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Pinheiros vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-64
21-25 25-16 20-13 11-10
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game74.9
Pinheiros 🏆
Brazil
vs
Botafogo
Brazil
Position#16
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game82.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pinheiros v Botafogo
27 Dec 2025
PINH77
BOTA64
09 Jan 2025
PINH75
BOTA63
29 Dec 2023
PINH84
BOTA88
27 Dec 2019
PINH92
BOTA98
30 Apr 2019
PINH78
BOTA82
20 Apr 2019
PINH89
BOTA64
18 Apr 2019
PINH67
BOTA58
26 Jan 2019
PINH69
BOTA67
01 Feb 2018
PINH80
BOTA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
104avg 73
H11/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
78avg 73
A21/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 73
A23/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
83-67
83
67
+16
78avg 73
H03/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 73
H10/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-70
84
70
+14
84avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
79avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
108-61
108
61
+47
87avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 73
H23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
19-24
22-17
25-20
21-23
20-20
21-14
19-20
30-12
27-34
23-16
22-27
22-22
22-16
21-15
18-14
21-16
27-12
14-27
22-14
21-21
22-15
24-18
17-16
13-19
19-17
24-22
33-21
29-15
38-19
23-14
18-13
28-23
22-25
29-11
30-21
28-21
27-13
25-22
18-27
169.9Avg total
94.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.174.9163.1+13.288%
Season at home (10)88.573.4161.9+15.190%
Season away (7)87.677.1164.7+10.486%
Last 10 (10)94.075.9169.9+18.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.674.6172.2+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.280.0149.2-10.840%
vs Similar (10)76.170.6146.7+5.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.674.3164.9+16.393%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
44avg 64
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 64
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
65avg 64
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
74-61
74
61
+13
71avg 64
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 64
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 64
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 64
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 64
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 64
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 64
A18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
9-22
18-24
20-19
25-19
15-18
17-14
14-22
22-25
19-15
12-19
17-23
19-23
13-7
24-17
18-14
15-23
20-21
22-16
13-19
19-28
20-28
21-22
17-23
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
154.7Avg total
71.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.582.9154.4-11.418%
Season at home (8)74.978.4153.2-3.538%
Season away (9)68.486.9155.3-18.40%
Last 10 (10)71.283.5154.7-12.310%
Last 5 (5)73.289.8163.0-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.385.4156.8-14.117%
vs Similar (7)76.076.6152.6-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
PinheirosBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H11/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A21/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A23/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H10/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
67-34
67
34
+33
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H23/12
NBB
88.2Avg total
49.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.979.2+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.336.580.8+7.882%-
Last 30 away (13)39.737.577.2+2.238%-
Last 10 (10)49.239.088.2+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.437.687.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.639.275.8-2.620%-
vs Similar (10)38.634.873.4+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.737.684.3+9.180%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
78.5Avg total
35.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.479.3-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.380.4-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.244.278.4-10.019%-
Last 10 (10)35.742.878.5-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.883.0-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.443.780.1-7.326%-
vs Similar (7)38.638.076.6+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
52.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.9
38.3%
32.5%41.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
72.8%11.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.2
47.2%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.1
28.2%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.8%12.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WWWWWWWWWW
Botafogo
LLLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#16
+24.6
Net rating
-17.2
124.1
Offensive rating
93.4
99.4
Defensive rating
110.6
58.2%
Effective FG%
45.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.3%
3-point %
28.2%
62.7%
Assist %
58.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence124.1 · 93.4Defence99.4 · 110.6Shooting58.2% · 45.2%3-point %38.3% · 28.2%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds38.7% · 28.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 10%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pinheiros wins
6
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Pinheiros v Botafogo75-63
24/10/24Botafogo v Pinheiros67-80
10/04/24Botafogo v Pinheiros93-69
29/12/23Pinheiros v Botafogo84-88
29/02/20Botafogo v Pinheiros88-86 OT
27/12/19Pinheiros v Botafogo92-98
30/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo78-82
27/04/19Botafogo v Pinheiros88-73
20/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo89-64
18/04/19Pinheiros v Botafogo67-58
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HSao Jose98-83
21/12/25HCorinthians Paulista109-80
18/12/25ACearense108-61
16/12/25AUnifacisa89-79
13/12/25HVasco84-70
10/12/25HMogi84-69
03/12/25HFlamengo83-67
23/11/25ACruzeiro102-89
21/11/25AMinas81-77
11/11/25HUniao Corinthians102-84
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
04/12/25APaulistano77-101
02/12/25AOsasco70-79
20/11/25HRio Claro74-61
18/11/25HBrasilia70-82
13/11/25ABauru71-73
10/11/25AFranca61-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %88%90%86%
Points / game88.188.587.6
Allowed / game74.973.477.1
Point differential+13.2+15.1+10.4
Avg total163.1161.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%90%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%38%0%
Points / game71.574.968.4
Allowed / game82.978.486.9
Point differential-11.4-3.5-18.4
Avg total154.4153.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
2 Pinheiros1715288%88.174.9+13.2
3 Franca1815383%87.373.1+14.2
4 Minas1815383%85.876.9+8.9
5 Brasilia1813572%82.273.5+8.7
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1710759%79.876.9+2.8
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Uniao Corinthians179853%78.280.1-1.9
10 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
13 Unifacisa178947%80.379.7+0.6
14 Cruzeiro1751229%77.585.1-7.6
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
17 Cearense1841422%77.788.9-11.2
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1821611%67.979.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2125201177
Botafogo2516131064
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