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Rider vs Fairfield Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#342
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#245
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rider v Fairfield
01 Jan 2027
RIDE v FAIR
upcoming
21 Feb 2025
RIDE49
FAIR69
03 Dec 2023
RIDE81
FAIR88
10 Feb 2023
RIDE58
FAIR57
28 Jan 2022
RIDE65
FAIR76
31 Jan 2020
RIDE68
FAIR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rider win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H06/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A08/11
NCAA
William Paterson Pioneers
#420
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-49
45-37
30-40
36-32
27-28
40-34
30-40
28-40
35-33
26-43
26-50
31-45
26-27
29-39
32-42
31-33
46-24
37-29
23-42
39-57
141.1Avg total
64.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.077.6141.6-13.620%
Season at home (2)69.059.5128.5+9.550%
Season away (3)60.789.7150.3-29.00%
Last 10 (10)64.776.4141.1-11.720%
Last 5 (5)64.077.6141.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)63.677.7141.3-14.111%
vs Similar ◀ (2)51.559.5111.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
46-43
37-23
35-35
25-39
22-30
31-27
40-33
30-30
44-25
30-40
31-36
25-38
42-41
26-30
42-29
20-52
22-37
30-32
33-28
133.4Avg total
65.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.071.8131.8-11.850%
Season at home (2)65.069.5134.5-4.550%
Season away (2)55.074.0129.0-19.050%
Last 10 (10)65.068.4133.4-3.460%
Last 5 (5)60.272.6132.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.584.0138.5-29.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.970.5141.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (13)76.267.1143.3+9.277%
This opponent (Rider) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
RiderFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/11
NCAA
William Paterson Pioneers
#420
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A15/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
30.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.836.866.7-7.017%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.732.663.4-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)29.140.569.6-11.46%-
Last 10 (10)30.537.568.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.637.067.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)29.538.267.7-8.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H06/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H06/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
20-52
20
52
-32
A11/11
NCAA
NJIT
#345
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H15/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.730.164.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.736.969.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.334.764.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.238.464.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.545.067.5-22.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.934.066.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (13)36.431.267.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Rider) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rider wins
8
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Fairfield v Rider68-62
22/02/25Rider v Fairfield49-69
05/12/24Fairfield v Rider78-75
09/02/24Fairfield v Rider84-67
03/12/23Rider v Fairfield81-88
11/02/23Rider v Fairfield58-57
29/01/23Fairfield v Rider69-78 OT
04/03/22Fairfield v Rider65-59
29/01/22Rider v Fairfield65-76
02/01/21Fairfield v Rider72-56
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AVillanova62-99
12/11/26HWilliam Paterson Pioneers83-53
08/11/26ABinghamton63-75
06/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-66
03/11/26APittsburgh57-95
01/03/26ASiena61-76
28/02/26AIona58-80
22/02/26HNiagara67-62
21/02/26HCanisius66-72
15/02/26ASacred Heart75-86
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNJIT63-60
11/11/26AWisconsin42-89
08/11/26ABryant University68-59
06/11/26HVermont67-79
09/03/26ASiena61-76
07/03/26ASt. Peters74-55
06/03/26HManhattan71-60
01/03/26HMount St. Mary's47-69
28/02/26HSiena72-58
22/02/26AQuinnipiac85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rider
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game64.069.060.7
Allowed / game77.659.589.7
Point differential-13.6+9.5-29.0
Avg total141.6128.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game60.065.055.0
Allowed / game71.869.574.0
Point differential-11.8-4.5-19.0
Avg total131.8134.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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