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Rider vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#342
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#296
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rider v Mount St. Mary's
08 Jan 2027
RIDE v MOUN
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
RIDE55
MOUN65
16 Jan 2025
RIDE66
MOUN60
16 Feb 2024
RIDE61
MOUN57
26 Feb 2023
RIDE58
MOUN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rider win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H06/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A08/11
NCAA
William Paterson Pioneers
#420
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-49
45-37
30-40
36-32
27-28
40-34
30-40
28-40
35-33
26-43
26-50
31-45
26-27
29-39
32-42
31-33
46-24
37-29
23-42
39-57
141.1Avg total
64.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.077.6141.6-13.620%
Season at home (2)69.059.5128.5+9.550%
Season away (3)60.789.7150.3-29.00%
Last 10 (10)64.776.4141.1-11.720%
Last 5 (5)64.077.6141.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)63.677.7141.3-14.111%
vs Similar (2)51.559.5111.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
52-97
52
97
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
44-42
28-21
37-34
31-31
45-32
20-24
48-23
32-31
37-46
39-25
30-22
21-35
37-28
16-51
36-46
29-22
39-35
30-42
32-40
133.4Avg total
67.0Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.778.7139.3-18.033%
Season at home (1)68.057.0125.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)57.089.5146.5-32.50%
Last 10 (10)67.066.4133.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)61.869.2131.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.274.3137.5-11.127%
vs Similar (8)72.274.4146.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (7)71.356.3127.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Rider) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
RiderMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#104
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/11
NCAA
William Paterson Pioneers
#420
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A15/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
30.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.836.866.7-7.017%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.732.663.4-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)29.140.569.6-11.46%-
Last 10 (10)30.537.568.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.637.067.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)29.538.267.7-8.711%-
vs Similar (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A01/03
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#8
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
60.1Avg total
28.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.534.265.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.233.266.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)30.235.065.2-4.841%-
Last 10 (10)28.531.660.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.035.062.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.935.765.6-5.740%-
vs Similar (8)35.436.171.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)30.629.059.6+1.629%-
This opponent (Rider) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rider wins
4
Mount St. Mary's wins
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AVillanova62-99
12/11/26HWilliam Paterson Pioneers83-53
08/11/26ABinghamton63-75
06/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-66
03/11/26APittsburgh57-95
01/03/26ASiena61-76
28/02/26AIona58-80
22/02/26HNiagara67-62
21/02/26HCanisius66-72
15/02/26ASacred Heart75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVirginia Tech62-82
07/11/26HLoyola Maryland68-57
03/11/26AXavier52-97
08/03/26ASiena58-63
01/03/26AFairfield69-47
28/02/26ASacred Heart69-77
22/02/26HCanisius68-47
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rider
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game64.069.060.7
Allowed / game77.659.589.7
Point differential-13.6+9.5-29.0
Avg total141.6128.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game60.768.057.0
Allowed / game78.757.089.5
Point differential-18.0+11.0-32.5
Avg total139.3125.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Quinnipiac52340%68.274.8-6.6
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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