Quilmes vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 87-72

15-21 31-14 19-17 22-20

Position#17

Record12-21

FormWLLWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game90.6

Quilmes 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record13-17

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game83.0

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Quilmes v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

75-70

A08/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

96-107

107

-11

A11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

100-98

100

H16/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

84-79

H22/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

82-86

-4

H25/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

94-79

+15

H28/03

Liga A

Quimsa

60-86

-26

A02/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

115-116 OT

115

116

-1

A04/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

92-87

H07/04

Liga A

Atenas

116-117 OT

116

117

-1

H10/04

Liga A

20-23

15-22

24-10

16-15

17-22

24-22

25-33

30-30

29-21

16-17

28-25

27-35

18-23

25-18

18-15

23-23

22-15

8-20

27-22

25-29

26-20

27-19

22-13

19-27

18-20

17-16

13-32

12-18

16-24

17-22

20-27

35-15

26-19

18-22

25-24

23-22

24-18

18-16

25-29

32-36

183.9Avg total

91.4Scored

92.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	88.0	90.6	178.6	-2.7	36%
Season at home (17)	91.8	88.5	180.2	+3.3	53%
Season away (16)	83.9	92.9	176.9	-9.0	19%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	92.5	183.9	-1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.4	97.0	192.4	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	87.7	96.0	183.7	-8.3	25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	87.6	87.7	175.3	-0.1	39%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

100-95

100

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

77-71

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

79-82

-3

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

81-80

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

96-84

+12

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

87-82

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

84-74

+10

H11/04

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

77-79

-2

H12/04

Liga A

Penarol

#18

79-85

-6

A15/04

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

65-78

-13

A15/04

ACB

28-18

21-25

26-25

25-27

20-19

18-14

17-19

22-19

19-21

21-21

17-18

22-22

14-20

14-21

18-22

35-17

28-21

26-20

25-26

17-17

14-20

16-27

27-22

30-13

34-16

17-17

11-18

22-23

23-22

21-26

15-19

18-12

17-28

21-15

25-19

16-23

19-20

7-27

17-19

22-12

163.5Avg total

82.5Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	82.2	83.0	165.2	-0.8	43%
Season at home (14)	87.2	82.2	169.4	+5.0	71%
Season away (16)	77.8	83.7	161.4	-5.9	19%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	81.0	163.5	+1.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	79.6	158.0	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.0	83.2	158.2	-8.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	78.9	81.3	160.2	-2.4	35%
vs Weaker (4)	92.2	79.2	171.5	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.7	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.6	19.6	44.2	+5.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	22.3	20.7	42.9	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.4	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	29.5	18.8	48.2	+10.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	19.2	39.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.4	19.6	36.9	-2.2	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.0	20.1	37.1	-3.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	50%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#14

35-45

-10

A08/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

41-44

-3

A11/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

45-38

H16/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

43-41

H22/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

30-35

-5

H25/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

53-39

+14

H28/03

Liga A

Quimsa

35-36

-1

A02/04

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

33-46

-13

A04/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-41

H07/04

Liga A

Atenas

42-34

H10/04

Liga A

80.0Avg total

40.1Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.8	82.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.6	38.8	83.4	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	43.5	81.8	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.9	80.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	42.7	41.8	84.4	+0.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

49-43

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

38-33

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

40-42

-2

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

28-41

-13

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

54-41

+13

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

30-47

-17

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

51-33

+18

H11/04

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

44-48

-4

H12/04

Liga A

Penarol

#18

38-43

-5

A15/04

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

26-47

-21

A15/04

ACB

81.6Avg total

39.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.6	77.3	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.0	40.9	77.9	-3.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.1	40.3	75.4	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.0	40.1	76.1	-4.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	51.2	35.8	87.0	+15.5	100%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	25.2	45.5	-4.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.7	26.8	47.4	-6.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.1	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	25.4	48.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	26.9	51.2	-2.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	25.0	49.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	22.9	26.0	48.9	-3.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	23.2	25.1	48.2	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	18.8	40.8	+3.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.5	41.4	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.4	21.3	42.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	48.7	92.9	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.1	48.6	94.8	-2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	48.7	90.5	-6.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	48.0	94.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	48.6	93.8	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	43.6	52.8	96.3	-9.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	44.7	45.9	90.7	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.0	83.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	40.2	81.9	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.7	43.5	85.2	-1.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.2	81.9	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.9	42.9	82.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.9	41.2	84.1	+1.6	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Quilmestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	18.6	52.0%	53.8%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.0	34.5%	32.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.8	76.4%	71.7%	17.8

