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Qatar vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-103
19-29 24-24 24-29 25-21
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Qatar
vs
Japan 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Lusail Sports Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Qatar v Japan
29 Nov 2026
QATA v JAPA
upcoming
30 Jul 2025
QATA92
JAPA103
24 Feb 2019
QATA48
JAPA96
21 Sep 2012
QATA66
JAPA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 75
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
67avg 75
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 75
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 75
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
21-23
7-18
22-21
13-22
16-21
18-24
17-9
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
143.3Avg total
70.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.472.9143.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.585.6144.1-27.16%
vs Similar (7)65.969.6135.4-3.743%
vs Weaker (7)76.165.3141.4+10.986%
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
98avg 78
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
82avg 78
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
58-100
58
100
-42
41avg 78
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
93avg 78
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
22-22
25-14
20-15
26-24
20-15
28-16
20-22
15-25
12-19
21-31
12-19
13-31
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
153.0Avg total
75.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.477.6153.0-2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.087.4155.4-19.429%
vs Similar (6)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Weaker (17)87.966.4154.3+21.694%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
QatarJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
72.1Avg total
34.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.470.7-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.636.768.3-5.123%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.072.5-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.972.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.268.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.741.572.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (7)39.329.368.6+10.0100%-
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.379.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.277.8+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.781.4-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.746.177.9-14.414%-
vs Similar (6)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (17)46.034.380.3+11.776%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.6
49.8%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
34.4%17.4
🏀 Free throws26.818.2
67.9%
74.1%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.813.0
50.3%
55.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.712.5
32.3%
34.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
78.1%
74.1%14.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 60% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 30 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WWWWLLLWLL
Japan
WLWWWWLLLW
+14.2
Net rating
+2.9
103.0
Offensive rating
103.6
88.8
Defensive rating
100.7
47.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.2%
3-point %
32.3%
57.6%
Assist %
79.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.6Defence88.8 · 100.7Shooting47.3% · 49.2%3-point %28.2% · 32.3%Ball care17.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.43 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Qatar   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Qatar wins
7
Japan wins
DateGameScore
26/09/23Japan v Qatar95-63
24/02/19Qatar v Japan48-96
30/11/18Japan v Qatar85-47
16/08/18Japan v Qatar82-71
01/10/15Japan v Qatar81-67
25/09/14Japan v Qatar71-72
01/08/13Japan v Qatar74-75
21/09/12Qatar v Japan66-73
14/09/12Japan v Qatar73-69
21/11/10Japan v Qatar87-88
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
28/09/23HSouth Korea64-76
26/09/23AJapan63-95
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AMongolia89-79
20/02/25AChina58-100
24/11/24AGuam83-78
21/11/24HMongolia93-75
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Japan
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar1924242592
Japan29242921103
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