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Portland vs San Francisco Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#268
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Portland v San Francisco
16 Jan 2027
PORT v SAN
upcoming
27 Jan 2024
PORT64
SAN 76
12 Jan 2023
PORT92
SAN 87
05 Feb 2022
PORT71
SAN 74
14 Jan 2021
PORT63
SAN 79
04 Jan 2020
PORT76
SAN 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
L
48-89
48
89
-41
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A08/03
NCAA
Willamette
#468
W
133-89
133
89
+44
H03/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
L
56-130
56
130
-74
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#102
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A10/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#140
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-36
27-53
32-36
55-38
44-38
33-30
25-29
49-39
29-29
36-53
72-30
61-59
43-46
42-43
30-60
26-70
40-36
33-30
36-31
33-38
163.5Avg total
78.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.093.6180.6-6.640%
Season at home (4)90.5100.5191.0-10.025%
Season away (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.684.9163.5-6.350%
Last 5 (5)87.093.6180.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.577.6148.2-7.135%
vs Similar (10)73.378.4151.7-5.140%
vs Weaker (1)56.0130.0186.0-74.00%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-38
29-41
30-39
38-44
35-50
42-35
30-26
29-29
53-36
32-30
45-48
37-30
39-32
45-31
34-39
26-28
37-30
28-47
40-37
147.2Avg total
74.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season at home (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.1147.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.679.8146.3-13.211%
vs Similar (7)76.175.9152.0+0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.169.1145.2+6.971%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.4+2.4
PortlandSan Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Willamette
#468
W
72-30
72
30
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#102
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#140
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/11
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.671.5-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)29.634.964.4-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.174.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.534.266.7-1.647%-
vs Similar (10)34.138.172.2-4.030%-
vs Weaker (1)30.060.090.0-30.00%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#207
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.067.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.935.669.5-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)32.131.863.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.338.167.4-8.80%-
vs Similar (7)36.735.372.0+1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)33.830.664.4+3.171%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portland wins
8
San Francisco wins
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEast Texas A&M88-94 OT
10/11/26AHawaii73-66
09/11/26HBethesda56-130
07/11/26HUT Arlington85-89
03/11/26HWillamette133-89
08/03/26ASan Francisco65-82
07/03/26AWashington State74-68
06/03/26HPepperdine77-68
28/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-74
26/02/26AGonzaga48-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPortland State68-84
11/11/26HMontana63-58
07/11/26HNorth Dakota St79-70
03/11/26HRadford76-62
09/03/26AOregon State77-78
08/03/26HPortland82-65
28/02/26APacific72-61
22/02/26HSanta Clara73-94
19/02/26HGonzaga59-80
15/02/26ASan Diego Toreros92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game87.090.573.0
Allowed / game93.6100.566.0
Point differential-6.6-10.0+7.0
Avg total180.6191.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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