+6.283%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A03/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/03
LKL
80.5Avg total
39.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.882.2-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.677.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)40.746.487.1-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.280.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.543.279.7-6.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.642.686.1+1.056%-
vs Weaker (4)42.841.284.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.5
39.9%
34.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.718.9
73.5%
73.2%18.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.4
58.1%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.9
28.8%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
73.2%15.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WLWLWLLWLW
Mazeikiai
LWWLWWLWLW
#9
League position
#7
-8.4
Net rating
+1.4
117.5
Offensive rating
109.8
125.9
Defensive rating
108.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
60.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.9%
3-point %
28.8%
51.5%
Assist %
61.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 109.8Defence125.9 · 108.4Shooting56.6% · 51.6%3-point %39.9% · 28.8%Ball care18.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 32.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nevezis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevezis wins
3
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Mazeikiai v Nevezis88-81
28/04/15Nevezis v Mazeikiai82-98
31/01/15Mazeikiai v Nevezis76-75
13/12/14Mazeikiai v Nevezis75-83
09/10/14Nevezis v Mazeikiai69-65
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes101-91
10/02/24ARytas64-113
04/02/24HNeptunas96-92 OT
28/01/24ASiauliai77-85
13/01/24HJonava92-86
06/01/24HBC Wolves78-99
29/12/23AJuventus74-106
17/12/23HLietkabelis106-94
10/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas98-102
06/12/23AJuventus113-101
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HBC Wolves73-84
10/02/24HJuventus88-86
03/02/24AJonava96-87
28/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-103
15/01/24HPieno Zvaigzdes100-74
08/01/24AGargzdai93-82
30/12/23HSiauliai73-78
17/12/23HNeptunas70-68
02/12/23HRytas60-77
25/11/23HGargzdai77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW29%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game83.186.280.3
Allowed / game93.089.096.5
Point differential-9.9-2.8-16.3
Avg total176.0175.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game78.676.581.2
Allowed / game82.577.488.8
Point differential-3.9-0.9-7.6
Avg total161.1153.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas2018290%94.278.0+16.1
2 Zalgiris Kaunas2018290%84.970.6+14.3
3 BC Wolves2115671%84.178.2+5.9
4 Lietkabelis1811761%84.181.9+2.2
5 Juventus2012860%87.779.7+8.0
6 Mazeikiai2091145%78.682.5-3.9
7 Neptunas2191243%83.685.0-1.4
8 Jonava2181338%82.985.5-2.7
9 Siauliai2161529%81.287.0-5.7
10 Nevezis2161529%83.193.0-9.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2051525%85.193.4-8.3
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1522161972
Mazeikiai2326171783
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