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Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-92 (OT)
26-22 18-17 21-21 21-26 10-6
Position#9
Record4-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game92.0
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#6
Record8-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game84.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
88avg 80
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-80
92
80
+12
74avg 80
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 80
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 80
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 80
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-106
74
106
-32
60avg 80
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
65avg 80
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 80
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 80
A28/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
18-20
19-26
26-17
34-22
16-24
18-33
22-28
23-22
25-19
18-23
26-16
31-16
31-26
29-35
22-24
25-23
32-23
15-37
26-19
25-26
32-23
22-19
27-26
19-25
14-38
19-25
22-18
20-30
19-32
15-21
24-16
27-22
24-29
16-16
25-19
19-25
28-24
20-18
10-18
186.1Avg total
91.0Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.492.0174.4-9.622%
Season at home (9)85.188.7173.8-3.644%
Season away (9)79.895.3175.1-15.60%
Last 10 (10)91.095.1186.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)85.494.0179.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.495.1176.6-13.76%
vs Similar (9)85.386.6171.9-1.244%
vs Weaker (5)94.091.0185.0+3.060%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 81
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 81
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 81
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 81
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 81
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 81
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 81
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 81
A27/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
160.1Avg total
79.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.984.3168.2-0.444%
Season at home (9)85.282.2167.4+3.056%
Season away (9)82.686.3168.9-3.833%
Last 10 (10)79.980.2160.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.686.4170.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.794.5176.2-12.810%
vs Similar (6)81.783.3165.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.481.7172.1+8.671%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A06/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A10/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H06/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H13/01
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/01
LKL
97.3Avg total
48.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.646.991.5-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.947.393.2-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.246.589.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)48.349.097.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.454.8100.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.649.591.1-7.919%-
vs Similar (9)47.644.992.4+2.744%-
vs Weaker (5)48.842.291.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
80.7Avg total
40.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.385.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.986.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.340.683.9+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.780.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.545.886.3-5.330%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.080.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.041.186.1+3.957%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.6
54.8%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.6
39.8%
34.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.218.7
74.2%
73.2%18.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
34.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
73.2%11.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLWLWWLL
Neptunas
LLWLWLLWWW
#9
League position
#6
-8.0
Net rating
-0.4
119.0
Offensive rating
109.2
127.0
Defensive rating
109.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
61.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.8%
3-point %
34.0%
57.0%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 109.2Defence127.0 · 109.7Shooting56.7% · 53.2%3-point %39.8% · 34.0%Ball care16.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ASiauliai77-85
13/01/24HJonava92-86
06/01/24HBC Wolves78-99
29/12/23AJuventus74-106
17/12/23HLietkabelis106-94
10/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas98-102
06/12/23AJuventus113-101
04/12/23HGargzdai92-80
30/11/23HJuventus90-107
27/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes90-91 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL22%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%44%0%
Points / game82.485.179.8
Allowed / game92.088.795.3
Point differential-9.6-3.6-15.6
Avg total174.4173.8175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game83.985.282.6
Allowed / game84.382.286.3
Point differential-0.4+3.0-3.8
Avg total168.2167.4168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1816289%93.278.2+14.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%83.470.8+12.7
3 BC Wolves1914574%84.177.5+6.5
4 Juventus1712571%89.277.2+12.0
5 Lietkabelis1610662%84.181.9+2.1
6 Neptunas1881044%83.984.3-0.4
7 Mazeikiai1881044%78.482.2-3.8
8 Jonava1971237%82.085.4-3.4
9 Siauliai1951426%80.686.7-6.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1951426%84.893.0-8.2
11 Nevezis1841422%82.492.0-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nevezis261821211096
Neptunas22172126692
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