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Quilpue Basquetbol vs Aleman Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 66-69
21-15 13-25 12-12 20-17
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game68.6
Quilpue Basquetbol
Chile
vs
Aleman 🏆
Chile
Position#3
Record12-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game71.9
ChileLNB 2· Estadio Valparaíso Sporting Club
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilpue Basquetbol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilpue BasquetbolChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasquetbol
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
28avg 52
H26/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 52
A02/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
55-86
55
86
-31
40avg 52
A15/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 52
A16/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
45-80
45
80
-35
32avg 52
H22/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-79
58
79
-21
45avg 52
A23/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
39avg 52
H30/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
62-60
62
60
+2
50avg 52
H06/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
66-55
66
55
+11
55avg 52
H14/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
63-60
63
60
+3
50avg 52
H20/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-15
11-12
7-16
25-14
15-15
23-18
14-25
16-21
15-20
12-21
12-24
27-20
18-15
22-16
11-17
17-18
14-10
10-32
4-20
8-15
13-26
18-15
19-23
12-22
16-9
8-16
18-10
21-16
13-16
12-14
16-14
14-15
23-12
16-17
13-11
20-18
11-10
13-19
19-13
128.3Avg total
60.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)64.868.6133.4-3.848%
Season at home (10)62.167.1129.2-5.050%
Season away (11)67.369.9137.2-2.645%
Last 10 (10)60.667.7128.3-7.150%
Last 5 (5)60.662.2122.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)56.769.4126.1-12.822%
vs Similar (10)69.667.1136.7+2.570%
vs Weaker (2)77.572.0149.5+5.550%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 64
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 64
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 64
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 64
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 64
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 64
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
74-70
74
70
+4
62avg 64
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
77avg 64
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 64
H14/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
57avg 64
A20/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
15-13
22-21
25-14
15-20
17-19
24-17
19-17
20-19
23-15
13-22
22-20
16-13
25-29
27-19
23-22
14-20
26-20
17-22
16-17
13-22
26-20
11-13
16-17
13-11
149.5Avg total
75.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.771.9146.5+2.857%
Season at home (11)74.069.5143.5+4.564%
Season away (10)75.474.5149.9+0.950%
Last 10 (10)75.673.9149.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.274.8151.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.289.6152.8-26.50%
vs Similar (10)73.573.4146.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.366.6141.9+8.878%
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Quilpue BasquetbolAleman
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Quilpue BasquetbolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A02/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A16/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H22/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A23/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H06/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/07
LNB 2
65.2Avg total
32.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)33.833.567.3+0.255%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.332.366.6+2.060%-
Last 30 away (10)33.234.868.0-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.465.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.862.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.633.863.3-4.244%-
vs Similar (9)36.132.168.2+4.067%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A06/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/07
LNB 2
78.5Avg total
40.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.939.476.3-2.546%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.938.775.7-1.840%-
Last 30 away (13)36.940.277.1-3.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.078.5+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.347.078.3-15.710%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.872.9+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.535.678.1+6.975%-
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quilpue Basquetboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quilpue Basquetbol: 60.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.418.0
41.5%
44.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.6
24.2%
28.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws11.37.5
66.4%
63.6%7.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.718.3
45.0%
44.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.78.9
29.0%
28.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.511.1
60.0%
63.6%11.1
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quilpue Basquetbol
WWWLLLWLWL
Aleman
WLLWWWWLLL
#7
League position
#3
-8.6
Net rating
+2.2
79.5
Offensive rating
95.5
88.1
Defensive rating
93.3
39.7%
Effective FG%
44.3%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
21.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.2%
3-point %
29.0%
44.1%
Assist %
50.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence79.5 · 95.5Defence88.1 · 93.3Shooting39.7% · 44.3%3-point %24.2% · 29.0%Ball care21.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 35.3%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Quilpue Basquetbol   ■ Aleman
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Quilpue Basquetbol wins
1
Aleman wins
DateGameScore
19/05/24Aleman v Quilpue Basquetbol69-63
Quilpue Basquetbollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24HMunicipal Chillan63-60
14/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain66-55
06/07/24HSergio Ceppi62-60
30/06/24HStadio Italiano54-57
23/06/24ATruenos De Talca58-79
22/06/24HColo Colo45-80
16/06/24AArabe Valparaiso78-68
15/06/24ABoston C. C.55-86
02/06/24ABrisas77-72
26/05/24HArabe Valparaiso48-60
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/24AArabe Valparaiso66-61
14/07/24HColo Colo72-81
06/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain89-90
29/06/24HBrisas74-70
23/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe80-72
20/06/24HTruenos De Talca77-68
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilpue Basquetbol
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game64.862.167.3
Allowed / game68.667.169.9
Point differential-3.8-5.0-2.6
Avg total133.4129.2137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%10%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game74.774.075.4
Allowed / game71.969.574.5
Point differential+2.8+4.5+0.9
Avg total146.5143.5149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo22220100%82.163.2+18.9
2 Truenos De Talca2215768%75.067.4+7.7
3 Stadio Italiano2214864%67.863.3+4.5
4 Sergio Ceppi2213959%73.071.7+1.3
5 Boston C. C.2112957%71.667.6+4.0
6 Aleman2112957%74.771.9+2.8
7 Quilpue Basquetbol21101148%64.868.6-3.8
8 Municipal Chillan2191243%62.966.4-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2171433%67.673.2-5.6
10 Arabe Valparaiso2171433%65.872.7-6.9
11 Brisas2151624%66.971.3-4.4
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe2121910%69.586.2-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quilpue Basquetbol2113122066
Aleman1525121769
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