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Quimsa vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:40
Final 86-78
18-18 13-24 28-13 27-23
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game65.0
Quimsa 🏆
vs
Nacional
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio Ciudad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Quimsa v Nacional
18 Dec 2023
QUIM86
NACI78
12 Mar 2022
QUIM95
NACI72
11 Dec 2021
QUIM81
NACI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Ferro
#13
W
74-64
74
64
+10
72avg 82
A08/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
93-89
93
89
+4
89avg 82
A10/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
74avg 82
H18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 82
H21/11
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 82
H28/11
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
72avg 82
H01/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
A06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
65avg 82
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
73avg 82
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
112-65
112
65
+47
119avg 82
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-12
4-22
23-15
16-15
27-15
26-28
18-23
22-23
16-21
17-14
27-24
20-16
17-12
19-24
17-15
25-18
30-10
14-24
18-20
22-24
18-24
24-8
15-17
20-21
22-19
23-14
23-30
30-12
18-17
13-17
25-11
19-22
15-20
18-19
20-14
19-14
24-12
24-24
39-10
25-19
156.2Avg total
84.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)112.065.0177.0+47.0100%
Season at home (1)112.065.0177.0+47.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.371.9156.2+12.4100%
Last 5 (5)86.868.8155.6+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.092.5169.5-15.50%
vs Similar (3)77.076.7153.7+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.672.2156.8+12.596%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
95-67
95
67
+28
92avg 85
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 85
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
104avg 85
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 85
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 85
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 85
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 85
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 85
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 85
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 85
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
23-23
24-14
22-20
32-23
14-24
17-21
21-11
21-19
21-28
29-15
27-30
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
24-21
26-19
22-18
19-20
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
176.7Avg total
91.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.185.6176.7+5.580%
Last 5 (5)90.090.2180.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.880.9158.7-3.145%
vs Similar (12)80.881.7162.4-0.958%
vs Weaker (7)95.183.3178.4+11.986%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
QuimsaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H18/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/11
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/11
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H01/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H16/12
Champions League Americas
75.6Avg total
40.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.174.8+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.133.073.1+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.476.8+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.675.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.874.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.543.077.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.773.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.534.474.8+6.180%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
92.5Avg total
47.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.484.1+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.040.984.9+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.983.3-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)47.844.792.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.692.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.441.781.1-2.436%-
vs Similar (12)42.441.183.5+1.350%-
vs Weaker (7)48.141.689.7+6.686%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.026.0
63.4%
52.9%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.013.0
50.0%
33.2%39.0
🏀 Free throws25.021.0
84.0%
73.9%21.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.1
53.3%
52.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
33.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
73.9%13.9
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quimsa
WWWWWWWWWW
Nacional
WLWLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#7
+64.0
Net rating
+7.1
146.3
Offensive rating
111.7
82.3
Defensive rating
104.6
67.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
39.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
50.0%
3-point %
36.8%
61.5%
Assist %
65.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence146.3 · 111.7Defence82.3 · 104.6Shooting67.9% · 54.1%3-point %50.0% · 36.8%Ball care13.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Quimsa   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Quimsa wins
1
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Quimsa v Nacional95-72
03/02/22Nacional v Quimsa91-81
11/12/21Quimsa v Nacional81-71
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HSao Paulo112-65
09/12/23ABoca Juniors72-67
07/12/23ASan Lorenzo75-67
06/12/23APenarol98-75
01/12/23HSan Martin77-70
28/11/23HArgentino84-78
21/11/23HUnion De Santa Fe78-69
18/11/23HObera TC80-75
10/11/23AGimnasia93-89
08/11/23AFerro74-64
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
27/11/23ABigua94-101
24/11/23HUrupan91-78
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
13/11/23AGoes98-92
10/11/23HMalvin84-79
03/11/23HLarre Borges95-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game112.0112.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+47.0+47.0-
Avg total177.0177.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Nacional
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa110100%112.065.0+47.0
2 Franca220100%86.073.0+13.0
3 Real Esteli110100%80.070.0+10.0
4 Gladiadores110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 Nacional110100%89.084.0+5.0
6 Boca Juniors21150%71.065.5+5.5
7 Obras Sanitarias21150%90.084.5+5.5
8 Hebraica y Macabi21150%78.077.0+1.0
9 Flamengo21150%77.083.5-6.5
10 Halcones de Xalapa2020%73.081.0-8.0
11 U. De Concepcion2020%67.085.5-18.5
12 Sao Paulo2020%74.5100.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quimsa1813282786
Nacional1824132378
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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