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Purdue vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-67
49-25 50-42
Position#8
Record17-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game69.4
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Position#347
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Purdue v Michigan
17 Feb 2026
PURD80
MICH91
24 Jan 2025
PURD91
MICH64
23 Jan 2024
PURD99
MICH67
05 Feb 2022
PURD82
MICH76
22 Jan 2021
PURD53
MICH70
22 Feb 2020
PURD63
MICH71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A10/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H13/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-49
45-37
49-38
43-46
45-27
55-30
43-24
37-29
32-19
35-34
47-32
36-46
30-41
42-47
56-36
39-42
51-29
36-37
47-34
37-36
156.5Avg total
85.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.169.4154.4+15.789%
Season at home (12)88.967.6156.5+21.3100%
Season away (7)78.472.4150.9+6.071%
Last 10 (10)85.271.3156.5+13.990%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.567.7145.2+9.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.368.5148.9+11.880%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
36-41
35-33
55-47
49-32
34-34
37-38
44-43
37-40
39-47
37-33
34-40
37-27
36-52
33-21
24-43
37-28
36-37
36-37
37-51
155.8Avg total
77.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.377.6156.9+1.739%
Season at home (12)81.678.5160.1+3.142%
Season away (6)74.875.8150.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)77.278.6155.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)69.473.8143.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.178.3157.4+0.835%
vs Similar (11)71.368.3139.5+3.045%
vs Weaker (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -6.0-6.0
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -6.0-6.0
PurdueMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-19
32
19
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H13/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/01
NCAA
77.6Avg total
44.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.230.070.2+10.183%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.729.871.5+11.985%-
Last 30 away (10)37.130.567.6+6.680%-
Last 10 (10)44.732.977.6+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.234.480.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.129.568.6+9.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.730.371.0+10.485%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H16/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H20/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
37.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.370.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.334.874.1+4.468%-
Last 30 away (11)32.330.662.9+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)37.732.670.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.029.265.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.034.672.6+3.465%-
vs Similar (11)33.530.463.9+3.273%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Purdue wins
4
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
22/02/20Purdue v Michigan63-71
10/01/20Michigan v Purdue84-78 OT
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AIowa84-70
17/01/24AIndiana87-66
13/01/24HPenn State95-78
10/01/24ANebraska72-88
06/01/24HIllinois83-78
03/01/24AMaryland67-53
30/12/23HEastern Kentucky80-53
21/12/23HJacksonville Dolphins100-57
16/12/23HArizona92-84
09/12/23HAlabama92-86
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HIllinois73-88
15/01/24HOhio State73-65
12/01/24AMaryland57-64
07/01/24APenn State73-79
05/01/24HMinnesota71-73
30/12/23HMcNeese State76-87
20/12/23HFlorida101-106 OT
16/12/23HEastern Michigan83-66
10/12/23AIowa90-80
06/12/23HIndiana75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %89%100%71%
Points / game85.188.978.4
Allowed / game69.467.672.4
Point differential+15.7+21.3+6.0
Avg total154.4156.5150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %39%42%33%
Points / game79.381.674.8
Allowed / game77.678.575.8
Point differential+1.7+3.1-1.0
Avg total156.9160.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1917289%85.169.4+15.7
2 Wisconsin1915479%75.766.9+8.8
3 Illinois1814478%82.367.5+14.8
4 Nebraska2015575%78.570.0+8.6
5 Oregon1813572%78.272.8+5.4
6 Northwestern1813572%72.767.4+5.3
7 Ohio State1913668%76.167.4+8.6
8 Michigan State1912763%76.265.2+11.0
9 Minnesota1912763%76.268.0+8.2
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Iowa1811761%86.177.9+8.2
12 Maryland1911858%70.263.8+6.4
13 Washington1911858%80.375.8+4.5
14 Rutgers1810856%68.366.5+1.8
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 UCLA1981142%65.264.6+0.6
17 USC1981142%75.775.2+0.5
18 Michigan1871139%79.377.6+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue495099
Michigan254267
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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