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Defensor vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:45
Final 91-99
33-29 28-23 13-18 17-29
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game81.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Defensor v Nacional
26 Mar 2026
DEFE68
NACI80
12 Feb 2026
DEFE82
NACI73
09 May 2025
DEFE80
NACI85
02 May 2025
DEFE87
NACI77
07 Jan 2025
DEFE78
NACI88
26 Mar 2024
DEFE58
NACI95
08 Dec 2023
DEFE91
NACI99
05 Apr 2023
DEFE92
NACI73
28 Mar 2023
DEFE66
NACI78
09 Mar 2023
DEFE87
NACI79
05 Dec 2022
DEFE75
NACI80
07 Mar 2022
DEFE73
NACI66
26 May 2021
DEFE70
NACI73
27 Mar 2021
DEFE88
NACI106
18 Nov 2020
DEFE83
NACI66
09 Nov 2020
DEFE67
NACI80
18 Oct 2019
DEFE79
NACI68
22 Jan 2019
DEFE69
NACI94
14 Dec 2017
DEFE90
NACI89
05 Nov 2012
DEFE100
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 68
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
85-70
85
70
+15
73avg 68
H02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
64-70
64
70
-6
45avg 68
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
73avg 68
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 68
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
63avg 68
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 68
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 68
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 68
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
18-30
18-15
18-23
19-20
28-21
26-18
14-14
23-15
23-23
18-14
21-18
17-18
10-22
17-11
20-19
17-22
26-13
16-18
19-14
26-22
21-18
13-23
22-24
24-18
17-17
15-18
19-20
17-19
25-16
19-20
14-12
10-28
24-12
23-13
28-22
19-19
20-14
18-20
15-26
151.6Avg total
77.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.173.4151.6+4.767%
Season at home (4)77.570.8148.2+6.875%
Season away (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
Last 10 (10)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.876.2154.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.488.7172.1-5.329%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.480.1159.6-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)81.469.6151.0+11.8100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 87
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
94avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
95-67
95
67
+28
92avg 87
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 87
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
104avg 87
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 87
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 87
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 87
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 87
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
16-23
11-22
18-25
23-20
27-22
22-20
11-19
21-16
18-15
31-19
28-15
26-10
23-23
24-14
22-20
32-23
14-24
17-21
21-11
21-19
21-28
29-15
27-30
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
24-21
26-19
22-18
19-20
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
171.2Avg total
89.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.981.1173.0+10.889%
Season at home (5)86.074.6160.6+11.4100%
Season away (4)99.289.2188.5+10.075%
Last 10 (10)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)93.487.6181.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.582.0160.5-3.542%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.578.2156.6+0.355%
vs Weaker (7)95.183.3178.4+11.986%
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
DefensorNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
78.1Avg total
40.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.381.4-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.580.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.142.881.9-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.078.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.645.988.4-3.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.140.879.8-1.744%-
vs Weaker (5)40.636.677.2+4.080%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
88.6Avg total
46.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.282.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.383.5+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.641.181.7-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.988.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.894.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.541.581.0-2.042%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.037.979.9+4.155%-
vs Weaker (7)48.141.689.7+6.686%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.8
48.2%
51.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.8
31.3%
33.3%29.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.1%
71.7%12.7
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.2
54.2%
51.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.9%
33.3%28.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.7%
71.7%15.2
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LWWWLWLWWL
Nacional
LWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#3
+6.6
Net rating
+13.9
103.0
Offensive rating
112.5
96.3
Defensive rating
98.6
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
34.9%
58.5%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 112.5Defence96.3 · 98.6Shooting47.6% · 53.5%3-point %31.3% · 34.9%Ball care12.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Defensor   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Defensor wins
6
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
12/04/23Nacional v Defensor81-71
05/04/23Defensor v Nacional92-73
31/03/23Nacional v Defensor79-73
29/03/23Defensor v Nacional66-78
09/03/23Defensor v Nacional87-79
11/02/23Nacional v Defensor72-85
05/12/22Defensor v Nacional75-80
08/03/22Defensor v Nacional73-66
20/12/21Nacional v Defensor70-65
26/05/21Defensor v Nacional70-73
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HPenarol72-79
03/12/23ALarre Borges85-75
29/11/23HCordon75-67
21/11/23AMalvin75-73
14/11/23ABigua82-87
09/11/23HUrupan78-67
05/11/23AHebraica y Macabi64-70
02/11/23HAguada85-70
27/10/23AGoes87-73
12/04/23ANacional71-81
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23ABigua94-101
24/11/23HUrupan91-78
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
13/11/23AGoes98-92
10/11/23HMalvin84-79
03/11/23HLarre Borges95-67
31/10/23ACordon98-65
27/10/23HTrouville83-81
30/05/23HHebraica y Macabi71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game78.177.578.6
Allowed / game73.470.875.6
Point differential+4.7+6.8+3.0
Avg total151.6148.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game91.986.099.2
Allowed / game81.174.689.2
Point differential+10.8+11.4+10.0
Avg total173.0160.6188.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional98189%91.981.1+10.8
2 Aguada118373%85.078.4+6.6
3 Penarol75271%83.173.4+9.7
4 Defensor96367%78.173.4+4.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi126650%82.480.7+1.8
6 Malvin126650%82.180.5+1.6
7 Trouville94544%80.483.0-2.6
8 Bigua125742%82.885.1-2.2
9 Goes104640%82.786.8-4.1
10 Cordon114736%71.775.3-3.5
11 Urupan114736%77.583.7-6.3
12 Larre Borges112918%79.290.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor3328131791
Nacional2923182999
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