Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 85-79

28-17 15-21 19-25 23-16

Position#18

Record11-21

FormWLLWL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game84.7

Penarol 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#11

Record13-16

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game82.9

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Penarol v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

92-98

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

84-88

-4

A15/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

69-80

-11

H18/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

89-91 OT

-2

H23/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

96-73

+23

H27/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

99-79

+20

H30/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

88-96

-8

A04/04

Liga A

Atenas

71-74

-3

A06/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

94-90

H09/04

Liga A

Atenas

83-103

103

-20

H12/04

Liga A

27-28

28-29

21-18

16-23

18-19

25-19

15-27

26-23

13-14

21-19

22-27

13-20

20-22

22-21

22-18

14-17

26-18

24-18

21-15

25-22

14-19

25-21

32-19

28-20

15-27

20-15

26-25

27-29

14-26

21-20

18-6

18-22

25-22

18-25

25-17

26-26

18-21

13-31

27-29

25-22

173.7Avg total

86.5Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	83.3	84.7	168.0	-1.4	34%
Season at home (17)	84.7	83.2	167.9	+1.5	47%
Season away (15)	81.7	86.5	168.2	-4.7	20%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	87.2	173.7	-0.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	88.4	175.4	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.6	86.9	164.5	-9.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	85.7	82.6	168.2	+3.1	55%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

77-55

+22

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

73-81

-8

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

100-95

100

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

77-71

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

79-82

-3

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

81-80

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

96-84

+12

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

87-82

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

84-74

+10

H11/04

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

77-79

-2

H12/04

Liga A

19-8

14-10

27-21

17-16

16-30

17-18

18-17

22-16

28-18

21-25

26-25

25-27

20-19

18-14

17-19

22-19

19-21

21-21

17-18

22-22

14-20

14-21

18-22

35-17

28-21

26-20

25-26

17-17

14-20

16-27

27-22

30-13

34-16

17-17

11-18

22-23

23-22

21-26

15-19

18-12

161.4Avg total

83.1Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.3	82.9	165.2	-0.7	45%
Season at home (14)	87.2	82.2	169.4	+5.0	71%
Season away (15)	77.7	83.6	161.3	-5.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	78.3	161.4	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	79.8	164.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	84.0	160.3	-7.7	30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	79.7	81.6	161.2	-1.9	38%
vs Weaker (4)	92.2	79.2	171.5	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	19.4	38.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	15.6	21.1	36.7	-5.5	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.6	39.7	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.4	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	29.5	18.8	48.2	+10.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	19.2	39.5	+1.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	70%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	50%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

55-57

-2

A13/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

43-38

A15/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-33

H18/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

42-43

-1

H23/03

Liga A

Ferro

#16

50-36

+14

H27/03

Liga A

Regatas

#15

39-40

-1

H30/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-42

-7

A04/04

Liga A

Atenas

35-46

-11

A06/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-47

-4

H09/04

Liga A

Atenas

31-52

-21

H12/04

Liga A

84.1Avg total

40.7Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.7	78.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	41.2	79.1	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.4	84.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	45.4	82.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	40.5	75.4	-5.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

33-18

+15

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

33-48

-15

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

49-43

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

38-33

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

40-42

-2

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

28-41

-13

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

54-41

+13

H08/04

ACB

Ferro

#16

30-47

-17

H10/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

51-33

+18

H11/04

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

44-48

-4

H12/04

Liga A

79.4Avg total

40.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	42.0	83.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	40.4	75.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.7	39.2	75.9	-2.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	51.2	35.8	87.0	+15.5	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.2	44.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	23.8	45.9	-1.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.8	48.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.8	24.5	45.3	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	18.8	40.8	+3.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.4	40.8	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.6	22.2	43.9	-0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	43.9	87.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	43.9	88.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	43.9	86.8	-1.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	42.5	87.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	43.0	93.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.7	46.4	89.1	-3.7	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.2	42.6	86.8	+1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	42.9	85.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	40.2	81.9	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.3	45.1	87.4	-2.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.9	82.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.0	43.6	84.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.0	42.4	85.4	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 87.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.6	55.2%	53.8%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.8	34.4%	32.9%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.8	78.0%	71.7%	18.8

