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Pistoia vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-73
24-16 20-22 15-12 19-23
Position#19
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game82.9
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record9-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.2
ItalySerie A2Round 26· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Forli
03 Jan 2027
PIS v FORL
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
PIS78
FORL73
08 Jan 2023
PIS74
FORL62
20 Jan 2021
PIS79
FORL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 67
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 67
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 67
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
56avg 67
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
89avg 67
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 67
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
77avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
56avg 67
A01/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
22-20
21-10
15-19
10-27
20-25
14-20
23-27
12-23
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
19-23
19-25
24-28
23-9
20-21
16-13
20-26
11-21
20-29
23-21
6-11
19-20
15-20
20-14
24-22
15-18
13-14
14-18
15-26
19-23
158.8Avg total
74.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.282.9160.1-5.724%
Season at home (12)78.982.9161.8-4.025%
Season away (13)75.682.9158.5-7.323%
Last 10 (10)74.184.7158.8-10.60%
Last 5 (5)75.085.6160.6-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.984.4160.3-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 70
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 70
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 70
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 70
H04/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
83-55
83
55
+28
82avg 70
A10/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
81-99
81
99
-18
76avg 70
A24/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 70
H01/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
11-23
23-18
21-22
24-27
19-18
22-21
22-20
14-27
22-26
22-24
17-27
18-16
18-18
28-23
14-19
9-19
18-22
21-9
30-13
14-11
18-22
14-13
22-15
18-22
19-22
16-14
21-9
18-24
19-25
28-26
20-28
14-20
29-25
17-21
17-19
27-23
161.6Avg total
79.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.181.2158.3-4.036%
Season at home (13)79.280.4159.6-1.246%
Season away (12)74.882.0156.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.7161.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)82.079.4161.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.882.6156.3-8.819%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.578.4158.9+2.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
PistoiaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/02
Serie A2
79.7Avg total
38.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.378.3-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.440.177.5-2.850%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.478.9-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.179.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)37.139.676.7-2.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.042.483.4-1.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H04/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A24/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/02
Serie A2
82.7Avg total
41.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.2+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.178.7-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.582.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.839.175.9-2.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.341.284.5+2.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.5
51.4%
50.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.9
81.9%
74.4%14.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.5
51.0%
50.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
74.4%15.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLLLLL
Forli
WLWLWLLLLW
#19
League position
#17
-10.6
Net rating
-2.6
97.4
Offensive rating
104.0
108.0
Defensive rating
106.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
36.8%
50.9%
Assist %
58.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 104.0Defence108.0 · 106.6Shooting49.7% · 52.8%3-point %31.5% · 36.8%Ball care18.1% · 15.4%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
08/12/25Forli v Pistoia85-72
08/01/23Pistoia v Forli74-62
16/10/22Forli v Pistoia76-72
17/03/21Forli v Pistoia81-72
20/01/21Pistoia v Forli79-75
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AFortitudo Bologna61-81
25/01/26HSebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
21/01/26AJuVi Cremona68-81
18/01/26HVerona67-81
11/01/26AAvellino Basket94-99 OT
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
28/12/25ARimini69-95
21/12/25ABrindisi68-76
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HCento90-88
24/01/26AUrania Milano81-99
21/01/26HBasket Torino74-69
17/01/26HSebastiani Rieti82-86 OT
10/01/26AMestre83-55
04/01/26HJuVi Cremona69-79
28/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo79-93
21/12/25HRimini77-86
14/12/25AAvellino Basket79-90
08/12/25HPistoia85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game77.278.975.6
Allowed / game82.982.982.9
Point differential-5.7-4.0-7.3
Avg total160.1161.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW36%
HomeLLLWW46%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game77.179.274.8
Allowed / game81.280.482.0
Point differential-4.0-1.2-7.2
Avg total158.3159.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2619773%82.077.8+4.2
2 Cividale2617965%77.675.9+1.7
3 Libertas Livorno2516964%79.773.2+6.5
4 Brindisi2516964%77.272.3+4.9
5 Rimini2516964%81.377.4+4.0
6 Scafati26161062%82.977.8+5.1
7 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.572.5+4.0
8 Verona25151060%77.273.8+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti25151060%79.076.5+2.5
10 Avellino Basket25141156%80.278.0+2.2
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona25121348%74.877.7-2.9
13 Basket Torino26121446%73.372.7+0.6
14 Mestre25111444%77.180.6-3.5
15 Urania Milano26101638%78.082.0-4.0
16 Forli2591636%77.181.2-4.0
17 Cento2691735%78.480.8-2.4
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2581732%76.486.0-9.6
19 Pistoia2561924%77.282.9-5.7
20 Roseto2642215%78.084.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2420151978
Forli1622122373
← all games of the day
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