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Podgorica vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-102
11-27 17-37 15-21 29-17
Position#7
Record18-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game74.1
Podgorica
Montenegro
vs
Buducnost 🏆
Montenegro
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game85.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaPrva A Liga - Semi-finals· Bemax Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Podgorica v Buducnost
17 Jun 2025
PODG72
BUD102
27 May 2022
PODG61
BUD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
99-71
99
71
+28
101avg 76
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
117-63
117
63
+54
122avg 76
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
84avg 76
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 76
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
60avg 76
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
54avg 76
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 76
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 76
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
86-61
86
61
+25
82avg 76
A03/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
72avg 76
A16/06
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
25-14
28-18
26-24
28-18
23-19
29-12
37-14
20-22
21-18
12-23
27-17
23-12
24-20
14-25
11-22
20-17
23-23
23-27
16-21
23-14
17-20
16-17
10-21
18-19
22-20
17-21
29-25
22-17
22-16
22-22
21-20
23-18
23-12
24-19
16-12
21-24
19-30
25-22
20-21
165.2Avg total
86.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.574.1159.6+11.467%
Season at home (13)86.574.8161.3+11.677%
Season away (14)84.673.4157.9+11.257%
Last 10 (10)86.978.3165.2+8.650%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.590.0171.5-8.50%
vs Similar (12)78.378.2156.6+0.133%
vs Weaker (15)84.968.6153.5+16.380%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
93avg 83
H11/05
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 83
A16/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
104-70
104
70
+34
108avg 83
H26/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
81-100
81
100
-19
73avg 83
A29/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
69avg 83
H01/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
77avg 83
H05/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 83
H07/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
57avg 83
A10/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
73avg 83
A12/06
ABA League
Podgorica
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
99avg 83
H16/06
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
23-16
24-28
20-18
19-21
30-17
15-31
28-18
27-18
29-22
25-13
23-17
17-25
23-25
14-21
27-29
22-25
21-19
20-16
18-18
24-22
19-13
18-25
22-23
16-16
15-25
25-10
28-22
19-24
18-25
22-18
8-16
26-26
18-22
15-22
16-20
24-21
30-19
22-25
21-20
170.5Avg total
86.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.584.0170.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)82.285.0167.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.386.8170.2-3.550%
vs Similar (8)84.685.2169.9-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.181.5174.6+11.793%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
PodgoricaBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/04
ABA League 2
Tivat
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/04
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A03/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A16/06
Prva A Liga
80.5Avg total
43.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.337.179.4+5.272%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.734.178.8+10.692%-
Last 30 away (17)40.639.279.9+1.459%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.880.5+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.047.585.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (12)39.936.276.2+3.775%-
vs Weaker (14)45.235.981.1+9.486%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H11/05
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A16/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H26/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H05/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H07/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A10/06
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A12/06
ABA League
Podgorica
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H16/06
Prva A Liga
86.8Avg total
44.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.687.3+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.338.385.6+9.081%-
Last 30 away (14)43.845.489.2-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.986.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.042.784.7-0.750%-
vs Similar (8)45.244.990.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.039.986.9+7.167%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.8
53.4%
58.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.8
30.1%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
69.7%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.4
57.6%
58.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.1
31.7%
31.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.3
81.2%
69.7%17.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
LWWWLLLLWW
Buducnost
WLLWLWLWWW
#7
League position
#1
-3.3
Net rating
+1.4
101.0
Offensive rating
114.3
104.3
Defensive rating
112.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.1%
3-point %
31.7%
49.7%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 114.3Defence104.3 · 112.9Shooting50.8% · 53.9%3-point %30.1% · 31.7%Ball care18.9% · 14.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Podgorica   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Podgorica wins
6
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
16/06/25Buducnost v Podgorica97-85
14/02/24Buducnost v Podgorica94-75
16/02/23Buducnost v Podgorica76-67
27/05/22Podgorica v Buducnost61-73
25/05/22Buducnost v Podgorica80-58
16/02/22Buducnost v Podgorica79-60
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/25ABuducnost85-97
03/05/25ATivat86-61
30/04/25HTivat87-75
28/04/25HDecic86-85
21/04/25HStudentski Centar66-72
12/04/25AVukovi Zeta82-88
07/04/25HTivat72-79
02/04/25AHelios Domzale89-92 OT
28/03/25ASusanj117-63
23/03/25HIbar Rozaje99-71
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/25HPodgorica97-85
12/06/25APartizan75-90
10/06/25APartizan67-83
07/06/25HPartizan84-73
05/06/25HPartizan88-94 OT
01/06/25HCrvena zvezda81-78
29/05/25ACrvena zvezda81-100
26/05/25HCrvena zvezda104-70
16/05/25AMega Basket92-87
11/05/25HMega Basket96-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLLWW77%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%77%57%
Points / game85.586.584.6
Allowed / game74.174.873.4
Point differential+11.4+11.6+11.2
Avg total159.6161.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Buducnost
Prva A Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total182.0182.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%97.085.0+12.0
2 Studentski Centar2723485%86.673.4+13.2
3 Tivat2620677%86.375.9+10.4
4 Sutjeska2922776%89.475.0+14.4
5 Jedinstvo2517868%82.274.5+7.7
6 Podgorica2718967%85.574.1+11.4
7 Primorje2718967%90.880.9+9.9
8 Decic25121348%89.891.3-1.6
9 Kotor2591636%77.277.8-0.5
10 Lovcen Cetinje2581732%70.079.3-9.4
11 Danilovgrad2571828%69.485.1-15.7
12 Ibar Rozaje2461825%74.682.8-8.2
13 Vukovi Zeta2461825%76.285.1-8.9
14 Milenijum81712%75.998.6-22.8
15 Susanj2432112%79.2102.2-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica1117152972
Buducnost27372117102
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