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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-82
23-21 27-18 16-21 23-22
Position#13
Record8-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#2
Record9-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 81
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 81
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 81
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 81
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
22-23
16-19
24-21
27-21
20-22
20-13
21-31
15-21
23-23
22-21
20-21
25-25
20-24
19-27
19-29
21-30
20-14
24-26
17-16
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
20-23
22-26
12-21
24-18
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
21-26
33-18
26-15
16-30
21-11
14-24
23-14
16-14
171.1Avg total
85.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.984.1169.0+0.753%
Season at home (7)87.487.9175.3-0.457%
Season away (8)82.680.9163.5+1.850%
Last 10 (10)85.785.4171.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)88.883.6172.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.389.3181.7+3.067%
vs Similar (14)81.181.9163.1-0.843%
vs Weaker (12)86.777.2163.9+9.467%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
71avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 81
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 81
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
111-100
111
100
+11
103avg 81
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 81
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
66avg 81
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 81
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
112-76
112
76
+36
110avg 81
H14/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-23
22-22
16-22
16-22
22-30
21-21
18-14
23-16
16-27
24-19
19-8
22-16
21-21
19-25
38-37
31-29
25-19
22-31
33-21
22-18
17-18
21-22
15-16
17-17
20-24
23-18
21-16
18-16
15-9
16-23
22-22
24-23
18-16
29-21
23-27
28-22
31-27
27-16
26-11
170.6Avg total
87.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.982.8167.7+2.160%
Season at home (7)88.980.9169.7+8.086%
Season away (8)81.484.5165.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)87.982.7170.6+5.280%
Last 5 (5)86.676.4163.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (10)87.383.0170.3+4.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.881.0168.8+6.878%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/12
Lega A
88.4Avg total
44.8Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.384.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.585.5+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.182.9+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.688.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.892.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.746.391.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (14)41.240.181.3+1.150%-
vs Weaker (12)44.741.185.8+3.658%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A07/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/12
ACB
83.9Avg total
42.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.585.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.140.884.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.442.486.9+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.583.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.341.186.3+4.267%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.9
56.2%
60.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.2
37.1%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.4%
78.2%16.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.0
53.7%
60.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.721.5
83.7%
78.2%21.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLLLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLL
#13
League position
#2
+1.0
Net rating
+6.6
116.9
Offensive rating
114.8
115.9
Defensive rating
108.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.1%
3-point %
33.1%
66.3%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 114.8Defence115.9 · 108.2Shooting56.0% · 52.2%3-point %37.1% · 33.1%Ball care18.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HVirtus Bologna74-63
11/12/25HPanathinaikos96-89
07/12/25HTrento94-90
05/12/25ABaskonia78-88
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88
23/11/25ATrieste82-86
20/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv83-105
16/11/25HTrapani80-86
14/11/25HOlympiacos88-87
12/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HBasquet Girona112-76
11/12/25HBaskonia94-87
07/12/25ATenerife71-70
04/12/25AAnadolu Efes81-75
25/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv75-74
22/11/25AGranada111-100
20/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas100-99
16/11/25HBilbao82-70
13/11/25HPanathinaikos77-87
11/11/25AValencia76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game84.987.482.6
Allowed / game84.187.980.9
Point differential+0.7-0.4+1.8
Avg total169.0175.3163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game84.988.981.4
Allowed / game82.880.984.5
Point differential+2.1+8.0-3.1
Avg total167.7169.7165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1612475%89.382.8+6.5
2 Valencia1611569%89.985.5+4.4
3 Barcelona1510567%86.484.2+2.2
4 Panathinaikos1610662%88.285.8+2.5
5 Monaco159660%90.583.7+6.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%87.082.1+4.9
7 Real Madrid159660%84.982.8+2.1
8 Fenerbahce159660%80.379.2+1.1
9 Crvena zvezda169756%85.181.9+3.2
10 Olympiacos158753%86.784.0+2.7
11 Olimpia Milano158753%84.984.1+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna157847%80.982.7-1.8
13 Dubai167944%86.488.1-1.6
14 Partizan156940%82.186.5-4.3
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv1661038%89.392.2-2.9
16 Paris1551033%91.393.2-1.9
17 Baskonia1551033%85.889.5-3.7
18 Bayern1551033%78.184.1-5.9
19 Anadolu Efes1551033%80.286.3-6.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2327162389
Real Madrid2118212282
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