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Podgorica vs Danilovgrad Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game78.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 22· Bemax Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Podgorica v Danilovgrad
17 Apr 2027
PODG v DANI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
PODG91
DANI72
08 Feb 2025
PODG115
DANI69
08 Feb 2024
PODG102
DANI84
11 Feb 2023
PODG107
DANI75
13 Jan 2022
PODG99
DANI77
12 Mar 2021
PODG84
DANI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Danilovgrad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
no box
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 54
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
127-47
127
47
+80
no box
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
L
96-112
96
112
-16
no box
H03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-13
15-16
20-16
27-20
24-14
21-15
20-24
18-20
32-23
18-14
22-27
18-18
20-23
23-20
23-24
21-15
27-17
14-22
24-24
26-23
18-26
29-29
29-24
21-18
16-19
15-14
12-25
33-13
32-13
32-15
30-6
20-15
23-32
20-31
26-21
25-20
27-30
21-31
23-31
176.3Avg total
91.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)108.073.0181.0+35.050%
Season at home (1)127.047.0174.0+80.0100%
Season away (1)89.099.0188.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)91.984.4176.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)97.090.2187.2+6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.185.6161.8-9.512%
vs Similar (9)80.380.3160.7+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.475.5163.9+12.877%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
63-91
63
91
-28
no box
A14/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
23-16
19-20
15-14
17-18
19-21
23-19
21-26
20-25
21-28
17-13
20-24
25-24
20-20
20-24
16-7
16-14
11-21
31-13
17-16
21-22
19-18
14-19
4-26
23-21
15-16
22-21
19-21
20-13
19-21
22-18
16-17
22-16
23-20
15-24
12-27
13-20
152.8Avg total
74.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.778.0150.7-5.367%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)69.581.0150.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)74.977.9152.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)71.678.0149.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.387.1164.4-9.831%
vs Similar (10)81.083.7164.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)74.273.2147.5+1.075%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
PodgoricaDanilovgrad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/11
ABA League 2
87.5Avg total
47.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.7+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.374.7+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.540.087.5+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.890.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.640.578.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)40.937.978.8+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.835.879.6+7.969%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/11
Prva A Liga
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.082.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.180.4+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.683.9-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.743.181.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (10)42.740.883.5+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)40.840.581.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.4
32.0%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
69.7%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.0
53.7%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.68.8
27.0%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
69.7%17.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
LLWLLWLWWW
Danilovgrad
LWWLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#6
+0.0
Net rating
-3.9
103.7
Offensive rating
106.3
103.7
Defensive rating
110.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
5.2%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.0%
3-point %
27.0%
58.2%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 106.3Defence103.7 · 110.1Shooting50.8% · 47.2%3-point %32.0% · 27.0%Ball care5.2% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Podgorica   ■ Danilovgrad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Podgorica wins
1
Danilovgrad wins
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HSloboda96-112
01/11/26APrimorje89-99
25/10/26HLim Berane127-47
22/10/26AHercegovac64-76
04/04/26AMornar Bar109-117 OT
26/03/26HJedinstvo86-78
21/03/26ADecic84-85
15/03/26HPrimorje90-84
11/03/26HStudentski Centar92-73
07/03/26HTivat82-73
Danilovgradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVukovi Zeta63-91
09/11/26HJedinstvo79-72
25/10/26ADecic76-71
04/04/26HKotor60-84
29/03/26ATivat80-72
21/03/26HLovcen Cetinje72-65
15/03/26AVukovi Zeta83-89
11/03/26HMornar Bar83-91
07/03/26AIbar Rozaje74-68
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game108.0127.089.0
Allowed / game73.047.099.0
Point differential+35.0+80.0-10.0
Avg total181.0174.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.779.069.5
Allowed / game78.072.081.0
Point differential-5.3+7.0-11.5
Avg total150.7151.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
11 Lovcen Cetinje3030%78.791.7-13.0
12 Decic3030%67.085.3-18.3
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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