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Pistoia vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-97
24-18 24-19 17-28 17-32
Position#19
Record7-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Scafati 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record18-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.7
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Scafati
08 Mar 2026
PIS82
SKA97
08 Feb 2025
PIS89
SKA91
20 Jan 2024
PIS78
SKA71
21 Feb 2021
PIS67
SKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
89avg 67
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 67
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
77avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
56avg 67
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 67
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 67
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 67
A01/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
19-23
19-25
24-28
23-9
20-21
16-13
20-26
11-21
20-29
23-21
6-11
19-20
15-20
20-14
24-22
15-18
13-14
14-18
15-26
19-23
24-16
20-22
15-12
19-23
28-14
17-28
13-19
14-19
18-28
26-17
15-23
26-22
18-24
16-17
16-20
21-26
160.0Avg total
76.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.182.9160.0-5.824%
Season at home (14)78.482.0160.4-3.629%
Season away (15)75.983.7159.6-7.720%
Last 10 (10)76.084.0160.0-8.010%
Last 5 (5)73.482.2155.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.183.3159.4-7.216%
vs Similar (11)78.482.5160.8-4.136%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
78-59
78
59
+19
73avg 69
H04/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
79-72
79
72
+7
68avg 69
A10/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
55avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
78avg 69
H25/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 69
A31/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 69
H07/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
72avg 69
A11/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 69
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
40avg 69
A22/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-16
17-24
20-7
16-19
19-21
21-9
23-23
33-18
26-24
32-11
18-27
24-21
19-23
6-17
13-17
14-16
22-14
19-28
18-15
18-27
20-22
23-15
19-17
27-18
25-24
19-13
26-20
22-15
22-21
13-20
22-20
20-13
23-14
19-29
22-23
15-18
18-13
10-23
18-22
158.0Avg total
81.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.177.7159.8+4.362%
Season at home (15)86.477.4163.8+9.080%
Season away (14)77.478.1155.5-0.643%
Last 10 (10)81.976.1158.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)80.277.4157.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.0100.0172.0-28.00%
vs Similar (11)75.081.4156.4-6.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.475.5161.9+10.983%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
PistoiaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/03
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
38.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.978.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.338.978.2+0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.878.6-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.179.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.938.775.6-1.847%-
vs Similar (11)41.342.183.4-0.836%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H18/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H25/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H07/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A11/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/02
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
42.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.778.8+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.080.9+6.987%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.576.7-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.979.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.079.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.276.6+0.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.836.879.6+6.078%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.7
49.1%
50.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
74.4%16.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.2
48.9%
50.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
34.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.614.7
68.1%
74.4%14.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWLLLLLL
Scafati
LWWWLWLWWW
#19
League position
#1
-11.2
Net rating
+4.4
93.3
Offensive rating
96.8
104.5
Defensive rating
92.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
38.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
34.4%
56.1%
Assist %
55.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 96.8Defence104.5 · 92.3Shooting49.4% · 50.2%3-point %33.2% · 34.4%Ball care17.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 38.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
7
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Scafati v Pistoia77-71
08/02/25Pistoia v Scafati89-91
14/12/24Scafati v Pistoia107-102 OT
20/01/24Pistoia v Scafati78-71
15/10/23Scafati v Pistoia85-77
16/04/22Scafati v Pistoia82-71
21/02/21Pistoia v Scafati67-86
13/12/20Scafati v Pistoia78-67
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ARoseto71-87
21/02/26AMestre85-90
15/02/26HUrania Milano72-80
08/02/26HForli78-73
01/02/26AFortitudo Bologna61-81
25/01/26HSebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
21/01/26AJuVi Cremona68-81
18/01/26HVerona67-81
11/01/26AAvellino Basket94-99 OT
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AVerona61-76
15/02/26HPesaro84-79
11/02/26AJuVi Cremona79-76
07/02/26HRoseto97-75
31/01/26AMestre80-81
25/01/26HFortitudo Bologna90-85 OT
21/01/26ALibertas Livorno62-78
18/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia109-80
10/01/26AUrania Milano79-72
04/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo78-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %24%29%20%
Points / game77.178.475.9
Allowed / game82.982.083.7
Point differential-5.8-3.6-7.7
Avg total160.0160.4159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%80%43%
Points / game82.186.477.4
Allowed / game77.777.478.1
Point differential+4.3+9.0-0.6
Avg total159.8163.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2921872%82.078.2+3.9
2 Brindisi2819968%78.672.2+6.4
3 Libertas Livorno30191163%79.972.8+7.1
4 Scafati29181162%82.177.7+4.3
5 Fortitudo Bologna29181162%77.073.2+3.7
6 Rimini28171161%81.678.0+3.6
7 Avellino Basket28171161%81.979.2+2.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%78.776.8+2.0
9 Cividale30181260%77.676.2+1.5
10 Verona29171259%77.573.7+3.8
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona29141548%74.977.0-2.1
13 Basket Torino29131645%72.874.1-1.3
14 Mestre30131743%77.980.4-2.5
15 Urania Milano30131743%79.181.8-2.7
16 Cento29101934%77.580.9-3.4
17 Forli29101934%76.680.8-4.2
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia2972224%77.182.9-5.8
20 Roseto2952417%78.184.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2424171782
Scafati1819283297
← all games of the day
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