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Rapla vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 110-104 (OT)
22-22 24-23 19-20 20-20 25-19
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.8
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game89.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v Ventspils
05 Nov 2024
RAPL110
VET104
05 Mar 2024
RAPL72
VET76
22 Oct 2022
RAPL78
VET87
20 Nov 2021
RAPL82
VET94
02 Mar 2019
RAPL72
VET93
10 Feb 2015
RAPL55
VET70
21 Oct 2012
RAPL54
VET93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 65
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
40avg 65
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
52avg 65
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 65
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 65
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 65
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 65
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
50avg 65
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 65
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
66-96
66
96
-30
53avg 65
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
21-16
10-17
7-13
17-19
8-12
21-8
21-26
18-19
28-18
15-12
26-21
13-15
13-14
18-23
19-17
15-26
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
26-24
26-15
29-15
19-19
21-21
9-26
12-22
20-15
16-17
22-16
21-20
20-7
25-14
18-28
13-28
10-26
145.8Avg total
73.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.278.8155.0-2.750%
Season at home (3)81.776.3158.0+5.367%
Season away (3)70.781.3152.0-10.733%
Last 10 (10)73.072.8145.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.478.6157.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.680.8150.4-11.241%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.783.0164.7-1.333%
vs Weaker (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
no box
A04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
101-76
101
76
+25
no box
H11/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A14/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H17/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
70avg 83
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
60avg 83
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
116-78
116
78
+38
121avg 83
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
91-95
91
95
-4
90avg 83
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 83
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
92-93
92
93
-1
84avg 83
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
20-14
10-16
13-21
28-20
26-19
26-17
21-20
25-20
21-20
28-22
9-14
28-23
23-17
21-18
16-19
29-18
19-18
27-28
10-20
13-21
17-26
21-24
24-24
31-15
23-15
33-22
29-26
17-18
33-20
17-28
24-29
22-30
20-19
18-22
27-22
16-22
24-26
27-24
25-21
171.1Avg total
87.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.089.7180.7+1.333%
Season at home (4)96.087.5183.5+8.550%
Season away (2)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)87.983.2171.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)92.290.8183.0+1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.684.9159.5-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.589.3178.8+0.233%
vs Weaker (10)94.979.6174.5+15.390%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
RaplaVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
74.1Avg total
37.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.975.6-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.278.3-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)33.339.672.9-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.274.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.840.774.5-6.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.736.774.3+1.033%-
vs Weaker (5)42.838.481.2+4.480%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H11/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/05
LBL
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
45.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.885.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.740.390.0+9.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.381.4-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.584.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.485.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.843.288.0+1.758%-
vs Weaker (10)48.137.885.9+10.380%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.221.4
47.3%
51.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.2
27.8%
32.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.911.0
65.1%
70.6%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
32.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.0
68.6%
70.6%14.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWLWWLWWLW
Ventspils
LLLWLWWWWL
#9
League position
#8
+0.8
Net rating
-2.6
98.9
Offensive rating
110.0
98.1
Defensive rating
112.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.8%
3-point %
32.7%
61.2%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 110.0Defence98.1 · 112.6Shooting45.5% · 50.1%3-point %27.8% · 32.7%Ball care17.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rapla   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rapla wins
9
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
05/03/24Rapla v Ventspils72-76
03/11/23Ventspils v Rapla88-78
23/12/22Ventspils v Rapla82-74
22/10/22Rapla v Ventspils78-87
11/03/22Ventspils v Rapla91-81
20/11/21Rapla v Ventspils82-94
08/04/21Ventspils v Rapla69-79
02/03/19Rapla v Ventspils72-93
27/10/18Ventspils v Rapla100-61
10/02/15Rapla v Ventspils55-70
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HRigas Zelli66-96
26/10/24HLatvijas Universitate79-60
19/10/24AVEF Riga62-84
15/10/24HKeila KK100-73
13/10/24AViimsi85-80
11/10/24AValmiera Glass Via65-80
25/05/24HParnu82-66
23/05/24AParnu68-65
21/05/24HParnu55-65
17/05/24AParnu68-59
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HTartu Ulikool92-93
26/10/24ATal Tech87-93
18/10/24HValmiera Glass Via91-95
08/10/24HKeila KK116-78
05/10/24ABK Ogre75-95
26/09/24HRigas Zelli85-84
17/05/24HBK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24ABK Liepaja83-76
11/05/24HBK Liepaja101-76
04/05/24ARigas Zelli61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.281.770.7
Allowed / game78.876.381.3
Point differential-2.7+5.3-10.7
Avg total155.0158.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game91.096.081.0
Allowed / game89.787.594.0
Point differential+1.3+8.5-13.0
Avg total180.7183.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga87188%81.968.8+13.1
2 BC Kalev/Cramo65183%85.574.2+11.3
3 Valmiera Glass Via97278%83.172.1+11.0
4 Rigas Zelli96367%86.476.8+9.7
5 Keila Coolbet64267%80.877.5+3.3
6 Tal Tech85362%81.686.2-4.6
7 Parnu42250%77.874.2+3.5
8 BK Ogre84450%82.180.1+2.0
9 Tartu Ulikool63350%79.279.0+0.2
10 Rapla63350%76.278.8-2.7
11 Ventspils62433%91.089.7+1.3
12 BK Liepaja72529%78.082.0-4.0
13 Viimsi61517%63.782.5-18.8
14 Latvijas Universitate7070%68.082.4-14.4
15 Keila KK6060%73.894.3-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rapla2224192025110
Ventspils2223202019104
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