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Pinheiros vs Bauru Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pinheiros v Bauru
27 Dec 2026
PINH v BAUR
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
PINH83
BAUR60
14 Nov 2024
PINH80
BAUR87
08 Feb 2024
PINH84
BAUR76
23 Dec 2022
PINH68
BAUR65
06 Mar 2022
PINH60
BAUR65
11 Jan 2021
PINH89
BAUR92
23 Oct 2019
PINH76
BAUR68
13 Oct 2018
PINH92
BAUR81
14 Dec 2017
PINH77
BAUR93
20 May 2017
PINH72
BAUR76
08 May 2017
PINH98
BAUR86
23 Nov 2016
PINH84
BAUR69
27 Apr 2016
PINH86
BAUR89
18 Apr 2016
PINH85
BAUR95
03 Feb 2016
PINH88
BAUR100
27 Mar 2015
PINH69
BAUR89
11 Feb 2014
PINH73
BAUR81
19 Jan 2013
PINH73
BAUR74
13 Mar 2012
PINH91
BAUR67
14 Nov 2010
PINH95
BAUR97
01 Apr 2009
PINH94
BAUR88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 74
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 74
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 74
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 74
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 74
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 74
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-53
91
53
+38
no box
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
25-6
20-15
23-14
23-18
22-21
28-19
30-16
23-31
14-22
20-15
24-23
12-25
16-22
21-17
37-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.273.1158.4+12.175%
Season at home (4)84.872.0156.8+12.875%
Season away (4)85.874.2160.0+11.575%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.183.9163.0-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.474.4160.9+12.083%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 78
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 78
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
62-71
62
71
-9
47avg 78
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
82-81
82
81
+1
70avg 78
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
81avg 78
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 78
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
22-20
15-25
26-19
24-14
29-17
16-26
19-18
16-15
16-20
18-20
12-16
20-19
23-17
18-22
21-23
23-22
11-20
25-17
24-9
15-20
19-19
9-23
18-17
23-26
12-26
21-16
19-15
24-16
21-23
15-13
14-26
16-18
20-21
12-17
16-21
28-26
26-16
19-19
25-17
155.2Avg total
76.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.777.7154.4-1.043%
Season at home (4)70.575.5146.0-5.025%
Season away (3)85.080.7165.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)76.778.5155.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.185.6167.8-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.282.9165.1-0.736%
vs Weaker (8)89.178.4167.5+10.888%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
PinheirosBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.637.181.7+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.081.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.678.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.643.986.4-1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.137.280.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H26/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A30/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H03/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A09/11
NBB
81.1Avg total
40.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.7+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.286.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.7-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.681.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.242.587.8+2.862%-
vs Similar (14)39.041.080.0-2.036%-
vs Weaker (8)44.238.182.4+6.188%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WLWWWWWLLW
Bauru
WLLLLWWLWL
#3
League position
#11
+6.1
Net rating
-7.8
94.5
Offensive rating
86.0
88.4
Defensive rating
93.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
28.6%
53.2%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 86.0Defence88.4 · 93.8Shooting51.6% · 47.1%3-point %34.4% · 28.6%Ball care15.6% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pinheiros wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
12/01/26Bauru v Pinheiros101-94
23/10/25Pinheiros v Bauru83-60
05/03/25Bauru v Pinheiros84-81
14/11/24Pinheiros v Bauru80-87
08/02/24Pinheiros v Bauru84-76
11/11/23Bauru v Pinheiros74-70
29/03/23Bauru v Pinheiros82-71
23/12/22Pinheiros v Bauru68-65
06/03/22Pinheiros v Bauru60-65
02/12/21Bauru v Pinheiros73-68
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACorinthians Paulista91-79
09/11/26HMogi70-85
07/11/26HSao Jose103-87
02/11/26HCaxias do Sul91-53
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26APato98-78
05/11/26HMinas64-77
03/11/26HCruzeiro74-78
30/10/26APaulistano75-83
23/10/26HMogi61-79
21/10/26HSao Jose83-68
18/10/26AFlamengo82-81
29/04/26APaulistano62-71
26/04/26HPaulistano88-75
24/04/26HPaulistano80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.284.885.8
Allowed / game73.172.074.2
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.5
Avg total158.4156.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game76.770.585.0
Allowed / game77.775.580.7
Point differential-1.0-5.0+4.3
Avg total154.4146.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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