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Real Valladolid vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-79
26-18 26-17 16-18 16-26
Position#9
Record12-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#14
Record7-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2023-24
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Estela
11 Apr 2025
REAL81
ESTE88
17 Feb 2024
REAL84
ESTE79
07 Jan 2023
REAL67
ESTE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Castello
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 68
H02/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 68
A10/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
87-79
87
79
+8
54avg 68
A15/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
73-76
73
76
-3
56avg 68
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
53avg 68
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
77avg 68
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
77-99
77
99
-22
68avg 68
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
55avg 68
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
67avg 68
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
99-72
99
72
+27
93avg 68
H10/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
23-17
20-20
21-15
17-23
29-11
18-12
13-23
21-23
29-20
16-11
21-25
16-14
17-19
16-27
24-16
9-19
19-20
12-22
26-22
21-18
25-19
23-19
18-16
21-35
16-18
17-16
23-30
19-20
14-16
12-24
24-24
18-14
23-20
18-25
22-25
19-15
19-17
29-15
32-25
159.4Avg total
80.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.879.2158.9+0.660%
Season at home (10)80.475.7156.1+4.770%
Season away (10)79.282.6161.8-3.450%
Last 10 (10)80.578.9159.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.682.2164.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.282.3159.5-5.145%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.878.2158.1+1.667%
vs Weaker (7)85.175.0160.1+10.186%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
61-101
61
101
-40
54avg 69
A03/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
95-75
95
75
+20
90avg 69
H09/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
52avg 69
A15/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
95-77
95
77
+18
103avg 69
H22/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
51avg 69
A29/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 69
H07/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 69
A14/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
66avg 69
H20/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
51avg 69
A03/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 69
H10/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-31
20-29
14-21
17-20
22-23
29-17
19-17
25-18
17-19
17-16
11-15
25-30
24-13
30-17
18-16
23-31
10-18
12-21
25-20
20-17
24-12
9-22
20-15
18-26
16-17
24-24
15-17
26-28
21-23
23-21
15-20
22-19
20-21
17-21
12-21
20-25
23-19
13-14
29-21
16-20
158.6Avg total
77.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.682.3160.9-3.835%
Season at home (11)81.276.5157.7+4.655%
Season away (9)75.489.4164.9-14.011%
Last 10 (10)77.181.5158.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)76.681.2157.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.284.6157.8-11.428%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.482.7167.1+1.844%
vs Weaker (3)80.078.3158.3+1.733%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
Real ValladolidEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A10/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A15/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/02
Primera FEB
77.7Avg total
40.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.878.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.136.978.0+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.479.0-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.777.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.477.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.739.079.7+1.755%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.939.577.4-1.642%-
vs Weaker (7)41.437.178.6+4.386%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A03/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A15/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H22/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A29/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Primera FEB
77.9Avg total
38.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.380.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.337.677.9+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.545.583.0-8.014%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.877.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.642.479.0-5.928%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.339.883.1+3.656%-
vs Weaker (3)40.738.779.3+2.033%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Real Valladolid wins
1
Estela wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Estela v Real Valladolid81-82
06/05/23Estela v Real Valladolid72-71
07/01/23Real Valladolid v Estela67-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HCaceres99-72
04/02/24AGipuzkoa81-84
20/01/24HAlicante69-84
12/01/24AOurense77-99
06/01/24HFuenlabrada87-72
30/12/23AOviedo66-83
20/12/23HMelilla73-76
15/12/23ACaceres87-79
10/12/23AClavijo77-69
02/12/23HCastello89-71
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HFuenlabrada81-74
03/02/24ASan Pablo Burgos69-88
20/01/24HLeyma Coruna81-83
14/01/24AOviedo81-86
07/01/24HClavijo71-75
29/12/23AGipuzkoa67-76
22/12/23HHestia Menorca95-77
15/12/23AReal Betis70-80
09/12/23HCaceres95-75
03/12/23AEstudiantes61-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWLWLW70%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game79.880.479.2
Allowed / game79.275.782.6
Point differential+0.7+4.7-3.4
Avg total158.9156.1161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%55%11%
Points / game78.681.275.4
Allowed / game82.376.589.4
Point differential-3.8+4.6-14.0
Avg total160.9157.7164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes2117481%85.373.9+11.4
2 Leyma Coruna2016480%89.881.2+8.5
3 Tizona Burgos2115671%88.081.0+6.9
4 San Pablo Burgos2014670%86.777.5+9.2
5 Gipuzkoa2014670%81.576.0+5.5
6 Alicante2114767%80.875.5+5.3
7 Forca Lleida2114767%81.476.3+5.0
8 Real Valladolid2012860%79.879.2+0.7
9 Ourense21101148%72.078.2-6.2
10 Real Betis2081240%81.077.8+3.1
11 Oviedo2181338%79.481.0-1.6
12 Melilla2181338%74.580.2-5.8
13 Estela2071335%78.682.3-3.8
14 Hestia Menorca2071335%70.275.1-4.9
15 Fuenlabrada2171433%76.079.2-3.2
16 Castello2161529%78.385.8-7.5
17 Caceres2151624%74.084.7-10.7
18 Clavijo2031715%65.076.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid2626161684
Estela1817182679
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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