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	21.3	48.4%	53.8%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.7	36.0%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.6	70.9%	71.7%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.9	52.5%	53.8%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.8	74.8%	71.7%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	21.8	49.6%	53.8%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	7.6	34.2%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.7	75.2%	71.7%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/01/18	Estudiantes v Quilmes	94-78
03/02/17	Estudiantes v Quilmes	79-78
19/12/16	Quilmes v Estudiantes	83-64
15/04/16	Estudiantes v Quilmes	89-84
07/02/16	Quilmes v Estudiantes	90-65
29/04/15	Estudiantes v Quilmes	93-91
06/01/15	Quilmes v Estudiantes	86-78
17/02/14	Estudiantes v Quilmes	67-82
01/12/13	Quilmes v Estudiantes	75-73

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/18	H	Atenas	116-117 OT
07/04/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	92-87
04/04/18	A	Olimpico	115-116 OT
02/04/18	A	Quimsa	60-86
28/03/18	H	Regatas	94-79
25/03/18	H	Ferro	82-86
22/03/18	H	Weber Bahia	84-79
16/03/18	H	Gimnasia	100-98
11/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	96-107
08/03/18	A	Boca Juniors	75-70

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/18	A	MoraBanc Andorra	65-78
15/04/18	A	Penarol	79-85
12/04/18	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-79
11/04/18	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	84-74
10/04/18	H	Ferro	87-82
08/04/18	H	Bilbao	96-84
07/04/18	H	Boca Juniors	81-80
04/04/18	A	La Union	79-82
02/04/18	A	Regatas	77-71
01/04/18	A	Barcelona	100-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	36%
Home	WLWWL	53%
Away	LWLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	36%	53%	19%
Points / game	88.0	91.8	83.9
Allowed / game	90.6	88.5	92.9
Point differential	-2.7	+3.3	-9.0
Avg total	178.6	180.2	176.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	29%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	38% (8)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	43%
Home	LWWWL	71%
Away	LLWLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	43%	71%	19%
Points / game	82.2	87.2	77.8
Allowed / game	83.0	82.2	83.7
Point differential	-0.8	+5.0	-5.9
Avg total	165.2	169.4	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	57% (7)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	31	24	7	77%	86.6	79.5	+7.0
2	San Martin	32	24	8	75%	85.4	79.2	+6.3
3	Atenas	33	23	10	70%	88.0	84.8	+3.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	34	23	11	68%	85.5	80.5	+4.9
5	Quimsa	32	20	12	62%	80.9	77.5	+3.4
6	La Union	31	18	13	58%	80.1	78.3	+1.8
7	Gimnasia	33	17	16	52%	81.6	82.6	-1.0
8	Obras Sanitarias	34	17	17	50%	84.3	84.4	-0.1
9	Regatas	33	16	17	48%	81.5	83.1	-1.6
10	Weber Bahia	33	16	17	48%	76.8	80.0	-3.2
11	Hispano Americano	31	15	16	48%	86.1	87.6	-1.5
12	Olimpico	33	15	18	45%	83.9	84.3	-0.4
13	Argentino	33	15	18	45%	79.0	80.9	-1.9
14	Estudiantes	30	13	17	43%	82.2	83.0	-0.8
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	31	12	19	39%	82.0	85.3	-3.3
16	Penarol	33	12	21	36%	83.4	84.5	-1.2
17	Boca Juniors	33	12	21	36%	78.5	80.4	-1.9
18	Quilmes	33	12	21	36%	88.0	90.6	-2.7
19	Salta	32	10	22	31%	75.3	79.3	-3.9
20	Ferro	31	9	22	29%	79.4	82.6	-3.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	15	31	19	22	87
Estudiantes	21	14	17	20	72

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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