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Neptunas vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-82
26-18 20-18 20-25 22-21
Position#5
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#11
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game89.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Prienai
21 Dec 2022
NEP80
PRI75
03 Nov 2022
NEP110
PRI89
03 Feb 2022
NEP88
PRI82
14 Oct 2021
NEP76
PRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 76
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
89-64
89
64
+25
95avg 76
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
99avg 76
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 76
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 76
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 76
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 76
H30/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
26-23
24-24
22-28
27-18
20-16
20-19
22-11
22-23
28-18
13-21
25-21
24-19
23-21
19-12
13-15
17-15
22-15
21-22
9-21
23-24
16-24
19-14
22-18
20-23
19-18
13-23
18-21
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
154.7Avg total
76.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.381.7158.0-5.435%
Season at home (9)74.884.3159.1-9.622%
Season away (8)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)76.877.9154.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)69.881.0150.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.188.3162.4-14.210%
vs Similar (9)80.482.0162.4-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.578.3163.8+7.373%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
56-90
56
90
-34
no box
H18/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
44avg 67
A20/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
78avg 67
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 67
H18/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 67
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 67
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
77-106
77
106
-29
60avg 67
A09/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
62avg 67
H13/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 67
A22/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 67
H30/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
13-28
16-21
9-21
12-23
21-25
18-16
26-29
21-20
16-20
16-20
25-21
22-27
23-17
15-19
20-11
14-11
14-25
25-28
15-17
19-18
22-23
17-25
22-20
10-18
21-26
26-35
20-27
19-20
17-27
20-14
15-27
17-24
16-20
14-23
22-20
21-35
23-26
21-23
28-18
163.7Avg total
74.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.389.3164.7-14.06%
Season at home (10)75.288.3163.5-13.110%
Season away (8)75.590.6166.1-15.10%
Last 10 (10)74.988.8163.7-13.910%
Last 5 (5)78.093.8171.8-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.087.6161.6-13.611%
vs Similar (8)80.290.2170.5-10.012%
vs Weaker (4)91.871.5163.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
NeptunasPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
79.9Avg total
40.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.679.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.478.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.840.981.7-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.279.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.477.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.642.682.2-3.030%-
vs Similar (9)38.939.378.2-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.137.179.2+5.064%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H18/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H18/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H30/01
LKL
81.2Avg total
35.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.480.4-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.142.779.8-5.631%-
Last 30 away (14)37.044.181.1-7.114%-
Last 10 (10)35.945.381.2-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.047.484.4-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.743.478.1-8.86%-
vs Similar (8)40.546.987.4-6.438%-
vs Weaker (4)40.836.076.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.7
58.7%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.45.6
30.4%
33.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws16.610.8
65.1%
73.1%10.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.3
30.0%
33.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
73.1%13.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLLLWWWW
Prienai
LLLLLLWLLL
#5
League position
#11
-1.7
Net rating
-16.4
106.6
Offensive rating
99.2
108.3
Defensive rating
115.6
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
21.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.4%
3-point %
30.0%
61.7%
Assist %
53.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 99.2Defence108.3 · 115.6Shooting54.7% · 49.8%3-point %30.4% · 30.0%Ball care21.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds35.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Neptunas   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
1
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
19/01/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-85
15/01/22ALietkabelis80-80
05/01/22HLietkabelis69-73
28/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija79-67
20/12/21ANevezis88-83
16/12/21AJonava89-64
12/12/21HNevezis94-87
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HNevezis93-102
22/01/22ALietkabelis69-87
13/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-88
09/01/22ARytas77-106
04/01/22ASiauliai80-86
29/12/21HJonava68-81
18/12/21HJuventus80-74
12/12/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-81
20/11/21AJonava77-93
18/11/21HSiauliai56-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%22%50%
Points / game76.374.878.0
Allowed / game81.784.378.8
Point differential-5.4-9.6-0.8
Avg total158.0159.1156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %6%10%0%
Points / game75.375.275.5
Allowed / game89.388.390.6
Point differential-14.0-13.1-15.1
Avg total164.7163.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1918195%86.874.6+12.2
2 Rytas1815383%86.974.0+12.9
3 Lietkabelis1813572%82.273.8+8.4
4 Siauliai1710759%82.782.6+0.1
5 Juventus179853%83.281.9+1.2
6 Jonava178947%77.178.8-1.8
7 Alytaus Dzukija1881044%77.480.4-3.0
8 Neptunas1761135%76.381.7-5.4
9 Nevezis1651131%78.584.4-5.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1731418%78.585.3-6.8
11 Prienai181176%75.389.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2620202288
Prienai1818252182
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