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Rapla vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-86
19-28 15-15 17-23 20-20
Position#9
Record13-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#1
Record21-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game69.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v VEF Riga
08 Mar 2025
RAPL71
VRI86
17 Nov 2023
RAPL71
VRI85
28 Mar 2023
RAPL89
VRI94
17 Jan 2023
RAPL71
VRI74
16 Mar 2022
RAPL52
VRI99
27 Mar 2019
RAPL65
VRI90
22 Jan 2019
RAPL71
VRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 70
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
70avg 70
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 70
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 70
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 70
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
93avg 70
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 70
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
117avg 70
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 70
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
82avg 70
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
27-22
13-27
14-12
14-24
25-24
14-21
23-21
14-24
27-11
29-18
29-28
17-18
24-19
24-16
17-11
30-24
21-22
25-19
16-15
21-18
24-23
28-23
19-28
15-24
21-23
28-15
17-23
24-15
30-15
28-17
31-29
19-28
18-21
21-20
29-14
16-16
19-20
34-12
17-15
170.7Avg total
89.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.081.9164.9+1.052%
Season at home (12)90.684.2174.8+6.375%
Season away (13)75.979.8155.7-3.831%
Last 10 (10)89.281.5170.7+7.760%
Last 5 (5)93.283.6176.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.677.5146.1-8.933%
vs Similar (9)87.989.2177.1-1.344%
vs Weaker (9)87.773.0160.7+14.789%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
93-67
93
67
+26
92avg 76
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 76
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 76
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 76
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
87avg 76
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 76
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
95avg 76
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
76avg 76
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
27-18
23-18
24-15
23-21
21-13
16-17
17-16
18-27
26-21
31-12
17-13
22-17
16-16
16-21
19-11
32-10
13-16
18-23
15-10
21-17
14-14
23-14
22-14
35-20
25-27
18-15
18-19
30-28
21-17
21-11
17-24
32-17
24-19
17-24
23-23
17-24
19-24
25-23
24-25
158.9Avg total
85.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.569.2152.7+14.288%
Season at home (13)81.865.5147.2+16.392%
Season away (11)85.573.6159.1+11.882%
Last 10 (10)85.973.0158.9+12.990%
Last 5 (5)89.279.8169.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.580.0149.5-10.50%
vs Similar (5)80.881.0161.8-0.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.668.0152.6+16.595%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
RaplaVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.879.7+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.839.783.5+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.876.4-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.737.974.6-1.242%-
vs Similar (9)41.443.084.4-1.656%-
vs Weaker (9)42.939.081.9+3.967%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.7Avg total
45.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.679.2+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.436.478.8+6.062%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.979.6+5.864%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.283.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.489.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.074.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (5)36.441.277.6-4.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.535.479.9+9.077%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.7
56.4%
51.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.1
35.2%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
70.6%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.1
36.6%
32.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
70.6%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WWWLLWWWLL
VEF Riga
LWWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+9.4
Net rating
+19.4
112.0
Offensive rating
116.5
102.6
Defensive rating
97.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
36.6%
67.0%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 116.5Defence102.6 · 97.1Shooting55.2% · 53.5%3-point %35.2% · 36.6%Ball care16.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.7% · 35.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Rapla   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rapla wins
10
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24VEF Riga v Rapla84-62
24/03/24VEF Riga v Rapla80-78
17/11/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-85
28/03/23Rapla v VEF Riga89-94
24/03/23VEF Riga v Rapla77-54
17/01/23Rapla v VEF Riga71-74
02/11/22VEF Riga v Rapla81-62
16/03/22Rapla v VEF Riga52-99
08/10/21VEF Riga v Rapla96-69
31/03/19VEF Riga v Rapla121-71
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25AKeila KK86-63
26/02/25HKeila Coolbet87-83
08/02/25HParnu113-76
05/02/25ATal Tech81-85
31/01/25HBK Liepaja99-111 OT
28/01/25HTartu Ulikool92-80
21/01/25HViimsi82-64
15/01/25ABK Liepaja99-81
14/01/25AVentspils76-90
28/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-82
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-96
01/03/25AParnu96-83
28/02/25AKeila Coolbet89-80
15/02/25HVentspils96-81
12/02/25HRigas Zelli80-59
08/02/25ALatvijas Universitate78-59
04/02/25HRigas Zelli73-65
31/01/25HValmiera Glass Via92-73
29/01/25ARigas Zelli77-67
25/01/25ATartu Ulikool93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%75%31%
Points / game83.090.675.9
Allowed / game81.984.279.8
Point differential+1.0+6.3-3.8
Avg total164.9174.8155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %12%17%8%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %88%92%82%
Points / game83.581.885.5
Allowed / game69.265.573.6
Point differential+14.2+16.3+11.8
Avg total152.7147.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%62%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2421388%83.569.2+14.2
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2521484%87.874.4+13.4
3 Rigas Zelli2620677%82.969.7+13.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via26161062%82.076.5+5.6
5 Tartu Ulikool26161062%82.181.0+1.2
6 BK Ogre26151158%81.477.2+4.2
7 Ventspils26141254%89.384.3+5.0
8 BK Liepaja26141254%83.381.4+2.0
9 Rapla25131252%83.081.9+1.0
10 Parnu25111444%81.383.3-2.0
11 Tal Tech25111444%79.283.0-3.8
12 Keila Coolbet2571828%77.685.4-7.8
13 Viimsi2451921%71.585.7-14.2
14 Keila KK2542116%73.089.4-16.4
15 Latvijas Universitate262248%69.285.4-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1915172071
VEF Riga2815232086
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