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Pistoia vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-71
10-21 21-22 20-11 27-17
Position#10
Record8-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record8-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.1
ItalyLega ARound 17· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Scafati
08 Mar 2026
PIS82
SKA97
08 Feb 2025
PIS89
SKA91
20 Jan 2024
PIS78
SKA71
21 Feb 2021
PIS67
SKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 70
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 70
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 70
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 70
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 70
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
161.2Avg total
78.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.181.8159.9-3.850%
Season at home (8)73.275.4148.6-2.150%
Season away (8)82.988.2171.1-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.283.0161.2-4.860%
Last 5 (5)73.083.6156.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.581.7161.2-2.267%
vs Similar ◀ (20)74.177.7151.8-3.650%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 76
H12/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
93-94
93
94
-1
85avg 76
A19/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 76
A25/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 76
H03/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
59-83
59
83
-24
51avg 76
A09/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 76
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
70avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
52-89
52
89
-37
40avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
102-76
102
76
+26
101avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-16
21-16
15-16
25-20
30-29
17-25
21-20
21-14
12-21
21-19
22-25
25-21
17-17
17-25
24-26
15-18
14-22
20-15
10-28
25-16
21-25
21-19
24-25
19-26
19-20
18-25
34-19
14-15
24-16
19-20
18-11
9-19
14-21
18-30
11-19
31-13
25-19
24-20
22-24
163.4Avg total
81.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.286.1171.4-0.950%
Season at home (8)87.582.5170.0+5.062%
Season away (8)83.089.8172.8-6.838%
Last 10 (10)81.182.3163.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)84.682.0166.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.886.5166.3-6.720%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.584.4169.8+1.159%
vs Weaker (3)89.084.0173.0+5.067%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
PistoiaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
85.2Avg total
39.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.480.1-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.637.174.6+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.645.284.9-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.785.2-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.446.881.2-12.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.343.081.3-4.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.540.879.2-2.350%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A19/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A09/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H14/01
Lega A
78.9Avg total
40.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.880.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.582.9+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.178.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.878.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.740.980.6-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.539.580.0+1.159%-
vs Weaker (3)46.738.084.7+8.767%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.9
50.9%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
76.3%13.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
76.3%12.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWWLLWWWWL
Scafati
WLWWWLLLLW
#10
League position
#14
-6.2
Net rating
+0.7
105.2
Offensive rating
111.2
111.5
Defensive rating
110.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
38.4%
55.7%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 111.2Defence111.5 · 110.5Shooting52.8% · 55.0%3-point %36.7% · 38.4%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
4
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Scafati v Pistoia85-77
16/04/22Scafati v Pistoia82-71
21/02/21Pistoia v Scafati67-86
13/12/20Scafati v Pistoia78-67
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HReggiana102-76
07/01/24ATortona52-89
30/12/23HTrento75-62
23/12/23ABrindisi103-98 OT
17/12/23HBasket Napoli91-85
09/12/23AVenezia59-83
03/12/23HBrescia83-89
25/11/23ASassari76-79
19/11/23AVarese93-94
12/11/23HOlimpia Milano77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.173.282.9
Allowed / game81.875.488.2
Point differential-3.8-2.1-5.4
Avg total159.9148.6171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game85.287.583.0
Allowed / game86.182.589.8
Point differential-0.9+5.0-6.8
Avg total171.4170.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1713476%86.474.7+11.6
2 Venezia1612475%82.778.1+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%87.376.6+10.8
4 Basket Napoli1610662%86.481.9+4.5
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%79.075.0+4.0
6 Reggiana169756%83.383.0+0.3
7 Trento179853%82.883.2-0.4
8 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
9 Scafati168850%85.286.1-0.9
10 Pistoia168850%78.181.8-3.8
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona1661038%78.280.9-2.8
13 Varese1661038%86.691.1-4.4
14 Pesaro1651131%78.886.2-7.4
15 Treviso1641225%80.184.6-4.4
16 Brindisi1631319%73.283.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1021202778
Scafati2122111771
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