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Reggiana vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaBigi
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Reggiana v Trieste
21 Mar 2027
REG v TRI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
REG97
TRI61
18 Jan 2025
REG81
TRI96
04 Dec 2022
REG79
TRI84
10 Apr 2022
REG103
TRI109
13 Mar 2021
REG70
TRI96
15 Dec 2019
REG87
TRI86
23 Dec 2018
REG71
TRI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 76
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Trento
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 76
H26/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
83avg 76
A03/10
Lega A
Pardubice
#50
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 76
H06/10
Champions League
Tortona
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 76
H11/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 76
A18/10
Lega A
Juventus
#34
L
75-76
75
76
-1
75avg 76
H21/10
Champions League
Cantu
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A31/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-20
20-13
16-24
12-17
30-19
11-24
19-24
18-26
25-20
18-16
17-21
34-23
15-27
28-26
16-23
15-15
24-14
25-22
18-14
25-25
22-23
22-19
24-19
21-29
25-28
20-16
15-21
25-22
25-25
20-14
5-15
23-20
15-19
18-14
25-7
15-29
24-18
22-20
7-14
159.3Avg total
78.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.383.8166.2-1.533%
Season at home (3)84.076.3160.3+7.767%
Season away (3)80.791.3172.0-10.70%
Last 10 (10)78.880.5159.3-1.730%
Last 5 (5)79.679.4159.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.683.2159.8-6.711%
vs Similar (8)85.183.0168.1+2.162%
vs Weaker (13)85.274.5159.7+10.669%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 76
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 76
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 76
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 76
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Season at home (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.186.9167.0-6.925%
vs Similar (11)85.783.3169.0+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
ReggianaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/05
Lega A
Trento
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H26/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/10
Lega A
Pardubice
#50
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/10
Champions League
Tortona
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A18/10
Lega A
Juventus
#34
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/10
Champions League
Cantu
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/10
Lega A
86.1Avg total
42.2Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.182.9+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.743.282.9-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.986.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.643.381.9-4.822%-
vs Similar (8)45.143.488.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (13)42.637.580.2+5.162%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.886.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.385.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.487.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.344.485.8-3.131%-
vs Similar (11)43.943.187.0+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.743.389.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.5
35.6%
34.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.4%13.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.4%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LWLLWWLLLL
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#11
-1.7
Net rating
+0.2
93.2
Offensive rating
100.8
95.0
Defensive rating
100.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.6%
3-point %
34.9%
65.6%
Assist %
56.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 100.8Defence95.0 · 100.6Shooting52.1% · 53.6%3-point %35.6% · 34.9%Ball care14.6% · 12.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Reggiana   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Reggiana wins
6
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Reggiana v Trieste97-61
13/12/25Trieste v Reggiana92-82 OT
18/01/25Reggiana v Trieste81-96
20/10/24Trieste v Reggiana85-97
18/03/23Trieste v Reggiana75-80
04/12/22Reggiana v Trieste79-84
10/04/22Reggiana v Trieste103-109 OT
16/01/22Trieste v Reggiana83-85 OT
13/03/21Reggiana v Trieste70-96
06/01/21Trieste v Reggiana78-69
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ATreviso68-81
25/10/26HCantu81-60
21/10/26HJuventus75-76
18/10/26AVerona81-94
11/10/26HTortona93-86
06/10/26HPardubice82-65
03/10/26ABasket Napoli93-99
26/09/26HTrento78-83
21/05/26HOlimpia Milano72-84
18/05/26AOlimpia Milano65-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game82.384.080.7
Allowed / game83.876.391.3
Point differential-1.5+7.7-10.7
Avg total166.2160.3172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.094.081.5
Allowed / game85.286.084.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total174.2180.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli65183%94.286.2+8.0
3 Treviso65183%93.288.8+4.3
4 Maxima Roma64267%86.383.2+3.2
5 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
6 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
7 Udine63350%80.880.2+0.7
8 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
9 Venezia63350%88.790.3-1.7
10 Trento63350%79.582.8-3.3
11 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
12 BC Roma62433%100.296.5+3.7
13 Reggiana62433%82.383.8-1.5
14 Tortona61517%83.293.5-10.3
15 Scafati61517%80.392.2-11.8
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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