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Purdue vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-88
43-39 39-49
Position#31
Record17-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#35
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Purdue v Illinois
24 Jan 2026
PURD82
ILLI88
05 Jan 2024
PURD83
ILLI78
05 Mar 2023
PURD76
ILLI71
08 Feb 2022
PURD84
ILLI68
21 Jan 2020
PURD62
ILLI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H14/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A17/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
50-25
37-21
42-38
46-32
42-28
51-27
50-33
45-38
44-35
45-28
36-45
45-44
48-41
31-34
48-38
38-32
31-32
32-32
35-37
150.3Avg total
83.1Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.168.1152.2+16.089%
Season at home (14)86.167.4153.4+18.793%
Season away (5)78.670.2148.8+8.480%
Last 10 (10)83.167.2150.3+15.990%
Last 5 (5)77.872.6150.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.267.0134.2+0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.377.3157.7+3.056%
vs Weaker (17)83.867.1150.9+16.788%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
43-16
38-39
35-24
40-45
38-33
41-35
34-34
43-33
47-30
42-40
148.3Avg total
82.3Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.367.6152.9+17.784%
Season at home (14)87.967.1155.1+20.879%
Season away (5)78.068.8146.8+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)82.366.0148.3+16.390%
Last 5 (5)80.265.8146.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.379.9158.2-1.644%
vs Weaker (19)87.767.5155.2+20.395%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +4.6+4.6
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: +4.6+4.6
PurdueIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A17/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A21/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
40.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.932.372.2+7.677%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.031.672.7+9.480%-
Last 30 away (10)37.533.771.2+3.870%-
Last 10 (10)40.532.072.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.072.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.227.862.0+6.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.836.075.8+3.867%-
vs Weaker (17)41.231.472.6+9.882%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
40.9Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.874.7+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.832.675.4+10.176%-
Last 30 away (9)36.436.773.1-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.929.270.1+11.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.427.466.8+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.137.073.1-0.944%-
vs Weaker (19)43.830.173.9+13.889%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Purdue wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Illinois v Purdue88-80
06/03/24Illinois v Purdue71-77
06/01/24Purdue v Illinois83-78
05/03/23Purdue v Illinois76-71
09/02/22Purdue v Illinois84-68
17/01/22Illinois v Purdue88-96 OT
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AUCLA67-69
17/01/26AUSC69-64
14/01/26HIowa79-72
10/01/26HPenn State93-85
08/01/26HWashington81-73
04/01/26AWisconsin89-73
30/12/25HKent State101-60
20/12/25HAuburn88-60
13/12/25HMarquette79-59
11/12/25HMinnesota85-57
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HMaryland89-70
17/01/26HMinnesota77-67
15/01/26ANorthwestern79-68
11/01/26AIowa75-69
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %89%93%80%
Points / game84.186.178.6
Allowed / game68.167.470.2
Point differential+16.0+18.7+8.4
Avg total152.2153.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %84%79%100%
Points / game85.387.978.0
Allowed / game67.667.168.8
Point differential+17.7+20.8+9.2
Avg total152.9155.1146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska20200100%80.965.0+15.9
2 Michigan1918195%91.768.6+23.1
3 Michigan State2018290%79.162.8+16.4
4 Purdue1917289%84.168.1+16.0
5 Illinois1916384%85.367.6+17.7
6 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
7 Wisconsin1914574%84.375.4+8.8
8 USC1914574%82.675.7+6.9
9 Ohio State1913668%82.172.3+9.8
10 UCLA1913668%77.769.4+8.3
11 Indiana2013765%81.269.4+11.8
12 Washington1910953%79.474.1+5.3
13 Minnesota20101050%72.068.5+3.5
14 Northwestern1991047%77.271.7+5.4
15 Penn State1991047%76.577.4-0.9
16 Rutgers2091145%69.774.5-4.8
17 Oregon1981142%73.974.3-0.3
18 Maryland2081240%73.079.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue433982
Illinois394988
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