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Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-79
17-19 21-22 19-23 26-15
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trieste
27 Sep 2026
MIL83
TRI79
03 May 2026
MIL86
TRI78
26 Jan 2025
MIL87
TRI74
20 Nov 2022
MIL98
TRI81
13 Mar 2022
MIL102
TRI84
31 Jan 2021
MIL81
TRI100
06 Oct 2019
MIL88
TRI73
12 May 2019
MIL93
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 82
A21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
88-72
88
72
+16
83avg 82
A29/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
65avg 82
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 82
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 82
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 82
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
95avg 82
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 82
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 82
A25/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
19-30
24-11
24-19
16-24
26-15
23-13
23-20
15-23
21-19
24-18
19-25
19-18
25-25
23-10
26-15
23-15
23-23
22-19
23-29
24-15
30-22
25-25
21-18
31-22
31-17
18-25
12-15
26-25
24-25
19-36
28-23
19-20
26-20
23-16
18-16
16-20
20-22
22-21
18-29
170.1Avg total
88.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.681.5170.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)90.286.4176.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.793.0175.7-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.691.0180.6-1.438%
vs Weaker (19)89.981.6171.5+8.379%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
89-70
89
70
+19
86avg 76
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 76
A26/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
76avg 76
A03/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
86avg 76
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 76
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
25-14
20-15
25-14
17-17
27-22
19-21
19-26
16-27
27-26
21-22
17-20
16-18
22-28
8-21
32-19
22-29
22-24
20-21
25-20
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
169.3Avg total
83.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.186.2169.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)82.486.2168.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.187.2167.3-7.127%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.382.4167.7+2.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Olimpia MilanoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Euroleague
86.3Avg total
45.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.542.088.5+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.940.190.0+9.793%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.987.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.286.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.046.791.7-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.146.191.2-1.062%-
vs Weaker (19)47.339.686.8+7.779%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A26/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H10/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
88.8Avg total
42.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.486.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.643.284.8-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)43.643.787.3-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.188.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.888.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.344.986.2-3.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.942.085.9+1.960%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.1
56.8%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.4
40.3%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
74.6%13.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.1
58.4%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.3
34.6%
34.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
74.6%13.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWWLWW
Trieste
LWLLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+9.5
Net rating
-2.9
106.4
Offensive rating
99.3
97.0
Defensive rating
102.2
58.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.3%
3-point %
34.6%
55.7%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 99.3Defence97.0 · 102.2Shooting58.3% · 55.3%3-point %40.3% · 34.6%Ball care13.1% · 14.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Olimpia Milano v Trieste86-78
23/11/25Trieste v Olimpia Milano86-82
26/01/25Olimpia Milano v Trieste87-74
29/09/24Trieste v Olimpia Milano84-78
05/02/23Trieste v Olimpia Milano59-65
20/11/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste98-81
13/03/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste102-84
19/12/21Trieste v Olimpia Milano71-68
31/01/21Olimpia Milano v Trieste81-100
11/10/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano65-87
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26APartizan76-92
18/06/26AVenezia86-72
16/06/26AVenezia97-109
13/06/26HVenezia92-79
11/06/26HVenezia100-80
05/06/26HBrescia91-86
03/06/26HBrescia93-68
31/05/26ABrescia79-85
29/05/26ABrescia88-72
21/05/26AReggiana84-72
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90
10/05/26HCremona89-94
03/05/26AOlimpia Milano78-86
26/04/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
19/04/26HBrescia82-86
12/04/26AUdine89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Treviso110100%109.094.0+15.0
2 Venezia110100%85.073.0+12.0
3 Trento110100%83.078.0+5.0
4 Reggiana1010%78.083.0-5.0
5 Cantu1010%73.085.0-12.0
6 BC Roma1010%94.0109.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1721192683
Trieste1922231579
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