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Polzela vs Sencur Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game79.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 12· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polzela v Sencur
19 Dec 2026
POLZ v SENC
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
POLZ81
SENC85
06 Feb 2024
POLZ80
SENC60
29 Nov 2022
POLZ82
SENC77
16 Oct 2021
POLZ77
SENC84
10 Oct 2020
POLZ84
SENC79
08 Feb 2020
POLZ71
SENC66
08 Dec 2018
POLZ99
SENC76
14 Oct 2017
POLZ73
SENC80
23 Dec 2016
POLZ72
SENC65
16 Mar 2016
POLZ82
SENC76
02 Mar 2016
POLZ84
SENC81
11 Apr 2015
POLZ68
SENC79
31 Jan 2015
POLZ78
SENC75
27 Mar 2010
POLZ93
SENC65
27 Feb 2010
POLZ94
SENC61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 78
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 78
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 78
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 78
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 78
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 78
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 78
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
25-10
13-24
21-17
15-16
39-17
24-24
17-18
18-23
21-18
15-22
23-30
20-23
30-17
25-17
23-20
15-11
156.6Avg total
80.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.872.2156.0+11.575%
Season at home (3)80.069.7149.7+10.367%
Season away (5)86.073.8159.8+12.280%
Last 10 (10)80.875.8156.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.674.8160.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.890.6169.4-11.815%
vs Similar (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.773.2160.9+14.582%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 79
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 79
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 79
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 79
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 79
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 79
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 79
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
18-12
22-18
18-10
18-30
18-29
21-20
22-28
17-21
19-21
25-20
21-13
16-17
23-21
19-17
16-8
15-14
20-27
25-14
17-27
25-31
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.979.6165.4+6.371%
Season at home (3)85.380.0165.3+5.367%
Season away (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.990.1165.0-15.212%
vs Similar (4)86.596.5183.0-10.025%
vs Weaker (18)85.573.4158.9+12.194%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
PolzelaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
81.8Avg total
43.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.286.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.681.5+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.346.290.5-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.381.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.544.685.2-4.138%-
vs Similar (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.940.188.0+7.864%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.783.9+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.383.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.845.285.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (4)42.245.287.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (18)43.938.282.1+5.867%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.6
49.1%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
70.0%16.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
WLWWWLWWLL
Sencur
LWWLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#4
+5.5
Net rating
+2.4
93.9
Offensive rating
95.3
88.4
Defensive rating
92.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.5%
3-point %
33.5%
57.3%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 95.3Defence88.4 · 92.9Shooting52.5% · 53.0%3-point %38.5% · 33.5%Ball care14.3% · 17.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Polzela   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Polzela wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
09/10/26Sencur v Polzela96-81
18/04/26Sencur v Polzela103-98
06/12/25Polzela v Sencur81-85
27/09/25Sencur v Polzela97-65
17/04/24Sencur v Polzela82-94
06/02/24Polzela v Sencur80-60
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AZlatorog Lasko93-65
03/11/26HKK Krka Novo mesto79-93
31/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj98-82
24/10/26HGorica74-67
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija87-99
07/11/26HZlatorog Lasko73-60
30/10/26HMornar Bar81-71
27/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto78-98
17/10/26AGorica76-70
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game83.880.086.0
Allowed / game72.269.773.8
Point differential+11.5+10.3+12.2
Avg total156.0149.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%33%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game85.985.386.2
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential+6.3+5.3+7.0
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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