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Mega Basket vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-92
21-19 17-30 31-15 18-28
Position#9
Record16-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#3
Record27-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Buducnost
23 Nov 2025
MEG65
BUD98
16 May 2025
MEG87
BUD92
09 Mar 2025
MEG93
BUD79
28 Jan 2024
MEG72
BUD92
07 May 2023
MEG80
BUD82
08 Apr 2023
MEG76
BUD85
07 Nov 2021
MEG87
BUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 75
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 75
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 75
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 75
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 75
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 75
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 75
A11/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
165.2Avg total
82.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.582.3164.8+0.352%
Season at home (15)82.780.1162.7+2.660%
Season away (16)82.484.3166.8-1.944%
Last 10 (10)82.283.0165.2-0.860%
Last 5 (5)86.087.8173.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.287.2165.4-9.010%
vs Similar (9)78.382.6160.9-4.256%
vs Weaker (10)88.978.8167.7+10.170%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 84
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 84
H16/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 84
A22/03
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 84
A30/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
105-99
105
99
+6
95avg 84
A05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 84
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 84
A19/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
78-69
78
69
+9
71avg 84
H28/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 84
A04/05
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
93avg 84
H11/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
25-23
22-24
20-23
30-14
22-19
6-26
28-10
15-28
25-19
21-19
25-16
30-13
20-20
25-34
21-15
27-27
20-24
25-18
33-30
21-20
22-13
25-24
13-20
26-30
20-19
28-14
25-28
29-23
13-21
18-13
18-12
23-26
25-20
12-18
15-15
29-18
23-16
24-28
20-18
170.2Avg total
88.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.277.4167.6+12.787%
Season at home (16)90.276.8167.1+13.488%
Season away (15)90.178.1168.1+12.087%
Last 10 (10)88.182.1170.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)85.879.2165.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.889.8180.5+1.075%
vs Similar (6)83.385.3168.7-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.780.5174.2+13.295%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
Mega BasketBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
89.4Avg total
42.7Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.286.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.782.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.147.789.8-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.789.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.692.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.845.385.1-5.530%-
vs Similar (9)41.745.987.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (10)46.840.787.5+6.160%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H16/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/03
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A30/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H28/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A04/05
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H11/05
ABA League
87.3Avg total
45.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.840.687.4+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.239.188.2+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.486.4+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.687.3+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.287.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.842.589.2+4.275%-
vs Similar (6)44.844.389.2+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.239.386.5+7.968%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.8
57.7%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
75.6%14.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.3
55.9%
54.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.6
32.6%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.317.4
78.0%
75.6%17.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLWWWWWLLW
Buducnost
WLWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#3
-0.8
Net rating
+8.5
107.7
Offensive rating
116.9
108.5
Defensive rating
108.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
32.6%
67.2%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 116.9Defence108.5 · 108.4Shooting55.8% · 53.4%3-point %35.5% · 32.6%Ball care18.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
9
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HMega Basket96-80
04/05/25ADubai75-79
28/04/25HFMP Beograd78-69
19/04/25AKK Krka Novo mesto99-91
14/04/25HPartizan81-77
05/04/25AStudentski Centar105-99
30/03/25ACibona96-82
22/03/25ASpartak Subotica86-82
16/03/25HBorac Mozzart86-69
09/03/25AMega Basket79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%60%44%
Points / game82.582.782.4
Allowed / game82.380.184.3
Point differential+0.3+2.6-1.9
Avg total164.8162.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%88%87%
Points / game90.290.290.1
Allowed / game77.476.878.1
Point differential+12.7+13.4+12.0
Avg total167.6167.1168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan3127487%90.974.9+16.1
2 Buducnost3127487%90.277.4+12.7
3 Dubai3226681%87.878.2+9.5
4 Crvena zvezda3225778%89.279.1+10.1
5 Cedevita Olimpija32201262%85.180.5+4.7
6 Igokea32191359%87.386.9+0.4
7 Spartak Subotica31171455%85.182.8+2.3
8 Mega Basket31161552%82.582.3+0.3
9 Zadar30141647%76.776.1+0.6
10 FMP Beograd30141647%79.685.0-5.4
11 Studentski Centar30111937%85.088.1-3.0
12 Borac Mozzart30102033%75.482.7-7.4
13 Split3092130%76.982.8-5.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto3052517%81.988.2-6.3
15 Cibona3042613%76.488.9-12.5
16 Mornar Bar302287%74.893.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2117311887
Buducnost1930152892
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