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Pinheiros vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 101-92 (OT)
16-23 26-24 24-22 23-20 12-3
Position#2
Record33-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#7
Record27-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.0
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pinheiros v Paulistano
04 May 2026
PINH101
PAUL92
19 Feb 2026
PINH80
PAUL68
05 Feb 2025
PINH61
PAUL69
09 Nov 2023
PINH68
PAUL72
14 Feb 2023
PINH67
PAUL74
14 Dec 2021
PINH83
PAUL73
07 Apr 2021
PINH47
PAUL69
25 Nov 2019
PINH76
PAUL81
07 Nov 2018
PINH71
PAUL82
06 Dec 2017
PINH81
PAUL65
14 Dec 2016
PINH77
PAUL92
18 Feb 2016
PINH80
PAUL84
11 Dec 2014
PINH89
PAUL93
08 Jan 2014
PINH91
PAUL93
14 Feb 2013
PINH88
PAUL86
05 Apr 2012
PINH82
PAUL87
01 Feb 2011
PINH111
PAUL88
03 Feb 2009
PINH82
PAUL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A21/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A10/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H16/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H21/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A25/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
A26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
15-21
16-17
14-22
25-17
17-11
15-15
24-20
29-22
24-26
15-14
23-23
22-21
24-18
20-23
17-19
20-16
22-21
17-21
10-16
25-22
16-20
16-8
18-26
25-12
19-16
27-16
17-11
19-20
22-18
31-20
23-22
24-25
21-16
27-16
16-22
23-16
14-25
17-19
27-21
160.0Avg total
83.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)85.874.7160.5+11.180%
Season at home (20)87.372.6159.9+14.795%
Season away (21)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)83.976.1160.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)88.075.6163.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.281.0160.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.573.3160.8+14.285%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H29/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
21-16
11-18
26-24
21-17
21-16
32-23
22-13
18-22
27-11
18-17
23-22
22-16
14-22
26-21
22-21
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
24-15
27-18
28-18
13-20
21-13
16-8
25-28
18-28
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
159.5Avg total
82.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)83.078.0161.0+5.064%
Season at home (21)85.375.5160.8+9.881%
Season away (21)80.780.5161.2+0.148%
Last 10 (10)82.876.7159.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)82.675.6158.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.384.3163.7-5.033%
vs Similar (14)84.181.5165.6+2.671%
vs Weaker (13)85.574.7160.2+10.869%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
PinheirosPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A21/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H24/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/04
NBB
81.9Avg total
43.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.882.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.737.582.2+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)42.939.982.8+2.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.381.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.079.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.542.585.0+0.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.938.282.2+5.762%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A09/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
76.8Avg total
40.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.180.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.238.482.6+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.779.5+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.376.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.676.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.342.783.0-2.30%-
vs Similar (14)41.838.280.0+3.657%-
vs Weaker (13)42.339.281.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.6%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
32.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.913.8
66.0%
72.8%13.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.1
54.0%
52.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
72.8%11.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WWWWLLWWWL
Paulistano
WLWWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#7
+4.8
Net rating
+6.6
91.3
Offensive rating
97.1
86.6
Defensive rating
90.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
37.2%
63.7%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 97.1Defence86.6 · 90.4Shooting51.2% · 54.8%3-point %34.7% · 37.2%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pinheiros wins
7
Paulistano wins
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ARio Claro94-88 OT
25/04/26ARio Claro88-79
21/04/26HRio Claro95-80
16/04/26HPato88-55
10/04/26ASao Jose75-76
04/04/26ACorinthians Paulista69-74
01/04/26HUnifacisa83-81
24/03/26HMinas91-85
21/03/26AVasco81-63
19/03/26AFlamengo75-80
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
21/04/26HBauru80-77
18/04/26HPato92-71
15/04/26AMogi70-84
09/04/26ACorinthians Paulista84-80
03/04/26ABotafogo86-72
01/04/26AVasco96-69
23/03/26AFlamengo79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %80%95%67%
Points / game85.887.384.3
Allowed / game74.772.676.7
Point differential+11.1+14.7+7.7
Avg total160.5159.9161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %64%81%48%
Points / game83.085.380.7
Allowed / game78.075.580.5
Point differential+5.0+9.8+0.1
Avg total161.0160.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4135685%90.676.8+13.9
2 Pinheiros4133880%85.874.7+11.1
3 Minas43321174%88.882.4+6.4
4 Flamengo42311174%88.278.9+9.3
5 Brasilia42311174%80.671.5+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista43311272%84.979.2+5.7
7 Paulistano42271564%83.078.0+5.0
8 Mogi41241759%76.671.3+5.3
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pinheiros1626242312101
Paulistano23242220392
← all games of the day
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