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Rapla vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-111 (OT)
21-18 24-23 28-23 19-28 7-19
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#7
Record10-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v BK Liepaja
31 Jan 2025
RAPL99
BK L111
30 Jan 2024
RAPL98
BK L89
07 Oct 2022
RAPL75
BK L71
11 Dec 2021
RAPL105
BK L69
26 Jan 2019
RAPL99
BK L96
10 Jan 2017
RAPL83
BK L71
04 Nov 2014
RAPL72
BK L76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Parnu
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 67
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
54avg 67
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 67
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 67
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
45avg 67
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 67
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
70avg 67
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 67
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 67
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 67
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-19
24-24
22-13
11-23
17-12
20-22
10-16
27-18
20-22
6-16
24-24
33-21
20-17
19-20
19-28
22-25
13-23
12-6
10-17
23-21
27-22
13-27
14-12
14-24
25-24
14-21
23-21
14-24
27-11
29-18
29-28
17-18
24-19
24-16
17-11
30-24
21-22
25-19
16-15
157.4Avg total
78.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.481.5161.9-1.150%
Season at home (9)87.682.3169.9+5.278%
Season away (11)74.580.8155.4-6.327%
Last 10 (10)78.978.5157.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.279.4164.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.881.9151.6-12.135%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.386.7174.0+0.657%
vs Weaker (6)83.872.5156.3+11.383%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Sigulda
#16
W
113-53
113
53
+60
no box
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
65avg 70
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 70
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 70
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 70
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 70
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 70
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 70
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
26-11
28-11
36-20
29-19
14-12
15-13
18-19
20-9
13-23
25-28
22-21
20-24
22-18
17-19
19-16
14-15
33-23
12-13
16-21
24-14
11-27
18-29
28-29
18-17
23-19
12-12
25-21
17-25
28-21
15-16
23-21
22-20
16-25
31-20
19-27
15-19
15-24
16-16
18-28
161.5Avg total
83.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.181.4162.5-0.350%
Season at home (11)82.179.7161.8+2.464%
Season away (9)79.983.4163.3-3.633%
Last 10 (10)83.078.5161.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)81.687.8169.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.681.3154.9-7.723%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.579.6156.1-3.138%
vs Weaker (8)88.980.6169.5+8.288%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
RaplaBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
83.0Avg total
41.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.479.2-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.840.382.1+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)36.540.476.9-3.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.183.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.039.875.8-3.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.742.784.4-1.057%-
vs Weaker (6)43.339.382.7+4.083%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sigulda
#16
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Tal Tech
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Latvian Cup
77.9Avg total
40.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.038.878.8+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.180.8+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.677.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.579.7-3.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.537.275.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)44.640.184.8+4.550%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.0
49.8%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.0
30.2%
32.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
70.6%12.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.5
58.0%
51.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.0
29.5%
32.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.3
71.9%
70.6%14.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WWWLLLWLLW
BK Liepaja
LLWWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
+5.1
102.5
Offensive rating
109.5
103.7
Defensive rating
104.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
29.5%
67.1%
Assist %
52.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 109.5Defence103.7 · 104.4Shooting48.2% · 52.4%3-point %30.2% · 29.5%Ball care14.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.7% · 34.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rapla   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Rapla wins
1
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25BK Liepaja v Rapla81-99
30/01/24Rapla v BK Liepaja98-89 OT
02/11/23BK Liepaja v Rapla72-65
22/12/22BK Liepaja v Rapla69-71
07/10/22Rapla v BK Liepaja75-71
12/03/22BK Liepaja v Rapla61-63
11/12/21Rapla v BK Liepaja105-69
26/01/19Rapla v BK Liepaja99-96
28/10/18BK Liepaja v Rapla82-89
10/01/17Rapla v BK Liepaja83-71
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HTartu Ulikool92-80
21/01/25HViimsi82-64
15/01/25ABK Liepaja99-81
14/01/25AVentspils76-90
28/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-82
18/12/24ABK Ogre57-71
15/12/24HValmiera Glass Via91-86
11/12/24AKeila Coolbet77-80
07/12/24ARigas Zelli58-73
03/12/24AParnu80-78
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HVentspils64-87
25/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo88-92
22/01/25HTal Tech97-92 OT
18/01/25ABK Ogre78-69
15/01/25HRapla81-99
11/01/25HBK Ogre75-72
08/01/25AKeila Coolbet78-77
03/01/25ATartu Ulikool80-81
28/12/24HValmiera Glass Via76-63
21/12/24ASigulda113-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%78%27%
Points / game80.487.674.5
Allowed / game81.582.380.8
Point differential-1.1+5.2-6.3
Avg total161.9169.9155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %10%11%9%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%64%33%
Points / game81.182.179.9
Allowed / game81.479.783.4
Point differential-0.3+2.4-3.6
Avg total162.5161.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1816289%82.467.3+15.1
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2016480%86.473.5+12.9
3 Rigas Zelli2217577%83.769.4+14.3
4 Valmiera Glass Via2014670%83.074.9+8.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2113862%81.581.6-0.1
6 BK Ogre2012860%80.078.2+1.9
7 BK Liepaja20101050%81.181.4-0.3
8 Rapla20101050%80.481.5-1.1
9 Parnu21101148%81.780.5+1.2
10 Ventspils1991047%88.587.2+1.3
11 Tal Tech2291341%79.383.9-4.5
12 Keila Coolbet1971237%80.182.8-2.7
13 Viimsi2151624%72.484.1-11.7
14 Keila KK2021810%72.591.4-18.9
15 Latvijas Universitate2121910%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rapla21242819799
BK Liepaja1823232819111
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