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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-87
24-23 18-16 29-21 23-27
Position#2
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#18
Record5-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game89.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
71avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 81
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 81
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
111-100
111
100
+11
103avg 81
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 81
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 81
A07/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
24-24
27-21
16-23
16-17
21-18
26-20
17-20
21-22
17-23
22-22
16-22
16-22
22-30
21-21
18-14
23-16
16-27
24-19
19-8
22-16
21-21
19-25
38-37
31-29
25-19
22-31
33-21
22-18
17-18
21-22
15-16
17-17
20-24
23-18
21-16
18-16
15-9
16-23
22-22
168.5Avg total
85.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.282.5166.7+1.757%
Season at home (6)88.079.8167.8+8.283%
Season away (8)81.484.5165.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)85.483.1168.5+2.380%
Last 5 (5)87.683.6171.2+4.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (10)87.383.0170.3+4.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.881.1166.9+4.772%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 81
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
89-114
89
114
-25
83avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 81
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 81
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 81
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
110-91
110
91
+19
107avg 81
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
63avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
80avg 81
H05/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H07/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
23-20
19-23
22-19
11-28
17-21
19-17
33-20
24-26
24-32
26-28
15-28
18-25
25-28
25-18
15-18
19-19
24-20
19-31
21-21
14-26
28-15
25-18
28-14
33-23
38-23
14-22
25-23
24-18
18-19
12-17
13-28
23-20
26-22
21-12
18-24
17-20
27-19
16-23
29-29
174.2Avg total
87.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.789.1174.9-3.436%
Season at home (8)88.483.2171.6+5.162%
Season away (6)82.297.0179.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)87.187.1174.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.883.0172.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.894.2182.0-6.420%
vs Similar (14)88.188.6176.6-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)92.590.7183.2+1.867%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A07/12
ACB
82.8Avg total
41.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.240.383.5+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.442.886.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.741.284.9+2.556%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/12
ACB
89.4Avg total
45.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.089.0-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.543.990.4+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.246.187.4-4.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.889.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.641.090.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.344.289.5+1.160%-
vs Similar (14)43.545.488.9-1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)43.245.388.5-2.250%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.420.2
82.8%
78.2%20.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.320.0
58.3%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.3
35.4%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
78.2%15.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLLWW
Baskonia
LWLWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#18
+2.3
Net rating
-0.5
111.9
Offensive rating
113.5
109.6
Defensive rating
114.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
35.4%
53.0%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.5Defence109.6 · 114.0Shooting51.9% · 55.9%3-point %34.5% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Baskonia v Real Madrid105-100
06/06/25Baskonia v Real Madrid103-112
03/06/25Real Madrid v Baskonia82-76
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ATenerife71-70
04/12/25AAnadolu Efes81-75
25/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv75-74
22/11/25AGranada111-100
20/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas100-99
16/11/25HBilbao82-70
13/11/25HPanathinaikos77-87
11/11/25AValencia76-89
09/11/25AJoventut Badalona80-75
07/11/25ABarcelona101-92
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HValencia89-91
05/12/25HOlimpia Milano88-78
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas67-82
23/11/25HBilbao110-91
21/11/25HBayern95-73
16/11/25ABarcelona83-91
13/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-89
11/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv89-114
09/11/25AForca Lleida80-86
06/11/25HVirtus Bologna87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%83%38%
Points / game84.288.081.4
Allowed / game82.579.884.5
Point differential+1.7+8.2-3.1
Avg total166.7167.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%62%0%
Points / game85.788.482.2
Allowed / game89.183.297.0
Point differential-3.4+5.1-14.8
Avg total174.9171.6179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1410471%90.483.8+6.6
2 Valencia1510567%89.385.1+4.3
3 Monaco149564%90.883.1+7.6
4 Crvena zvezda149564%86.381.9+4.4
5 Barcelona149564%85.684.1+1.4
6 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
7 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%87.082.1+4.9
9 Panathinaikos159660%88.786.3+2.4
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano158753%84.984.1+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna147750%81.482.9-1.6
13 Dubai146843%85.687.4-1.8
14 Baskonia145936%85.789.1-3.4
15 Partizan145936%82.487.2-4.9
16 Bayern145936%77.483.7-6.3
17 Paris1551033%91.393.2-1.9
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%88.892.1-3.3
19 Anadolu Efes1551033%80.286.3-6.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2418292394
Baskonia2316212787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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