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Sencur vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-95 (OT)
25-19 15-23 29-20 19-26 6-7
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
Position#11
Record2-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v Polzela
09 Oct 2026
SENC96
POLZ81
18 Apr 2026
SENC103
POLZ98
27 Sep 2025
SENC97
POLZ65
17 Apr 2024
SENC82
POLZ94
27 Nov 2023
SENC94
POLZ95
03 Mar 2023
SENC83
POLZ68
05 Feb 2023
SENC76
POLZ63
28 Dec 2021
SENC100
POLZ82
19 Dec 2020
SENC97
POLZ65
30 Nov 2019
SENC92
POLZ90
09 Feb 2019
SENC80
POLZ85
23 Dec 2017
SENC81
POLZ76
08 Oct 2016
SENC80
POLZ91
13 Apr 2016
SENC63
POLZ58
12 Dec 2015
SENC20
POLZ0
29 Apr 2015
SENC105
POLZ90
08 Nov 2014
SENC79
POLZ72
14 Apr 2010
SENC96
POLZ119
28 Nov 2009
SENC79
POLZ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 63
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
72-108
72
108
-36
50avg 63
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 63
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 63
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 63
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 63
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 63
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
36avg 63
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
59avg 63
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
48avg 63
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-12
18-21
17-19
17-28
18-27
18-25
19-28
22-22
22-21
20-17
20-18
14-25
12-20
22-11
19-28
18-15
22-24
25-15
17-17
25-11
16-19
17-21
24-19
24-18
13-24
14-26
23-21
15-19
20-14
11-10
10-22
22-19
23-22
19-7
7-20
19-16
12-23
14-21
16-23
151.2Avg total
72.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.979.8155.6-3.950%
Season at home (3)87.072.0159.0+15.0100%
Season away (5)69.284.4153.6-15.220%
Last 10 (10)72.578.7151.2-6.250%
Last 5 (5)68.875.0143.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.173.6143.7-3.444%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.282.5160.8-4.242%
vs Weaker (9)81.972.4154.3+9.489%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
83-109
83
109
-26
72avg 73
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
73avg 73
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
99-72
99
72
+27
no box
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
61avg 73
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
78avg 73
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 73
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 73
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 73
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
15-34
22-28
17-25
19-20
14-26
21-17
19-15
30-23
20-21
22-19
27-9
16-20
18-23
16-20
18-8
24-29
21-24
20-24
18-19
28-24
28-24
11-23
15-17
18-26
17-23
20-25
24-22
13-24
31-20
19-19
26-15
20-18
10-20
24-20
21-15
25-27
22-27
31-14
24-23
168.5Avg total
83.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.286.6165.9-7.425%
Season at home (5)75.882.0157.8-6.220%
Season away (3)85.094.3179.3-9.333%
Last 10 (10)83.385.2168.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.485.2170.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.991.7169.6-13.820%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.678.9155.4-2.329%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.1+4.1
SencurPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
77.3Avg total
37.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.778.3-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.578.5+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.441.878.2-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.877.3-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.074.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.439.677.0-2.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.342.179.4-4.842%-
vs Weaker (9)41.736.678.2+5.167%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
89.3Avg total
41.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.445.085.4-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.643.683.2-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)41.246.387.5-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.847.589.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.689.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.345.485.7-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.142.181.3-3.029%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.8
27.0%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.28.7
61.3%
74.0%8.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.2
50.5%
52.9%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.2
32.5%
33.0%18.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.6%
74.0%13.9
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWLLWWLWLW
Polzela
WWWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#11
-9.4
Net rating
-8.8
98.8
Offensive rating
101.6
108.2
Defensive rating
110.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
21.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.0%
3-point %
32.5%
51.6%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 101.6Defence108.2 · 110.5Shooting47.0% · 49.9%3-point %27.0% · 32.5%Ball care16.3% · 21.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 29.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
16/10/21Polzela v Sencur77-84
19/12/20Sencur v Polzela97-65
10/10/20Polzela v Sencur84-79
08/02/20Polzela v Sencur71-66
30/11/19Sencur v Polzela92-90
09/02/19Sencur v Polzela80-85
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto61-83
17/11/23HPodgorica71-68
15/11/23ABorac Banja Luka56-65
13/11/23HSutjeska74-89
10/11/23HHelios Domzale82-70
04/11/23ATajfun Sentjur82-71
28/10/23ARogaska67-84
20/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-78
16/10/23ALTH Castings72-108
13/10/23AHelios Domzale76-71
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23ATajfun Sentjur102-91
18/11/23HRogaska75-73
13/11/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-78
07/11/23HTajfun Sentjur79-96
04/11/23HLTH Castings82-88
27/10/23APerspektiva Ilirija83-96
23/10/23HKK Triglav Kranj68-71
18/10/23AVrani Vransko99-72
13/10/23HTajfun Sentjur73-78
04/10/23AKK Krka Novo mesto83-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%100%20%
Points / game75.987.069.2
Allowed / game79.872.084.4
Point differential-3.9+15.0-15.2
Avg total155.6159.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game79.275.885.0
Allowed / game86.682.094.3
Point differential-7.4-6.2-9.3
Avg total165.9157.8179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto98189%91.375.8+15.6
2 Helios Domzale86275%81.277.2+4.0
3 LTH Castings95456%89.887.0+2.8
4 Perspektiva Ilirija95456%75.376.3-1.0
5 Tajfun Sentjur95456%77.879.9-2.1
6 Rogaska84450%71.169.9+1.2
7 Sencur84450%75.979.8-3.9
8 Polzela82625%79.286.6-7.4
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek92722%81.886.1-4.3
10 KK Triglav Kranj92722%71.877.3-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sencur25152919694
Polzela19232026795
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