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Real Madrid vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 98-86
21-25 27-22 28-18 22-21
Position#2
Record12-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#12
Record8-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game91.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Maccabi Tel Aviv
21 Jan 2027
MAD v MTA
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
MAD98
MTA86
14 Jan 2025
MAD116
MTA113
30 Jan 2024
MAD106
MTA101
06 Jan 2023
MAD98
MTA65
22 Apr 2022
MAD95
MTA66
20 Apr 2022
MAD84
MTA74
02 Dec 2021
MAD72
MTA70
18 Nov 2020
MAD79
MTA63
03 Jan 2019
MAD91
MTA79
05 Jan 2018
MAD93
MTA81
13 Jan 2017
MAD80
MTA75
27 Mar 2015
MAD86
MTA75
18 May 2014
MAD86
MTA98
30 Jan 2014
MAD74
MTA68
12 Apr 2013
MAD75
MTA63
10 Apr 2013
MAD79
MTA53
08 Dec 2011
MAD88
MTA64
11 Mar 2010
MAD64
MTA66
12 Feb 2009
MAD98
MTA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maccabi Tel Aviv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
112-76
112
76
+36
110avg 82
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 82
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
90avg 82
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 82
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 82
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 82
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 82
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
31-27
27-16
26-11
21-23
18-27
21-16
22-23
24-21
25-29
21-24
25-16
28-19
18-24
20-24
22-14
20-21
23-26
27-23
25-30
27-30
19-24
25-12
20-16
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
180.6Avg total
94.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.684.2170.8+2.460%
Season at home (9)91.683.2174.8+8.389%
Season away (11)82.584.9167.5-2.436%
Last 10 (10)94.186.5180.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)93.885.8179.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)88.788.6177.2+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.083.1173.1+6.981%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAviv
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 85
H11/12
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
62avg 85
A13/12
Super League
Dubai
#11
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 85
A16/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 85
H18/12
Euroleague
Nes Ziona
#8
W
88-72
88
72
+16
63avg 85
A21/12
Super League
Partizan
#15
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 85
A26/12
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
116-82
116
82
+34
105avg 85
A29/12
Super League
Bayern
#14
L
71-95
71
95
-24
64avg 85
A02/01
Euroleague
Hapoel HaEmek
#6
W
89-64
89
64
+25
62avg 85
H04/01
Super League
Barcelona
#8
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 85
A06/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
26-28
22-18
23-19
26-15
18-14
24-23
18-13
23-30
28-22
28-14
18-29
19-21
28-20
23-20
15-21
21-19
26-19
24-21
17-13
30-31
28-12
34-16
20-28
38-30
29-15
18-24
31-13
23-31
18-19
13-26
17-19
17-16
23-15
25-21
24-12
19-32
25-24
19-21
20-16
173.8Avg total
91.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.091.7180.7-2.740%
Season at home (10)90.494.1184.5-3.740%
Season away (10)87.689.2176.8-1.640%
Last 10 (10)91.981.9173.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)94.284.2178.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)90.387.0177.3+3.367%
vs Similar (11)88.594.6183.2-6.127%
vs Weaker (13)96.079.6175.6+16.492%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
Real MadridMaccabi Tel Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A20/12
ACB
Monaco
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
91.9Avg total
44.7Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.287.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.243.588.8+1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)44.342.987.2+1.459%-
Last 10 (10)44.747.291.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.688.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)43.740.984.6+2.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.144.189.3+1.052%-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H11/12
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A13/12
Super League
Dubai
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A16/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
Euroleague
Nes Ziona
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A21/12
Super League
Partizan
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A26/12
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A29/12
Super League
Bayern
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/01
Euroleague
Hapoel HaEmek
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H04/01
Super League
Barcelona
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A06/01
Euroleague
91.8Avg total
48.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.944.693.5+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.145.194.1+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)48.844.293.0+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.291.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.095.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.541.891.3+7.783%-
vs Similar (11)45.450.796.1-5.427%-
vs Weaker (13)51.640.892.4+10.885%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.0
57.0%
60.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.3
36.2%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.321.2
80.6%
78.2%21.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maccabi Tel Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.0
57.2%
60.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.1
37.1%
35.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.615.6
79.6%
78.2%15.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWLWWLW
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#12
+10.3
Net rating
+11.9
126.0
Offensive rating
121.2
115.7
Defensive rating
109.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
37.1%
57.2%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence126.0 · 121.2Defence115.7 · 109.3Shooting55.9% · 56.5%3-point %36.2% · 37.1%Ball care13.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds35.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Maccabi Tel Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93
30/12/25AMurcia91-80
28/12/25HUnicaja91-82
26/12/25AMonaco95-100
20/12/25AForca Lleida88-81
18/12/25HParis95-90
16/12/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
14/12/25HBasquet Girona112-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26ABarcelona83-93
04/01/26HHapoel HaEmek89-64
02/01/26ABayern71-95
29/12/25AIroni Kiryat Ata116-82
26/12/25APartizan112-87
21/12/25ANes Ziona88-72
18/12/25HValencia85-82
16/12/25ADubai97-95
13/12/25AGalil Elyon86-65
11/12/25HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%89%36%
Points / game86.691.682.5
Allowed / game84.283.284.9
Point differential+2.5+8.3-2.4
Avg total170.8174.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game89.090.487.6
Allowed / game91.794.189.2
Point differential-2.6-3.7-1.6
Avg total180.7184.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Monaco2114767%91.784.0+7.7
3 Valencia2114767%90.385.6+4.7
4 Barcelona2013765%87.785.0+2.6
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Panathinaikos2113862%87.585.0+2.5
7 Real Madrid2012860%86.684.2+2.5
8 Olympiacos1911858%87.984.6+3.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%86.882.0+4.7
10 Crvena zvezda2011955%86.083.6+2.4
11 Olimpia Milano20101050%84.985.0-0.1
12 Virtus Bologna21101148%82.583.0-0.5
13 Dubai21101148%86.088.1-2.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2081240%89.091.7-2.6
15 Paris2071335%90.292.2-1.9
16 Bayern2071335%79.384.1-4.8
17 Baskonia2061430%88.092.2-4.2
18 Anadolu Efes2061430%80.585.6-5.2
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2061430%78.887.2-8.4
20 Partizan2061430%80.689.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2127282298
Maccabi Tel Aviv2522182186
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