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Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-80
21-26 14-25 23-11 32-18
Position#3
Record21-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#7
Record15-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2024
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja
17 Oct 2026
RZE85
BK L69
10 Jan 2026
RZE78
BK L87
24 Oct 2025
RZE109
BK L71
15 Mar 2025
RZE90
BK L80
23 Mar 2024
RZE81
BK L79
02 Feb 2024
RZE90
BK L65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
89avg 77
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
61avg 77
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
100-71
100
71
+29
100avg 77
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H29/01
Latvian Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 77
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 77
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
59-80
59
80
-21
49avg 77
A12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 77
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
77avg 77
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
79avg 77
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
19-13
20-20
22-12
20-25
21-17
15-19
16-15
32-14
25-21
26-19
17-17
21-23
13-21
17-16
16-17
17-22
16-16
21-16
11-19
25-15
15-10
25-15
19-20
17-21
14-14
14-23
14-22
25-17
20-24
17-14
29-13
17-19
22-19
17-18
23-22
27-28
21-15
34-28
20-13
154.6Avg total
81.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.670.3153.9+13.378%
Season at home (13)85.671.0156.6+14.6100%
Season away (14)81.769.6151.3+12.157%
Last 10 (10)81.073.6154.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)83.074.0157.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.075.0141.0-9.00%
vs Similar (3)70.076.3146.3-6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.667.8153.4+17.988%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 75
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
W
111-99 OT
111
99
+12
109avg 75
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
72avg 75
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 75
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
87-54
87
54
+33
91avg 75
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
79-98
79
98
-19
60avg 75
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
86avg 75
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
95-56
95
56
+39
103avg 75
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 75
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-25
31-20
19-27
15-19
15-24
16-16
18-28
18-21
23-24
23-28
28-19
19-21
23-24
17-22
18-23
24-25
24-25
23-30
20-23
24-15
14-12
26-19
23-8
26-26
17-28
17-28
19-16
23-23
21-19
20-21
17-18
25-13
25-10
28-17
17-16
27-23
24-11
29-25
18-25
174.0Avg total
88.6Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.981.5165.4+2.456%
Season at home (14)83.479.5162.9+3.964%
Season away (13)84.583.6168.1+0.846%
Last 10 (10)88.685.4174.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)91.076.6167.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.283.2160.4-6.033%
vs Similar (8)83.487.2170.6-3.938%
vs Weaker (12)89.077.4166.4+11.683%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
Rigas ZelliBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/01
Latvian Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
79.5Avg total
41.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.177.0+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.635.178.6+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)40.435.275.6+5.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.879.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.477.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (3)37.738.776.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.234.177.3+9.175%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A04/02
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.3Avg total
42.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.581.7+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.480.4+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)43.439.683.0+3.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.883.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.081.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.941.981.8-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)40.042.082.0-2.038%-
vs Weaker (12)44.837.582.3+7.358%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.2
54.5%
51.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.5
30.9%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.411.3
64.9%
70.6%11.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.1
56.8%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
32.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
70.6%15.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WWWLWLLWLW
BK Liepaja
WWWLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#7
+13.2
Net rating
+8.1
106.9
Offensive rating
112.5
93.7
Defensive rating
104.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.9%
3-point %
35.0%
69.4%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 112.5Defence93.7 · 104.3Shooting51.2% · 55.0%3-point %30.9% · 35.0%Ball care16.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 35.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rigas Zelli wins
1
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli78-82
23/03/24Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja81-79
02/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli79-90
12/12/23BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli84-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HKeila KK102-84
01/03/25HVentspils79-78
26/02/25AValmiera Glass Via91-68
12/02/25AVEF Riga59-80
07/02/25AKeila Coolbet84-60
04/02/25AVEF Riga65-73
29/01/25HVEF Riga67-77
25/01/25HViimsi100-71
22/01/25ABK Ogre72-76
18/01/25HLatvijas Universitate91-69
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HParnu98-84
08/03/25ALatvijas Universitate95-56
01/03/25ABK Ogre96-91 OT
12/02/25HVentspils79-98
08/02/25HViimsi87-54
04/02/25AVentspils91-103
01/02/25AKeila KK77-90
31/01/25ARapla111-99 OT
28/01/25HVentspils64-87
25/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %78%100%57%
Points / game83.685.681.7
Allowed / game70.371.069.6
Point differential+13.3+14.6+12.1
Avg total153.9156.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%77%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%64%46%
Points / game83.983.484.5
Allowed / game81.579.583.6
Point differential+2.4+3.9+0.8
Avg total165.4162.9168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2724389%84.169.9+14.3
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2723485%88.674.9+13.7
3 Rigas Zelli2721678%83.670.3+13.3
4 BK Ogre28171161%81.977.2+4.7
5 Tartu Ulikool28171161%82.281.1+1.1
6 Valmiera Glass Via27161159%82.177.0+5.1
7 BK Liepaja27151256%83.981.5+2.4
8 Ventspils28141450%89.084.8+4.2
9 Rapla28141450%82.681.7+0.9
10 Tal Tech28141450%80.783.1-2.4
11 Parnu27111641%81.384.6-3.3
12 Keila Coolbet2781930%77.584.9-7.4
13 Viimsi2752219%72.285.5-13.3
14 Keila KK2842414%73.990.5-16.6
15 Latvijas Universitate2832511%69.885.5-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2114233290
BK Liepaja2625111880
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