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Bauru vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-81
18-21 23-16 27-24 16-20
Position#4
Record14-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.0
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record13-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game74.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Pinheiros
12 Jan 2026
BAUR101
PINH94
05 Mar 2025
BAUR84
PINH81
11 Nov 2023
BAUR74
PINH70
29 Mar 2023
BAUR82
PINH71
02 Dec 2021
BAUR73
PINH68
25 Jan 2021
BAUR60
PINH72
06 Feb 2020
BAUR70
PINH63
28 Feb 2019
BAUR68
PINH75
02 Mar 2018
BAUR85
PINH84
23 May 2017
BAUR66
PINH60
15 May 2017
BAUR94
PINH77
13 May 2017
BAUR83
PINH89
14 Feb 2017
BAUR74
PINH64
24 Apr 2016
BAUR88
PINH92
22 Apr 2016
BAUR109
PINH83
18 Nov 2015
BAUR71
PINH79
17 Dec 2014
BAUR116
PINH55
16 Nov 2013
BAUR91
PINH97
25 Mar 2013
BAUR67
PINH62
07 Jan 2012
BAUR99
PINH82
10 Feb 2011
BAUR89
PINH94
11 Feb 2009
BAUR88
PINH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 73
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
67avg 73
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 73
A27/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
22-11
22-15
18-20
18-16
21-14
20-11
18-20
15-19
17-28
19-15
23-15
19-25
154.9Avg total
75.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.479.0157.3-0.656%
Season at home (11)78.274.6152.8+3.582%
Season away (14)78.582.4160.9-3.936%
Last 10 (10)75.679.3154.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)79.877.0156.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.780.1157.9-2.450%
vs Weaker (9)80.676.8157.3+3.878%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
66avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
69avg 66
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 66
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 66
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
59-91
59
91
-32
49avg 66
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
L
61-69
61
69
-8
32avg 66
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 66
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-70
59
70
-11
46avg 66
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
57avg 66
A26/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 66
A03/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-19
25-21
27-28
20-10
24-18
12-14
19-21
27-15
25-24
17-19
18-12
25-24
14-26
19-26
7-10
14-25
14-21
16-23
15-22
13-16
19-15
15-20
14-18
16-15
24-15
27-26
13-15
13-19
21-13
12-18
13-20
21-19
22-21
14-18
13-14
23-28
24-18
20-18
15-27
149.7Avg total
72.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.174.9150.0+0.250%
Season at home (12)74.975.9150.8-1.050%
Season away (14)75.374.1149.4+1.250%
Last 10 (10)72.477.3149.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)70.474.6145.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.875.3144.1-6.622%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.776.4151.1-1.738%
vs Weaker (7)80.169.9150.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
BauruPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NBB
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.178.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.539.877.3-2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.478.5-2.341%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.938.676.5-0.657%-
vs Weaker (9)39.636.876.3+2.844%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/02
NBB
Franca
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/03
NBB
77.6Avg total
39.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.574.4-0.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.438.677.0-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.836.672.4-0.965%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.377.6+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.938.073.9-2.167%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.440.477.8-3.046%-
vs Weaker (7)38.630.368.9+8.386%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.4
48.9%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.9
27.3%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.911.7
65.4%
72.7%11.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.9
48.3%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.911.4
63.7%
72.7%11.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LWWWLWLLLL
Pinheiros
LLLWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#5
-5.9
Net rating
-6.6
97.4
Offensive rating
101.1
103.4
Defensive rating
107.7
45.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.3%
3-point %
31.2%
61.5%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 101.1Defence103.4 · 107.7Shooting45.6% · 47.6%3-point %27.3% · 31.2%Ball care16.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bauru   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bauru wins
3
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Pinheiros v Bauru80-87
08/02/24Pinheiros v Bauru84-76
11/11/23Bauru v Pinheiros74-70
29/03/23Bauru v Pinheiros82-71
23/12/22Pinheiros v Bauru68-65
06/03/22Pinheiros v Bauru60-65
02/12/21Bauru v Pinheiros73-68
25/01/21Bauru v Pinheiros60-72
11/01/21Pinheiros v Bauru89-92
06/02/20Bauru v Pinheiros70-63
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25ASao Jose78-83
16/02/25HCorinthians Paulista74-64
08/02/25AMogi80-62
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25AFranca82-91
26/02/25ABrasilia70-72
15/02/25AMinas59-70
08/02/25HSao Paulo80-71
05/02/25HPaulistano61-69
26/01/25AFranca59-91
18/01/25HFlamengo65-86
11/01/25HVasco87-70
09/01/25HBotafogo75-63
27/12/24APato86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %56%82%36%
Points / game78.478.278.5
Allowed / game79.074.682.4
Point differential-0.6+3.5-3.9
Avg total157.3152.8160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%9%7%
Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.174.975.3
Allowed / game74.975.974.1
Point differential+0.2-1.0+1.2
Avg total150.0150.8149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2520580%84.473.4+10.9
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Uniao Corinthians25141156%78.579.0-0.6
6 Bauru25141156%78.479.0-0.6
7 Vasco26141254%76.676.0+0.7
8 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
9 Pinheiros26131350%75.174.9+0.2
10 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
11 Unifacisa27131448%75.475.3+0.1
12 Sao Jose27131448%78.178.5-0.4
13 Sao Paulo26111542%76.378.7-2.3
14 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
15 Mogi2791833%74.080.6-6.7
16 Botafogo2681831%73.480.5-7.1
17 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
18 Cearense2671927%71.578.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1823271684
Pinheiros2116242081
← all games of the day
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