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Scafati vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-77
21-16 22-14 22-23 20-24
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.0
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· Pala Mangano
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Scafati v Pistoia
23 Nov 2025
SKA77
PIS71
14 Dec 2024
SKA107
PIS102
15 Oct 2023
SKA85
PIS77
16 Apr 2022
SKA82
PIS71
13 Dec 2020
SKA78
PIS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 74
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 74
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 74
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 74
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 74
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
69avg 74
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 74
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 74
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
74avg 74
A08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
32-21
18-26
24-19
20-14
16-14
15-17
12-18
23-23
15-27
24-18
23-16
15-18
16-19
22-19
33-23
18-15
19-28
22-21
22-19
27-18
26-18
13-20
20-22
16-32
21-14
20-23
24-26
24-24
27-26
14-32
27-6
15-25
21-23
19-13
20-20
21-24
20-21
11-20
25-20
166.2Avg total
82.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.683.6166.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.483.0162.4-3.620%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.580.8159.3-2.337%
vs Weaker (6)84.579.2163.7+5.367%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A29/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
H03/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
A06/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
no box
H10/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
no box
H12/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 66
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
58avg 66
H08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
9-25
23-24
12-13
25-19
12-14
15-21
21-15
25-15
21-22
12-15
22-25
14-15
15-24
26-18
20-10
18-21
19-8
11-16
19-16
11-16
18-13
24-17
16-16
25-28
15-21
19-12
8-17
20-14
21-15
14-16
18-16
24-27
26-17
23-18
9-21
14-25
28-12
20-25
11-16
144.5Avg total
72.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.580.5158.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Season away (1)82.083.0165.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)72.771.8144.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)70.473.6144.0-3.244%
vs Weaker (12)85.274.7159.9+10.683%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
ScafatiPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/10
Lega A
83.4Avg total
41.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.279.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.743.384.0-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.937.174.0-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.383.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.088.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.843.682.4-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.340.277.5-2.842%-
vs Weaker (6)43.737.381.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H12/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/10
Lega A
75.5Avg total
38.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.778.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.235.174.3+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.981.6-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.175.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.637.675.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker (12)42.340.382.7+2.050%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.1
48.1%
53.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.6
40.1%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
76.3%16.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.0
47.0%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.4
27.7%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
76.3%14.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LLWLWLWWLW
Pistoia
LLWLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#10
-0.8
Net rating
-13.9
113.2
Offensive rating
103.2
114.0
Defensive rating
117.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
44.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.1%
3-point %
27.7%
69.3%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 103.2Defence114.0 · 117.1Shooting53.7% · 44.8%3-point %40.1% · 27.7%Ball care17.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 33.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Scafati   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Scafati wins
0
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Scafati v Pistoia82-71
21/02/21Pistoia v Scafati67-86
13/12/20Scafati v Pistoia78-67
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AReggiana77-85
01/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-81
07/05/23HBrescia92-88
30/04/23AVarese81-95
23/04/23AVerona86-78
19/04/23HVirtus Bologna81-83
16/04/23APesaro86-79
11/04/23HBrindisi85-84
02/04/23AReggiana70-78 OT
25/03/23HTrieste93-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HTrento73-78
04/10/23AVarese82-83
17/06/23ABasket Torino73-61
15/06/23ABasket Torino67-78
12/06/23HBasket Torino69-62
10/06/23HBasket Torino67-61
06/06/23ACantu75-67
03/06/23HCantu80-77
01/06/23HCantu73-69
29/05/23ACantu68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.075.077.0
Allowed / game83.081.085.0
Point differential-7.0-6.0-8.0
Avg total159.0156.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.573.082.0
Allowed / game80.578.083.0
Point differential-3.0-5.0-1.0
Avg total158.0151.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%95.378.0+17.3
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia330100%77.066.7+10.3
4 Basket Napoli32167%86.379.3+7.0
5 Reggiana32167%80.073.0+7.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
7 Trento32167%81.382.3-1.0
8 Tortona21150%64.572.0-7.5
9 Varese21150%83.598.5-15.0
10 Cremona31233%82.081.3+0.7
11 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
12 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
13 Pistoia2020%77.580.5-3.0
14 Scafati2020%76.083.0-7.0
15 Brindisi3030%66.379.0-12.7
16 Treviso3030%75.788.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati2122222085
Pistoia1614232477
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