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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 95-61
27-8 26-21 24-20 18-12
Position#5
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#10
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game88.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 77
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 77
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 77
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 77
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 77
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 77
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 77
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 77
H26/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
23-15
22-12
8-20
20-16
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
16-26
21-17
16-21
20-19
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
21-22
24-23
22-17
20-22
24-14
21-17
18-19
12-28
153.8Avg total
75.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.080.7157.7-3.642%
Season at home (12)75.883.5159.2-7.825%
Season away (12)78.377.8156.2+0.558%
Last 10 (10)75.178.7153.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)78.280.4158.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.387.5157.8-17.20%
vs Similar (11)78.280.0158.2-1.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.877.4162.2+7.477%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 70
H02/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 70
A10/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
102-93
102
93
+9
95avg 70
A30/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
95-100
95
100
-5
80avg 70
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 70
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-94
77
94
-17
63avg 70
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
85-109
85
109
-24
68avg 70
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 70
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 70
H19/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A28/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
15-17
17-17
13-16
21-24
18-32
24-19
25-12
35-21
26-23
23-21
18-28
21-21
24-17
19-27
31-35
22-26
17-25
17-23
17-34
14-21
25-29
27-31
11-13
28-17
21-28
21-30
15-34
12-26
24-21
17-18
13-14
18-18
18-33
29-18
20-23
19-32
24-17
15-22
18-22
174.8Avg total
81.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.888.1166.9-9.322%
Season at home (12)78.986.2165.2-7.317%
Season away (11)78.790.1168.8-11.427%
Last 10 (10)81.693.2174.8-11.620%
Last 5 (5)77.893.4171.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.489.3165.7-12.95%
vs Similar (10)81.483.1164.5-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/03
LKL
79.1Avg total
40.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.380.2+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.678.7+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.081.6+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.779.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.843.580.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (11)41.040.681.6+0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.636.278.8+6.469%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H02/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A10/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A30/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A28/03
LKL
90.1Avg total
42.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.784.5-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.642.082.6-1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.047.386.3-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.590.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.489.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.944.583.4-5.635%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.986.5-3.340%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.5
60.7%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
33.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
73.1%12.5
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.3
56.2%
53.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.2
28.9%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
73.1%11.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLLWWWLLL
Nevezis
LLLLLLLWWL
#5
League position
#10
-5.5
Net rating
-15.2
104.4
Offensive rating
105.2
109.9
Defensive rating
120.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
25.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
28.9%
62.2%
Assist %
48.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.2Defence109.9 · 120.4Shooting56.1% · 50.8%3-point %32.6% · 28.9%Ball care25.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
10/11/18Nevezis v Neptunas69-83
23/09/18Neptunas v Nevezis100-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/22HJonava75-78
21/03/22ASiauliai87-84
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
05/03/22HLietkabelis73-83
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
07/02/22APrienai73-63
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/22AAlytaus Dzukija76-93
19/03/22HPieno Zvaigzdes85-92
12/03/22HSiauliai66-79
05/03/22HRytas85-109
15/02/22AJuventus77-94
13/02/22ARytas73-108
05/02/22HJonava95-100
30/01/22APrienai102-93
10/01/22APieno Zvaigzdes88-87
02/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%25%58%
Points / game77.075.878.3
Allowed / game80.783.577.8
Point differential-3.6-7.8+0.5
Avg total157.7159.2156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%17%27%
Points / game78.878.978.7
Allowed / game88.186.290.1
Point differential-9.3-7.3-11.4
Avg total166.9165.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%87.174.6+12.5
2 Rytas2421388%90.174.5+15.5
3 Lietkabelis2520580%83.873.7+10.0
4 Siauliai23121152%81.180.7+0.4
5 Juventus24121250%84.683.2+1.4
6 Jonava26131350%77.581.2-3.7
7 Neptunas24101442%77.080.7-3.6
8 Alytaus Dzukija24101442%76.780.7-4.0
9 Nevezis2351822%78.888.1-9.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2451921%79.787.9-8.2
11 Prienai2532212%76.687.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2726241895
Nevezis821201261
← all games of the day
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