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Buducnost vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-80
29-18 23-16 24-28 20-18
Position#3
Record26-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#9
Record16-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2024
Meetings · Buducnost v Mega Basket
26 Dec 2025
BUD100
MEG82
11 May 2025
BUD96
MEG80
03 Nov 2024
BUD77
MEG69
28 Oct 2023
BUD73
MEG71
28 Apr 2023
BUD94
MEG77
25 Dec 2022
BUD79
MEG66
13 Feb 2022
BUD86
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 84
A05/03
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#9
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 84
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 84
H16/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 84
A22/03
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 84
A30/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
105-99
105
99
+6
95avg 84
A05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 84
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 84
A19/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
78-69
78
69
+9
71avg 84
H28/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 84
A04/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
25-22
17-14
20-31
12-23
25-23
22-24
20-23
30-14
22-19
6-26
28-10
15-28
25-19
21-19
25-16
30-13
20-20
25-34
21-15
27-27
20-24
25-18
33-30
21-20
22-13
25-24
13-20
26-30
20-19
28-14
25-28
29-23
13-21
18-13
18-12
23-26
25-20
12-18
15-15
169.2Avg total
85.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)90.077.3167.3+12.687%
Season at home (15)89.976.6166.5+13.387%
Season away (15)90.178.1168.1+12.087%
Last 10 (10)85.883.4169.2+2.470%
Last 5 (5)87.683.0170.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.089.8181.8+2.280%
vs Similar (6)83.385.3168.7-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.680.5174.1+13.194%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 75
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 75
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 75
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 75
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 75
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 75
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 75
A04/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
165.3Avg total
82.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.681.8164.4+0.853%
Season at home (15)82.780.1162.7+2.660%
Season away (15)82.683.5166.1-0.947%
Last 10 (10)82.982.4165.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)86.083.8169.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.585.6164.1-7.120%
vs Similar (9)78.382.6160.9-4.256%
vs Weaker (10)88.978.8167.7+10.170%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
BuducnostMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A05/03
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H16/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/03
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A30/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A05/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H28/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A04/05
ABA League
87.1Avg total
44.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.087.9+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.039.488.4+9.680%-
Last 30 away (15)44.742.687.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.087.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.689.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.243.291.4+5.080%-
vs Similar (6)44.844.389.2+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.939.686.5+7.467%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
90.4Avg total
44.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.782.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.247.389.5-5.113%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.490.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.294.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.044.684.6-4.630%-
vs Similar (9)41.745.987.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (10)46.840.787.5+6.160%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.6
54.3%
54.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
75.6%16.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
75.6%14.9
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWWWWWWLL
Mega Basket
LWWWWWLLWL
#3
League position
#9
+3.4
Net rating
+0.9
114.4
Offensive rating
108.7
111.0
Defensive rating
107.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.9%
3-point %
35.8%
56.6%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 108.7Defence111.0 · 107.8Shooting52.0% · 56.5%3-point %31.9% · 35.8%Ball care13.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds33.7% · 23.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Buducnost wins
2
Mega Basket wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ADubai75-79
28/04/25HFMP Beograd78-69
19/04/25AKK Krka Novo mesto99-91
14/04/25HPartizan81-77
05/04/25AStudentski Centar105-99
30/03/25ACibona96-82
22/03/25ASpartak Subotica86-82
16/03/25HBorac Mozzart86-69
09/03/25AMega Basket79-93
05/03/25ATurk Telekom73-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWWWL87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %87%87%87%
Points / game90.089.990.1
Allowed / game77.376.678.1
Point differential+12.6+13.3+12.0
Avg total167.3166.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game82.682.782.6
Allowed / game81.880.183.5
Point differential+0.8+2.6-0.9
Avg total164.4162.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan3127487%90.974.9+16.1
2 Buducnost3026487%90.077.3+12.6
3 Dubai3126584%87.777.7+10.0
4 Crvena zvezda3124777%89.078.8+10.2
5 Cedevita Olimpija31191261%84.880.2+4.6
6 Igokea31191261%87.386.6+0.6
7 Spartak Subotica31171455%85.182.8+2.3
8 Mega Basket30161453%82.681.8+0.8
9 Zadar30141647%76.776.1+0.6
10 FMP Beograd30141647%79.685.0-5.4
11 Studentski Centar30111937%85.088.1-3.0
12 Borac Mozzart30102033%75.482.7-7.4
13 Split3092130%76.982.8-5.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto3052517%81.988.2-6.3
15 Cibona3042613%76.488.9-12.5
16 Mornar Bar302287%74.893.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost2923242096
Mega Basket1816281880
← all games of the day
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