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	21.6	49.7%	53.8%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.5	36.0%	32.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.5	72.1%	71.7%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	19.3	53.4%	53.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.2	31.1%	32.9%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.0	75.5%	71.7%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	21.9	49.7%	53.8%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	7.6	34.2%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.8	75.2%	71.7%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/18	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-86
19/02/17	Estudiantes v Penarol	89-71
17/12/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	93-101
06/02/16	Penarol v Estudiantes	81-86
20/01/16	Estudiantes v Penarol	85-81
31/03/15	Estudiantes v Penarol	75-65
04/01/15	Penarol v Estudiantes	85-58
22/03/14	Estudiantes v Penarol	93-90
18/01/14	Penarol v Estudiantes	80-62

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/18	H	Atenas	83-103
09/04/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	94-90
06/04/18	A	Atenas	71-74
04/04/18	A	Instituto de Cordoba	88-96
30/03/18	H	Regatas	99-79
27/03/18	H	Ferro	96-73
23/03/18	H	Weber Bahia	89-91 OT
18/03/18	H	Gimnasia	69-80
15/03/18	A	Regatas	84-88
13/03/18	A	La Union	92-98

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/18	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-79
11/04/18	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	84-74
10/04/18	H	Ferro	87-82
08/04/18	H	Bilbao	96-84
07/04/18	H	Boca Juniors	81-80
04/04/18	A	La Union	79-82
02/04/18	A	Regatas	77-71
01/04/18	A	Barcelona	100-95
31/03/18	A	San Martin	73-81
29/03/18	H	La Union	77-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	34%
Home	LWWWL	47%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	34%	47%	20%
Points / game	83.3	84.7	81.7
Allowed / game	84.7	83.2	86.5
Point differential	-1.4	+1.5	-4.7
Avg total	168.0	167.9	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	24%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (14)	33% (6)	38% (8)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	45%
Home	LWWWL	71%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	45%	71%	20%
Points / game	82.3	87.2	77.7
Allowed / game	82.9	82.2	83.6
Point differential	-0.7	+5.0	-5.9
Avg total	165.2	169.4	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	57% (7)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	30	23	7	77%	86.7	79.9	+6.8
2	San Martin	32	24	8	75%	85.4	79.2	+6.3
3	Atenas	33	23	10	70%	88.0	84.8	+3.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	34	23	11	68%	85.5	80.5	+4.9
5	Quimsa	32	20	12	62%	80.9	77.5	+3.4
6	La Union	31	18	13	58%	80.1	78.3	+1.8
7	Gimnasia	33	17	16	52%	81.6	82.6	-1.0
8	Obras Sanitarias	34	17	17	50%	84.3	84.4	-0.1
9	Regatas	32	16	16	50%	81.7	82.8	-1.1
10	Weber Bahia	32	16	16	50%	77.0	79.9	-2.9
11	Hispano Americano	30	14	16	47%	85.9	88.1	-2.2
12	Olimpico	33	15	18	45%	83.9	84.3	-0.4
13	Argentino	33	15	18	45%	79.0	80.9	-1.9
14	Estudiantes	29	13	16	45%	82.3	82.9	-0.7
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	31	12	19	39%	82.0	85.3	-3.3
16	Boca Juniors	33	12	21	36%	78.5	80.4	-1.9
17	Quilmes	33	12	21	36%	88.0	90.6	-2.7
18	Penarol	32	11	21	34%	83.3	84.7	-1.4
19	Salta	32	10	22	31%	75.3	79.3	-3.9
20	Ferro	31	9	22	29%	79.4	82.6	-3.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	28	15	19	23	85
Estudiantes	17	21	25	16	79

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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