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Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-79
26-21 16-21 18-11 24-26
Position#4
Record24-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#7
Record20-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game78.4
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
64avg 80
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 80
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
66avg 80
H13/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
77avg 80
A16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 80
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 80
H21/02
NBB
Astros
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
99avg 80
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
63avg 80
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 80
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
101-71
101
71
+30
104avg 80
H20/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
18-24
24-33
10-11
11-16
19-25
26-16
19-28
31-17
19-21
14-16
15-16
21-26
24-25
13-13
20-14
30-22
23-18
15-29
23-20
13-23
21-24
29-20
16-25
33-19
23-26
22-21
23-33
25-16
18-24
12-17
22-18
20-30
21-15
17-16
22-14
18-13
26-20
30-19
27-19
168.7Avg total
84.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.277.4164.5+9.880%
Season at home (15)88.875.0163.8+13.887%
Season away (15)85.579.7165.3+5.873%
Last 10 (10)84.983.8168.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)87.682.4170.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.286.6165.8-7.440%
vs Similar (10)84.980.8165.7+4.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.377.9164.2+8.373%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 71
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 71
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 71
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
75avg 71
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
88avg 71
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
91-77
91
77
+14
83avg 71
H19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
32-23
23-25
26-18
19-21
24-24
23-24
23-18
21-11
170.7Avg total
88.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.078.4161.4+4.662%
Season at home (18)86.076.4162.4+9.678%
Season away (14)79.281.0160.2-1.843%
Last 10 (10)88.482.3170.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)98.487.6186.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.081.8161.8-1.850%
vs Similar (11)81.882.4164.2-0.564%
vs Weaker (15)86.876.4163.2+10.467%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/02
NBB
Astros
#3
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
86.6Avg total
44.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.483.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.139.485.5+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)42.239.481.6+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.586.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
vs Similar (10)45.538.984.4+6.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.138.382.4+5.773%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/03
NBB
86.7Avg total
44.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.482.0+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.682.3+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.481.7+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.386.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.646.096.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.540.078.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (11)42.739.582.2+3.355%-
vs Weaker (15)43.639.382.9+4.367%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.4
53.2%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.7
34.7%
32.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.0
71.8%
72.8%15.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.5
53.8%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.1
36.6%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
72.8%14.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWLWLWLL
Paulistano
WWLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+2.1
Net rating
+7.0
97.5
Offensive rating
101.8
95.4
Defensive rating
94.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
36.6%
57.0%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 101.8Defence95.4 · 94.8Shooting52.6% · 54.3%3-point %34.7% · 36.6%Ball care13.9% · 12.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Paulistano v Flamengo80-82
06/04/25Flamengo v Paulistano70-63
23/12/24Paulistano v Flamengo75-89
26/03/24Flamengo v Paulistano81-68
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HOsasco101-71
19/03/26HPinheiros80-75
14/03/26AAstros77-75
06/03/26HAstros101-99
21/02/26HBauru79-92
19/02/26HFranca91-89
16/02/26ARio Claro87-93 OT
13/02/26HSao Jose79-70
09/02/26AObras Sanitarias75-85
08/02/26ANacional79-89
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HCearense91-77
17/03/26HRio Claro100-87
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayWLWLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%87%73%
Points / game87.288.885.5
Allowed / game77.475.079.7
Point differential+9.8+13.8+5.8
Avg total164.5163.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game83.086.079.2
Allowed / game78.476.481.0
Point differential+4.6+9.6-1.8
Avg total161.4162.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3327682%85.974.1+11.8
2 Franca3125681%90.975.9+15.0
3 Flamengo3024680%87.277.4+9.8
4 Minas3124777%86.681.5+5.2
5 Brasilia3223972%81.671.7+9.9
6 Corinthians Paulista3122971%84.378.5+5.8
7 Paulistano32201262%83.078.4+4.6
8 Bauru33201361%81.578.7+2.8
9 Sao Jose33201361%82.380.0+2.3
10 Mogi32181456%76.070.3+5.7
11 Uniao Corinthians31171455%79.180.7-1.6
12 Unifacisa32161650%80.981.0-0.1
13 Caxias do Sul33141942%72.876.7-3.8
14 Cruzeiro32112134%79.485.2-5.8
15 Rio Claro34102429%78.286.4-8.1
16 Botafogo3282425%72.482.6-10.2
17 Pato3172423%73.479.8-6.4
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3352815%70.079.4-9.4
20 Osasco3452915%75.887.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2616182484
Paulistano2121112679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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