Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	93.0	83.0	176.0	+10.0	100%
Season at home (1)	93.0	83.0	176.0	+10.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	91.6	81.3	172.9	+10.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	83.0	177.2	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	88.6	82.8	171.4	+5.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	87.5	78.2	165.7	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

89-75

+14

91avg 90

H09/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

92-95 OT

-3

no box

A12/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

89-63

+26

90avg 90

H15/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

88-73

+15

91avg 90

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

96-57

+39

no box

H24/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

91-89

83avg 90

A27/04

ACB

Breogan

#18

83-82

76avg 90

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

78-72

75avg 90

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

90-82

no box

H12/05

ACB

Barcelona

82-78

no box

A13/02

Spanish Cup

20-13

21-25

30-15

18-22

21-23

18-19

20-20

24-21

17-18

29-15

17-11

26-19

25-13

12-21

31-24

20-15

25-16

23-11

19-16

29-14

21-23

27-29

23-18

20-19

23-10

24-27

26-22

10-23

12-14

18-17

26-17

22-24

21-23

31-17

28-17

10-25

19-18

22-20

23-14

18-26

164.4Avg total

87.8Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	76.6	164.4	+11.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	80.6	165.4	+4.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	78.0	72.0	150.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar (6)	83.0	69.8	152.8	+13.2	100%
vs Weaker (21)	83.9	78.3	162.2	+5.5	76%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	16.7	39.8	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.6	40.4	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	19.3	41.0	+2.3	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	12.0	14.0	26.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.7	18.6	38.2	+1.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.4	45.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.5	19.7	40.1	+0.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.7	41.7	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	48%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

35-26

H19/04

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

36-41

-5

A23/04

Euroleague

Breogan

#18

39-46

-7

H27/04

ACB

Murcia

#14

39-37

A02/05

ACB

San Pablo Burgos

#12

50-41

A04/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

55-38

+17

H09/05

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

42-32

+10

A11/05

ACB

CSKA Moscow

45-43

A17/05

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

38-40

-2

A19/05

Euroleague

Bilbao

50-47

H13/02

Spanish Cup

82.0Avg total

42.9Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.6	82.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	38.6	79.7	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	39.1	82.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.1	39.0	81.1	+3.1	61%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

41-38

H09/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

39-42

-3

A12/04

Eurocup

Alba Berlin

46-33

+13

H15/04

Eurocup

Tenerife

37-34

H20/04

ACB

Unicaja

48-27

+21

H24/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

48-52

-4

A27/04

ACB

Breogan

#18

47-37

+10

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

30-31

-1

A10/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#16

52-40

+12

H12/05

ACB

Barcelona

41-38

A13/02

Spanish Cup

80.1Avg total

42.9Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.2	78.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	36.7	78.7	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	39.7	77.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	37.2	80.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.6	83.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	30.0	31.0	61.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	35.2	73.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.0	39.5	80.5	+1.6	52%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	16.4	39.3	+6.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.0	15.3	39.3	+8.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	17.7	39.3	+3.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	19.6	45.7	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.6	47.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	24.2	18.6	42.8	+5.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.6	16.1	38.7	+6.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	17.4	41.7	+6.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	17.6	42.8	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.4	39.4	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	16.8	40.5	+6.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	38.4	83.3	+6.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	37.7	82.8	+7.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.6	39.3	83.9	+5.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.7	42.2	90.9	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	43.0	91.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	46.2	40.8	87.0	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.7	38.4	83.1	+6.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	38.1	81.0	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	37.9	83.1	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	38.2	82.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.0	82.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	48.0	41.0	89.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.7	34.7	79.3	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.4	38.3	80.7	+4.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	20.8	60.3%	-	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	10.5	38.2%	-	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.5	75.2%	-	15.5

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	20.3	57.7%	-	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	10.7	41.5%	-	32.1
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.6	80.0%	-	13.6

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	19.9	45.5%	-	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	8.7	39.0%	-	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.5	74.2%	-	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.5	53.5%	-	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	-	30.0
🏀 Free throws	12.2	9.4	77.0%	-	9.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	20.5	56.5%	-	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	10.0	36.2%	-	30.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.3	76.0%	-	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.1	55.6%	-	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.3	38.4%	-	31.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	12.7	78.7%	-	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	18.9	47.3%	-	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.8	36.5%	-	26.5
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.6	76.2%	-	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	18.3	52.4%	-	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.7%	-	27.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.3	77.5%	-	11.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWLWWWWWWW

Valencia

WWWWWWWWLW

League position

+12.3

Net rating

+14.4

118.0

Offensive rating

125.8

105.7

Defensive rating

111.4

59.0%

Effective FG%

59.6%

49.9%

Opp. effective FG%

55.0%

15.5%

Turnover %

16.5%

26.4%

Off. rebound %

37.2%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.28

38.2%

3-point %

41.5%

60.1%

Assist %

63.2%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-88
25/03/18	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-71
20/03/18	Valencia v Real Madrid	96-88
19/12/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	91-72
15/10/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	82-86
16/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-76
14/06/17	Valencia v Real Madrid	81-64
11/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	79-86
09/06/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-81
19/02/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	97-95

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/20	H	Bilbao	93-83
19/05/19	A	Fenerbahce	94-75
17/05/19	A	CSKA Moscow	90-95
11/05/19	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-70
09/05/19	H	Estudiantes	109-92
04/05/19	A	San Pablo Burgos	102-84
02/05/19	A	Murcia	82-80
27/04/19	H	Breogan	94-89
23/04/19	A	Panathinaikos	89-82
19/04/19	H	Panathinaikos	78-63

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/20	A	Barcelona	82-78
12/05/19	H	Estudiantes	90-82
10/05/19	A	Barcelona	78-72
04/05/19	H	Breogan	83-82
27/04/19	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	91-89
24/04/19	H	Unicaja	96-57
20/04/19	H	Tenerife	88-73
15/04/19	H	Alba Berlin	89-63
12/04/19	A	Alba Berlin	92-95 OT
09/04/19	H	Alba Berlin	89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Spanish Cup 2020

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	93.0	93.0	-
Allowed / game	83.0	83.0	-
Point differential	+10.0	+10.0	-
Avg total	176.0	176.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Valencia

Spanish Cup 2020

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	82.0	-	82.0
Allowed / game	78.0	-	78.0
Point differential	+4.0	-	+4.0
Avg total	160.0	-	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	100%	93.0	83.0	+10.0
2	Unicaja	1	1	0	100%	90.0	86.0	+4.0
3	Valencia	1	1	0	100%	82.0	78.0	+4.0
4	MoraBanc Andorra	1	1	0	100%	87.0	85.0	+2.0
5	Tenerife	1	0	1	0%	85.0	87.0	-2.0
6	Barcelona	1	0	1	0%	78.0	82.0	-4.0
7	Basket Zaragoza	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
8	Bilbao	1	0	1	0%	83.0	93.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	18	16	33	24	91
Valencia	11	9	24	24	68

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature